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The Goderich Signal-Star, 1975-01-16, Page 1• • r.k wt hY. •��+tiA•A 4 , ` 1. DeC;: k"p,r9 $ 7 ..,5 4 Public Libl7.ry, 52 Mantr4a1 St., A 2G4. Goderich,Qu�t. Y ? egression can't happen bu whin *111 the:breaks�. come b BY DAVE, SYKES such visions uring Carladi(ans on to Life seemed so- simple then. For- ttine.s were being rnade,;'industries were realizing un i'm-ited Potential and rowth as ""'"p p Y ros""erit�' ""became • a /com mon .- denominator throu.ghotit North �Americat., It .was too easy to be obsessed 90th the -trivial. The "roaring twenties had' .an almost -fob' good )- quality about it 'and the world would have to pay for it. Then suddenly on Tuesday, Oct.' 29 the stock market tell with a thundering crash. Men lost fortunes and life savings., families were left homeless and drought and dustbowl4 suffering spread across the west while hobo armlet rode the railways across the land in search of jobs. The Great Depre'ssi'on spread like a y' cancer and affected every individual. Generations since' have only- heard ' accounts of the suffering, some of therh fabricated. The new generations greet such 'olden day'. y ,K onic iritis with' �sa„rd grins believing ,that history never - repeats itself . ane!" -:that another , depression is an impossibility. Etut the, seventies, greeted 'us, with rising costs and an equal demand for high4r wages. Oil prices reached an 'all-time high ..causing 'havoc among s whie"uern- e ataseady ate ina-- rn i sts non produci gnatlo loyment fi uj,es .ro ain the f IAd is -ti ',enin q . �: ituation n oar^econ rescurrying through' worn textbooks to see if the syr"nptom•s compare. Can it happen • again? new frugality. J.R. Kirmber,,•' President of the Toronto Stock Exchange, is.opfimi•stic that the ec9nomy will grow in the latter quarter of 1975. Although share prices dropped on the exchange by 30 per tent in '74 over 73 he believes they .should rise in the, new year. He attributed the erosion Q,f the stock prices and high 4nterest rates •on investment and tax..' squabbles between Ottawa and the provinces which stymied trading. Kimber bel,ieves that people see less need to save because of such govern- . menti programs . as health , care. and pensions and that Ca=nadians. need tax incentives to encourage 'savings. p" W, Earle McLaughlitn, president of the Royal • Bank* of Canada, estimates • that ' Canada's economic activity will grow by 3 per cent by the, latter part of the year. Canada's wealth and. economic future lies ,in its- ample energy supplies and abundant agricultural., mineral :and, forest resources and should not be developed 'for a domestic rmaa:rket:Onty. He also-- however,thinks that -domestic fl omestic ination would run high caused by a -sharp rise in oil and gas prices'. . Arthur -Smith, former Chairman o g eco .omic/Council of „Canada a low pr, siden of the Conference Bo (a noy`profif/economicforecasting i.d Fres rch ,,group) is.. 'confident' he economy, v09 'expand/ b y 5- per cent- in - 1975. r -. - Smith •-termed the economic slowdown in:,` the US as a `:large Economists warily admit that • recessioneand that of ,Canac i as,Ssimply another depression can not happen but ' a slowdown. He is''.conf'ident that the. . inflation or recession: touches Us no consumer demand •on goods and 'ser - matter .where we stand and •,must be vices -will continue to grow and If •we given' some careful' and • calculated ea are to realize expansionrfarmers must altentian. • s. be(encouraged to grow more food. Despite the similarities, that 'exist ' A spokesman for 'the Royal Trust .. between the late twenties and the 'Company was not so confident in the middle "seventies.' there are, also some forecast as that company predicts a ;striking differences which will act as continued slowdown in the 'Canadian safeguards: against another 'crash. In economya.for •thq,.lext year. • 1.9-2-9 the -stock exchange -was the--or-w<-of :The-:..RoyaI Tr_u.sL.,Cci -sees several_._ the North American economy. tt was a negative trends forming in '75 except place where , rnon'ey was raised to in the area ••of business capital spen finance almost every' major venture. .ding. The company predicts restrained The people believed in Wand fortunes consumer,,spending, Flow housing lived and died by it, .starfs,, export 'resistance, more Today the stock market is not the . pronounced labour strikes and a rise in .focal point of, the `economy. Cor= the unemployment figures. This,•will 1orations are generating most of their mean a .sluggish. economy operating fund from within the company by reinvesting their profits. Companies- may ompaniesmay also steer clear of -issuing public stock by using government spons red programs -'such as regional develop merit incentives,- forgiveable . recession or even- bordering on' one. provincial tloans and tax write-offs. In' Technically a recession is defined as ' this way tie economy can grow despite two successive quarters of decline'• in a Slide in the market. s real Gross National Product growth. In In 1929 when business was negligible, 1974 Canada realized three quarters of investors withdrew frorn the market, declining ecortorriic production but still so expansion stopped, factories were 'managed a growth rate of 3:8 per cent,. closed up an -d -workers were 'laid off. ' In 1974 stocks and bonds depressed, Today if ansion funds are,becoming business slowed, profits were down .in tighter actory, doors may close but some cases -Ad unemployment rose. It. 'workers may turn. to 'unemployment insurance or welfare' and with this income people , continue ' to spend. „ f\ithough'people will spend,les's and the ' BY JEFF SEDDON "L. love- . children, I• them around.'"' This „is the reason El; Westbrook gave when asl ed;' why she gave :sp,mttch of I.4 time to the Goderich -D''° Nursery. Ella, is a valuate worker at the nursery. a has been for the past thr years. She began her nursers work at Knox Preshyteriai) 'Church. She worked with the retarded cliildreti '.who 4 tended pre-school classes the church. When the classes were combined w the nursery school operate: by the town Ella continue:, as a volunteer concentratifl ' her ,efforts on ' the, hard dicapped. A resident of°"Goderich fo the past 28," years Ella r married and • has ' twt#ri children of,. her "own ase wel'' as two -grandchildren. •After,~, her own „children "wvti,er' ma'r'ried and. gone from thea" house. Ella found hi.mselff.'''� gettin lonely wIfen her. husb a'y`'at work. "I • really can help." Villa cannot predict the future' but she ,dies, know that now she has no desire to leave the aur.seryr—and_ no intention of doing'. so_ ,She feels. that th.p only thing that could make her give up the work is ssvnething happening, in her personal life °that the, nursery work could affect.,.: 4"I love children, I. need them •around," she repeated.. -Goderich council b• riefs Councillor Sim.. Peters,, • newsy elected to Goderich " " 'Town Council in the December, election, reluc- tantly agreed last. Thursday M1. venin to serve a5 chair 'maof the 'bp j >Com - t et not a' of time; ink I 'ha uch time 1/ think - as anyone at t is ;:table said Councillor Peters: --``I'm just not ` interested in' boating... I'm not a boater and I have no interest in the . Councillor harbor. i Counc'Peters-also' told council he'takes his vacation inthe, summer months when * the, boating season ,. is at: its 'peak, Re said he was, anxious to work hard for the ';town, but felt this committee was out of his lin Veterat`t 'Ctqunler uE getting lonely ho , e dal e and I felt.I cosi be r Kelp at nu ,ser acid I ,wanted to be' with "the children,",she said. Her time spent working with ` the 'children, has been ..very rewardi'hg for Ella and over the years she has developed a ex strong emotional tie.with ' the '. pre- schoolers. Several of :the children stand pit, in her memory'"but sberemembers=•. all •of them and .loves. • thew, all the same: Theo youngsters offer . E1; • the same joy. ,and emotions' the G derich 'Nurse for the past' that she encountered raising • Ella- \vestbroak eight has been vol,unteertrtg her time to Day ry her, own family. She, gets,. "three yeors'.because s'he loves children and needs to have -„the around her. Her she watches • and frustrated at Debofah Scp,tt have fun with some playdough; Deborah is a victim of cere6al ,t�alsy ,and• Ella angry d there. ' when they are, spends o Ii'itleextra time with her enco'uraging her to tr. 'things for herself. (staff photo) mischie qus; sh irs-prodd' of . them when' they, learn with the other children .• • 'see.--aIo-t•e£'time, with is below .potential, but the decdine,is not likely -to slip into,a.recession. The outlooks for the coming year are , not overly encouraging and yet few economists will admit .tha,t.we rein a 0is expected that unemployment may reach its highest level sinoe World War' . 911', 7percent: Generally .the forecasts for Canada are good, but they are also demand for products will slacken it °' based on a light impact of the energy will not completely disappear. shortage in Canada. . Today's economy has a built in plus ' The consensus of the forecasters factor than was non-existent .in 1929. ' suggests' a gain- is r Canada's Gross Canadians are how collecting govern- Naticrtlal P -duct of 2,or 3 percent. This :hnerrt p ensiCtis and '734 mtillon would-- mean --bur.. worst. performance• o•£ Canadians,collect an ,average of $264?er since 1970 and., is -only half of our month in ,family • allowances. There - potential but it is a move in aositive were no minimum wages then, no' direction. • • 'private pension'plans, no Medicare, no . , Finance . Mihiste- oh.n_-Turner hospital insurance, WO welfare system. predicts a growth. rate.of 4 percent in As the economy -,moves deepen into the GNP , despite . some depressing trouble the welfare state commits ,,factors that plague our economy., He mire funds to un'eMpldyment and expects that consumer prices will rife. fartiily ,irt'surarrce. ' `above last years 11 percent' increase It would' be seemingly impossible for. andhat a decline in housing con - any government to crack down on such struction will be a major weakngs"in' things 'as minimum wage or `welfare , , the economy. Howeverxhe.dietreiterate benefits if. the recessiotm continued to that e prolonged recession in the skid into the doldrums. United States ist the biggest deter- �,, But if out• economy is equipped .to mining factor for -growth -1'n Canada° prevent another Black Tuesday when 'His outlook, however, isbased on no will the break -s9" camel' Will) the conflict 41 the Middle East, no oil 'economy simply stagnate on the et'nbargoes; no trade wars and Tabor 15—order—of.' recession? Will pr -ices con- peace in Canada. One can hardy ex- tinue to rise with the Unemployment-- pect labor peace as incomes,will gave rate and,the demandfor higher wages? to rise 12 to 12 percent to keep up,with With: 1975 barely 'a few weeks old, the consumer price index. some of, Canada's top -economists are, Economists are predicting that entertaining -visions of a prosperous Canada will ease into a growth 'pattern new year. 'Others -refuse to entertain '(u ntinued ' on page someth g new or paint her •Deborah Scott. , d h comforts • :1 was'surprised.and very, •Doborah has cerebal a picture an. she them and shares their pleased .whs~n.,, he started to y palsy,'a disease that ha8 left sorrows when they stub a toe. walk on his, own,” she...,said, her 'handicapped from 'birth:'� or pine a finger. while, at"the .-•"He soon becarrao., a handful , Ella's..special feeling for pinch, g at.,the .nursery but. I. became the, huindicapped drew her to nursery schol. One child tha Ella rec.ails .really mttached_thim and ' l�c�}�or•�mh and she devotes working with was a little-b.oy- .miss him now that, hto is most of her three mornings a ..that was severely' retarded. gone.: weu-. to ,the tittle girl. She He had not learnpd'fo'walk , Children— leaving the encoul•tges her to' ploy with nursery to go to schor�l is one s• ome of the. nursery' to:ys and . and' ;'when he first came to- > ��f th.e things to which the, chxp c,t•i.r�1Ln-ts, .with things the nursery -he would just ,lie p around and not try ,.to'''do worker, ' including Ella, hoping to arouse- Deborah's °anything, with th`e••; ., other never get accustomed. Some interest and endourage her -'children• '' o of , the children, are. in the to discoverthings on her Ella spent:a'great deal of classes for two years hut, -the own. She.,, helps ihher.•around • time with' -him; :playing and majority 'are enrolled; for the ,nut very so .that she can trying to encourage -him . to only one. • « atch . e other ' chil^dren .~ walk: When she .had all, but , Last . year Ella -worked given up.hope the youngster • closely with three retarsied.. l• When Ella leaves the �' children and theyare ,'all got up .and tried to walk. nursery she does n-ot leave • Convineed that he could'do it, gone new; This ya.c�.f the 53 children"- She has cle..velopPd if he ,worked at it she e6n- youngster•s attend�ing..,....the i, rel t-i�l.nshi.p ith the tinu.ed to ,coax him and soon Lay .'Nursery, 18 -are ,in thc� cnil'dren in her neigh-, was' up on ,his own and class with whie'h °l,la � "Orjis. h,,urhood an enjoys their One of the students she is o.;ti� an from t"im"e-•'to'itme. running around the nurseryP' Y - �, R r FrIt 6 't • Valk m hanited Peters for hi._ to � 'j°,�>�� i� • -statement, and •sttg el Willingness to place; b n- cillor Peters'' on another Committee. ; . , • ` ',Other 'membe.rs of council , '0ccasa hall the._:rte,, dr ii: -'did` not -have*--'-tire same. in the neighbourriood come :reaction. over to the house and just :Deputy -reeve .Bill, Clifford; wants to play or. Jtalk. -I enjoy.last year's chairmang,:of. . the their-44rpany They have Harbor Committee, offered' always been •a,;hig part• of my,ry, to_...be of as much assistance- -. life;." she said.:. • as possible. to. Councillor •Desnite .the visitors she' Peters. has at homy `„Ila misseS the ' Reeve ,Stan- Profit told children at the nursery. She Councillor Peters it is the • feels her rrfo'therly, instinct is 'duty ofevery member of ' the cause of her need to be council to he interested in -all with children, and although 'facets of council work, and she enjoys' the peace and to become familiar with- the quiet of • her ,home, she decisions of all committees; wishes the ,children were He suggested to Councilzlor • ters that one -does not there Willi her.- . Pe The trust that Ella has necessarily ' _hay.e --to be a built up with the children , boater or interested in boats extends through .tug,4 t o -to serve efficiently'.and,' of parents of her studedts."She festively as chair -Man of the feels she has won the con- harbor coniinittee,�� '' `'_.__. fience� of the parents and Councillor Elsa Haydon t,hi5 means a. great deal to:• remand" that during the her. recent election campaign, no "I feel, I'm hieing of soiree one who "was runmi g ' for ' help," ---she said. "f' feel 1 council told the voters he'or she was interested in only certain areas of the vubrk. ' ' She asked Councillor °Peters to tell council which corn- ,— ._. �.mfl,tec_ii preferred , to be' chairman of,, noting that ail committees ;had chairmen who w'obntent with theireir appointmviouslyents,co. -'-'C"&ohcillor • Pe.ters said .,!,`,..work. on any-cominittee but the harbor , committee" would have been welcomed by,,hi th�- "1 is is•'what, I, get for being honest and open about this'", skid 'Councillor PUC Marching Kazo-, Band 1 Tiro P1J�. Cr, rn'isS'orler. ,oh."ci Eo piuyeo MorchySh,t ktrto, fO "�1 : 47 played SF'vertll,'nt.�sln. nurnigr+rs for the guests n' the 661 r,''�iC�l.' banquet nod fn,r' 13th Mllls and G.corge f Iiynger The KalnnS 11, ,e • • R4: Worsel' ctnd Harry Crane ac- rri thp M(MiLlrin F,orn!ly of she pcirty (staff%photo) • Peters. Mayori Deb Sh,ewfe,lt suggested the matter` tabledand more thought given- 'to the subject, °bit, Councillor Peters told council that with the" assurance that Deputy -reeve Bill ° Clifford • would be available for-- advice arid, . assistance, he was wiping to serve as harbor committee "-chatl'mari.' • During the •com-' 't'nunications of the, mayor ,segment of last week's regular, council .meeting, Mayor meeting, - Mayor Del? Shewfelt. told , dbuncil the • proposed im;, a ,: l _ continued on gage 11A)•