The Seaforth News, 1933-07-20, Page 7TH'UtR]SDAX,JtJLY 20 1933:
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The Seaforth News
Phone 84
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u�ut�r
� a.�sn�au�au�or�nn�nu�an�uu+r O
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•
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duction •i'n general springs from a
state of mind like ,'this young ,man's.
IBeFore the ,crisis nobody 'complained
of the excessive growth df m'a'chine
industry, Mechanical energy was ev-
erywhere regarded as a source of
wealth and power whidh permitted
the 'masses to share in the comforts
of life; it was the essen'ti'al factor .of
progress and the very b'asi's of our
oiwiliaat on. Ba'ckward 'pe o rp.1 e s
thought only of how they, tdo, might
'benefit from it, and the more .ad-
vanced nations were proud to allow
them to do so.
But in the last three years ind'us-
tri'al Europe has seen its unemploy-
ment rise to 12,500,000 and that' in
the United 'States "to some 112,,00:0;000.
Now ej�ononsists and business 'men
have •stidden0y discovered that mach-
ine production eliminates manual la-
bor and thus is an essential factor
in causing ruin and social regression.
This strange as'serti'on recalls the un-
enlightened ,,clays 'When silk workers
in Lyons s'ainashed the ' +J!acquard
looms; it reveals an amazing concep-
tion n tiic'h is contradicted by a cent-
ury of experience.
IIt is hardily more than 100 years
since machine production be'gan to
spread ,over the world, 'and always it,
was the country with the most mach-
ines that employed' t'he ,most work-
ers. England, t'he first amide to be
indus'tria'lized, has seen its population
increase in a century loom '114,000,000,
Germany, 'Which .in 11870 could feed a
population of only 40,000,000,' manag
ed by 119114 to sup'p'ort 65,000;000 in-
habitants, thanes ,,to its industries,
and even imported womleinen. As fac-,.
tories multiplied teethe United States
the stream of immigration, .grew, -ung
til the World War., Under fhe slim:
nous of hhis new means of. produc-
tion, Europe's pop'ul'ation rose fro'tn
107,000,100.0 in 11800 to 430,000,000 in
11930, while 120,000;000 of its people
emigrated to other parts, oaf .the
Woirl'd., ,
Iqt
four 'generations the white race
:imrereased more .than it had -lone ;be
tween the age, of the mamngaths and'
the 'time of N'apol'eon. And if its'.
cumbers tripled, tihe'standard of com
fort of the, masses was raised ° no fess.
It is true, that. for three' years in al'1',
the industrial countries the number of;
jells has diminished'- in a •disquieting.
Matinee while wages' have fallen" or,
even disappieared.'.B'u't can a crisis o'f',
three yams wipe out :^the experience
cif 'a century? 'Ps the ,present situa
tion more than an accident,: a mis-
take in, .mlanagemen!t ? People de-
nounce the'engi,neers and talk l'gf boy-
po'tting i'ti've'ntors and restr'ainin'g the
imagination of. scienrttsts—wasi'' though•
,they, had full • change of the ' nteeh'an
ism they have created or manipu-
Tatel Blefore indicting ap'pliiedl sci-
A, WORLD FIVE YEAR PLAN
•Il ::krisw a young • man wlho used ,to
he very proud alt Iris ,pieteerfu] motor
"car 'and .Iboas'ted' olf 'r' its accom'piish=,
agents. Boit ° ie day, ,when he had•
perhaps drunk a bit, too. Tweh, the
took a ,corner at high speed and roll
ed into a- iliiteti: The car •was damaged
and he suffered a 'broken ]leg. Since,
theit''he 'conbiizally cu•gses, ,not h'is awn,
Unskillful ,driving, but, the mlakers of
motor' cars;,; He goes'; shout ,On' crate
chats, insisting that 'the manvflaetiire
of exces'sivel'y pawerifwl motors should
, he foiibidden�,
(Sit seems to that ithe indictment
now bretight ,against .machine'. pro-,
Ir
6,
wee and: technique 'should We noti +But'fronn the beginning of :the
criticize abase who employ and dir 'twentieth 'century the system of
ect them? eral economy" began' to`:decline. The
(Let us'' first recal some primary •'brake df competition wee •relaxed.
trttths tido often tieglected, (• Tariff ',protection; of first': temporary
(The .'cost of pro'du,cing a! given ar- afid limited to a few,.in'dus'tries, g'radu-
tiele is th'e total cost. of production ally became permanent and oniverstaa
divided b'y the nu'm'ber,,of,, of Tariffs'shiel'ded". `weak industries in
that article" that are produced. In ,the every country{ from the selective ac
'time',of 'animal energy the fixed' tion of foreign competition. Then
charges Were insign'ilficant,, produc- cartels and trusts suppressed internal
tion being in ,prop'orti'on .to the num compe'ti'tion in alt 'the important in
ber of niers or animals employed. dustries—tdihile carefully leaving
(Hence the increase of outpput dlid n'ok operation the badly equipped enter-
evaterialtyreduce t'he cost per ugti't of prises lit order to justify tariff protec-
tion and the high domestic prices by
Which ', the lietter-equipped prod'u'cers
grdfited gull more than the less: eflf-
cient
Thtts the weak plants, instead of
being ,absorbed, continued to produce
at the aid rate, while the stronger
ones, stianulated by 'assured' profits,
expanded their oubpn't. On this basis
there would l have been more need
than ever to apply the accelerator—
that is, to enlarge •the foreign. ,market.
But, unfo'rtunate'ly, each govern-
ment, in protecting its weak indus-
tries, limited the exports coming from
neighboring coun't'ries —w'h'ich inevit-
ably retaliated. in kind, Obstructed by
so many barriers, foreign trade among
civilized nations would have d'isap-
peare'd had it .not 'been for the costly
practice, of "dumping."
What was there left to do but to
dispose of 'the s'urp'lus production of
all these countries by selling it in
e'conomical!ly 'bac'kwa'rd lands ? But it
became clear in the first decade of
this century that all t'he continents
had gradually :been- 'brough't within
the scope of world 'commerce. There
were no more "unknown land's" to
discover,, •
ir'he great powers began to clash
over colonies, protectorates and other
spheres df special ;privileges. Then
'came the .'World War. Under pressure
of military need and the stimulus of
'high, prices, countries like Canada,
India and Australia became partly in-
dustrialized and bought less from Eu-
rope; others, like the United States,
became exporter's; the former clients
of Europe 'became its competitors.
'European expansion began to slow
down. "L'ere du monde fini com-
mence" Q°'11h'e era olf the completed
world begins"), warned the great poet
Paul Vadery.
'This was the moment to aptfely the
brakes to the ma,ch:ine production. But
exactly the contrary was done.
The war and the industrial ,develolp-
ment that re'sul'ted made the Unit-
ed .States the greatest lemming coun-
try of the world. From 1.921 to
1929 Wall. Street made investments
amoun'ting to seventeen billion dollars
+—eight billion in th'e United States
and nine b'iifion 'scattered among the.
other countries with machine ci'vil'iza-
tions. This enormous stream of' credit
over-.s'timulateid produotion every-
where. Thanks to liberal loans on
mortgages,
American, Canadian and
Argentinian farmers began applying
m'ach'inery to' the production of
wheat; sugar refineries and mines per-
fected and extended their equipment;
the factories of Europe and Japan
went in for "ratiostalization." 'Conse-
quently by 119210 •we were faced with
huge stocks of wheat, coffee, sugar,
gasoline, copper, steel, chemical pro-
ducts, textiles and manufactured art-
icles of all 'sorts,
Instead of cutting off credits, bank-
ers then financed pools and cartels to
prevent a fall in prices, and this caus-
ed everybody to go on overproducing
is a blind 'frenzy of prosperity, Then
suddenly, in 1929, came the crisis.
'The rapid fall of 'prices of foods and.
raw materials destroyed the perches
ing power of The farming countries
and so reduced the .market' for the
.t roducts of the industrial c'oun'tries,.
which were already overstocked with
unsaleable merchandise. Exporting
indus't'ries had 'to distress many work-.
er,s• As men lost their jobs, they con-
sumed less, and this cut down the
itvarket for the industries producing;
dor domestic consumption. 'Naturally
the meet highly mechanized industries
(those with the greatest ,fixed charges
eo bear) ware hardest' hit. There are
today some 12,'500,000 unemployed in
industrial Europe .and same 12,.000,000
in the United 'Spate's, while misery
reigns over all the farms', from Hun-
gary to the 'Argentine and from Aus-
tra'lia to Po'l'and, •
, Alt branches of economic activity
suffer agriculture, industry, cam-,
merce, lban'kinvg, currencies, budgets—
in every ,coun:try; 'The crisis is univer•
sal and complete, But is it the fault
,of the machine a
'Uniti'l recently 'the machine praduc
ed peaslperilty to everybody's satisfy: -
pion; now it is held responsible for
gteneral ruin, W'ho has; caused the dis-
end'er? .Is it the engineer or the scien-
tist? Not at all.,
How" shalt we es'ca'pe from �fhis
crisis ?
+Thhis,crisis, which we like to .char;
acted 'e as "world-wide-"
really af-
•fecbs onlythe Whit
White popwla'tfan's
whiclh ,have developed a, mechanized
ci'viliz'ation and a few tm'illion non-
wh'ite people m'ov'ing econoriticallly in,
But under the ,.system of ,mechan-•.
ical energy the fixed, charges (costs
golf equipment and interest andsfn'k;
ing fund 'for capital) are' consider
'able, While the vaaiable 'dusts, (spar
ticularly wages) are rela'tivel'y less lin-
portant. The result is that the greater
the number of units ;produced the
smatter the unit cost of production.
Ala the price of the a'rt'icle falls more'
people can buy it and the problem,
'of marketing it becomes easy.
Still better, when sales are ,
'fi'eien't to coverall fixed charges a
point is reached where additional
unts produced cdst hardly more than
'the variable charges necessary to
.make them "('the cost of raw mater-
ial and wages)., The price ''.may then
be lowered to stimulate sales, This'.
'leads to the ins'tallabion of new mach-
fines, which further cheapen the cost
of production; this produces more
sates and causes, mew 'factoriesto be
'britt=and so on ad infinitum.
This is the principle called mass
'production. Unfortunately it has an
other aspect that is oiften overlooked:
'Any enterprise 'begins to earn pro-
'fits only when the number of units
sold is great enough to pay all the
(fixed charges, ,A shoemaker working
by hand, whose fixed charges (rent,
Lazes and living expenses) are very
small, may earn' a livelihood by mak-
'500 pairs oif shoes a year. But a
Ifacto'ry having an egiu'ipment costing
$2;000,000 'mus't produce at least 10,-
000
0;000 pairs to keep going, and a great
company 'capitalized • at '$10,000,000
'would lose money it it sod.no more
than 50,000 pairs.
(Whence it follows that, when the.
market contracts, the enterprise
which is the best equipp'ed is the most
vulnerable. The 'Imre important the
tnecltlatsloal equfplment is the higher
the minimum df turnover that must
be attained. 'The price o'f. machine pro-
duction' is (the necessity .of .expan'sion.
IHere appears wh'at'I shall call the
illusion of the technician, Engineers
usually im'a'gine that if they manage
by some mechanical ;trick' to turn out
a better or a cheaper prodac :t it is
always sure' olf finding. a , market.
This is true "only under one or two
conditions: either the: best equipped
plant will enitarge its sales by captur-
ing the trade of its local competitors
or it will have to find markets abroad.
'Duping the nineteenth century these
two conditions were fully realized.
Free competition ,enabled the best
equi'p'ped manufacturer to eliminate
his rivals by redu'c'ing prices, and the
menaced concerns could defend them-
selves only by modernizing their
plants—whence the ever -accelerating
development ,of machin e'production.
In this way 'the, domestic market
was quickly Oversupplied, but the ex-
cess could be exported to countries
not yet indu'strialized, +Glre'at Britain,
pioneer in machine production, soon
'began to sell its surplus on the Con-
'tinen:t; and when' the Continent also
became industr'ialized, both set about
exploiting the markets of ,America,
A's'i'a and Australia,
Under .these c'ircttmstannes if' was
possible for the industrial engineer
and the banker to 'build almost at will,
installing ever• more numerous and
powerful machines, w'ithou't needing
to worry about., the ipasaiibility of a
jam in the channels of trade. ;
IS'otnetinaes ;the expansion of pro-
duction ran ahead of consumption.
There,resutted ,a drop in' prices, which,
through 'bankruptcy, •wi'ped out 'sur-
plus enterprises. Mean'w'hi'le the ex-
ploitation of new countries went on,
and after ' a 'few months, or a year or
two' at ,nos•t, accumulated stocks of
goods 'were agbsorb:ed once more' and
machine industry continued on its
way. Production was roulghly adjusted
to con'sum'ption by the double action
"cyclical" crises, whioh checked• out-
put, and the dewellap'ment of, new.
lands, which stimulated it.
+Thus''it' was thatt fhro'ughout the
nineteenth century machine, prodluc-
tion managed to make the magnificent
progresis ;that it ',did'. IConabant de-
,
ve'lopment' olf in'dusbry l'a'nd trans-
porta•tion,attracted to titre cities more
and more'workensi as the r,elabive pro
portion 'of labor
charged against the
;:cost of production' decreased, it was
possible to pay the workers, at an in
,creasing geode, while the, to
veered
prices of the articles produced'causedl
their wages stea'di'ly to 'increase in
i.'puncihiasi:ng power.. Is it ' s
sur rii'n
!then,' that forSurprising;
the
generations
machine -,was regarded ' as the • ,es
sential. factor in ' well -(being, . social
pgiogres's.and civ'ihaJation'?'
ei.
tlte'o'rbits of the white "nations,--w'ho
cotn'prise altogether little aver one
quttu'ter of the world's ,population.
!The foreign trade of India, with its
348 million in'h'abitants, is not as 'much
as that of Canada, with' 10 million in-
dialbitants.
In the east of Europe ;and in the
Mediterranean petunsulai machine
civ 'iz'ariion
has hardly reached' be-
yond the tolwns•. Among '100,000,000
people living ' between . Finlland and
iG'recce there are 60 million in rural
areas who stilt wear handawoven gar-
ments
arments and have about as little con-
tact with modern industry as though
they dwelt in the Deccan or Kam-
chatka. _What is the reason for this
'curious isolation ?
'Until .recenit,yearsthe railway was
almost the only .mean's of economic
penetration into new areas. • _As the
'cost of construction ,was high, the
railway could offer cheap transport
only if each loconeotive• drew a long
train of loaded cars. So the railways
went to the towns. 01 was much too
expensive to build Lines to the small
rural centres of poor countries. This
is why our' progress so far has been
almost exclusively urban. '
(But for several years we have had a
new, less costly and moire adaptable
means of transport; the automobile in
various shapes and sizes, which can
go almost anywhere and can reach
the most remote villages. Suppose
the countryside were covered with a
network,of hard -.surfaced roads, ,which
American industry could build profit-
ably at the rate of ha'l'f a mile a day.
The traffic would soon be so great
that the taxes on gasoline would surf
lfice to pay the service of .the debt in
cttcred in building the road's.
From the great arteries of com-
merce, the railways and rivers, would
branch out thousands of contributory
'ones in the form of motor roads. 'alit -
lions of rural settlements now cut off
from the world would be brought
each year within the sphere of inter-
national trade. If complementary ag-
ricultural regions were linked togeth-
er by rail'wa'ys or canals they would
exchange with each other wheat for
timber, tobacco for live stock, phos-
phates for sugar or fodder,' and with
the ,profits thus gained they would
buy the products .of our factories.
Above all, there should be organized
in these countries a sound' internal
market and no attempt sholkld be
m'ad'e to maintain the sort of one!
way traffic which for too long was the
great mistake of our colonial ,method's.
The purchasing power of these pea-
sants is doubtless very small. The
principal reason is that they lack cap-
ita( and must 'borro'w from local
usurers at an average of 24 per cent
in'teres't. But if they could avail
themselves of a system of credit
based upon their harvests,' they would
'buy more, without increasing their
production, even if world prices for
farm produce did not rise.
'On this basis I have drawn up e
five-year plan for the development of
Eastern Europe w'h'ich could open up
Inc German, French, Ltalian and Aus-
trian in•dmstty a new market consist-
ing of 6%000,000 consumers. ,Similar
schemes could be devised for the Near
,East and for India (which would par-
ticularly interest B'ri'tain), for South
America and eastern Asia (of great
interest to the United States) without
giving monopolies to anybody.
If the billions o.f dollars now hoard-
ed or unused in America, France,
S'witzerl'and and Holland, could be
utilized in realizing such a plan, the
factories soon would have plenty of
orders, the unemployed would go to
work again, and with confidence re-
established, the expansion of machine
industry would once :more enhance
the productivity of the world.
But to accom'plis'h this we must give
top the out-of-date methods of eco
noanic natio'natisuin; haphazard lend-
ing for the equipment of production.
must b'e replaced by marketing cred-
its for these who will be new 'con-
nanlers. In the nineteenth century
economic' expansion operated by
meaes'o'f the railway and the mort-
gage battle; in the twentieth century
it will depend upon the automobile
and the credit warrant,
To return to the simile with which
we began, it is not the autom'obi'le
anotor that wants changing, 'but the
state of mind of ,the driver. Only a
new and more rational development
of machine in'dhtstry ,can save us from
the crisis.
(Nights of Agony come in the train
of asthma. The ,victim cannot lie
drown, and sleep is (driven from his
brain. 'What grateful relief is t'he im-
mediate effect of Dr. J. D. Kellogg's
Asthma 'Remedy. It banishes the
feightf tile cond'ition's, clears the pass-
ages, and enables the afflicted cue to
'again sleep as soundly and restfully
las a child. IIn'sist on the genuine at
your nearby druggist.
".The thing for you to do," said the
friend, '"is "to stop thinkintg 'about
'yourself—to bury you'rsellf in , your
work." '
'"And me a concrete mixerl"
•MATTFJRN,,'SAIFE AS USUAL
",Saife at Anadyr, C'hulco'tka, .Siberia,"
Jimmie Mattern!' Significant, that
first word of the message that told a. "
waiting civilization of the arrival of
the American flier,; missing since Jane
115, at a remote trading post in the far
northeas't corner of :Siberia,
"Safe;"
Not "saved' or "rescued," 'but a
statement of a continuous condition
of well-being, of good work in the
past and more good work to come.
And certainly "Jiimimie" Mattern flies
with that thought, in all his work. His
calmness after .the crack-up in 'Russia"
last year, his continued efforts to fin-
ish this flight despite a series of dis
couralging conditions which would
have made most aviators give up and
turn back, have all been carried out,
not with bravado, not with a dogged
determination to go .through at, all
cost, but rather with an assurance that
discourageihents are just a part of the
game, that they really can't hold him
back and that he will calmly "carry''
on."
There naturally wild arise the ques-
tion of the value of the flight, as to
what benefit aviation can gain from
his effort, His 'objectives were two:
First, to 'break the round -the -world
solo flight around the world. The sec-
ond appears the more worthy and the
only one possiblle now. Its value is
the itI agination-capituring possibilities
of a solo flight over ,what will prob-
ably be a great aeriel trade route in
the future.
While Italy's Balbb and America's
Lindberg are exploring the north At-
lantic route, the far less explored
commercial field of the Orient opens
to North American tnade, and the
route of "Jimmie" Mattern appears as
the ,logical course of future Paciific
commercial air travel. As the . Lind-
bergh solo flight focused attention on
Atlantic possibilities, Mattern's flight
should put the spotlight on the north-
ern Pacific.
"Jimmie" Mattern in the very fail-
ure to make his first objective prom-
ises to make 'his second one really
worth while. While a successful solo
flight would have caused a public stir,
his overco'm'ing of obstacles and his°
canning through safe after being miss-
ing for twenty-two days place a uni-
que emphasis on his work and on op-
portunities in the P'aci;flc area.
Send us the names of your visitors.
A total of 544,129 radio receiv-
ing licenses have been issued by
the Canadian 'Government Radio
Branch from April 1 to September
30, 1932, or approximately one to
every eighteen persons of the
population of the Dominion.
A movie theatre has been in-
stalled un R. 11. S. Aorangi on its
Australasianrun and passengers
had the first entertainment in
that line an a recent voyage. This
is the first ship to reach Vancou-
ver carrying, sound movie equip-
ment.
china's fl-st -woman barrister,
Mrs, 1,o Soon hint '15,0. was among
the passengers aboard the Em-
press of Russia, recently sailing
from Vancouver. Mrs. Soon ob-
tained her leen! training in Eng-
land and is attached to the Hong
Kong bar;.
The Canadian people seem to
haves• devet"prrl a ccosictorable
taste tut • tacaroni, vermicelli,
spaghetti and the like Italian food
preparations. Output of 14 Can-
adian factories in 19331 was 20,-
011,423 ponnds as compared with
16,812.625 lbs. in 3930.
'With. Remembrance Day in our
minds, it is tlinety to recall the
brief epitome of Canada's part in
the war nisei -Med on a tablet fn _.
the House of Parliament at Ot-
tawa : — "Six hundred twenty
eight•thousau'O, six hundred forty-
two bore the na.dge or Canada In
Ilse Great W'ar :sixty thousand six
bundled sixty-one wet dearth and ,
passed on."
Good hunting is reported from
the Bales Camp, near blatagauta. '
Ontario, on the main line of the
Canadian Pacific Railway, seventy`.
miles east of Sudbury. Moose
and deer are very numerous close
to the cause and in ono morning;
a couple of U. S. limiters secured
a fine bull moose and a deer. They
killed, to the limit of their licenses
within a few clays.
A free scholarship to be held at
L'Eeole Polyteehnique of the Uni-
versttyof Montreal, offered by tho
Canadian Pacific Railway to minor
sons of employees of the railway,
was awarded to J. P. Lecavalier,
1S -year-old son of Ephrem Leca-
valier, chief clerk at the Mile End
Station. The award entitles to
five years study proceeding to the
degree of Bachelor ofCivil Engfn-
eering.
Canadian' Pacific Railway low
rate return bargain excursions, a
highly popular feature of the rail-
way's operation since February
last, have been and will be well
maintained up to the end of tee
year. Outstanding recently have
been the `trip to Chicago from
Montreal and the sborter Wee
Into and out of the major cities
from•'and to the strtounding pre-
vinces. , The rate and a quart, e •
fare for return trips during tee
Remembrance 'nay botiday w'a
well patronized and this cotat•rs
sign is again to be offered for the
Christmas and New Year boli-
dan. (S'76+)