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The Rural Voice, 1995-02, Page 40PERTH iltai County Pork Producers NEWSLETTER Harry Bardoel, President ' The Rural Voice is provided to Perth County Pork Producers by the PCPPA. Hog prices take an encouraging turn Any opinions expressed herein may not necessarily reflect the views of The Perth County Pork Producers Association. As I sit down to write this newsletter, one can't help but be encouraged by the recent upward trend in market hog prices. What is most encouraging today is the positive movement in the futures prices. A hog futures contract is 40,000 lbs. liveweight (approximately 170 pigs). After taking the futures pricing and adjusting for the basis, dollar, carcass weight, etc., hog futures contracts in Canadian dollars/CWT carcass/100 index delivered to Ontario plants look favourable. At the time of writing (1:00 p.m., January 18, 1995), the contract prices available were calculated as follows: April/95, $140.75; June/95, $160.35; July/95, $159.15; August/95, $156.20; October/95, $146.75; December/95, $150.75; February/96, $153.60. If contracted in June/95, an 84 kg carcass at 108 index would gross $145.45. This is certainly much more comforting than late this past fall when the same pig grossed under $100. At the time of writing, the average futures contract price for the last six months of 1995 is approximately $152/100 index. How would a new finishing barn pencil out at $152/100 index? To determine this, I used the following parameters and assumptions: 1) 1,000 head, naturally ventilated barn @ $250,000 2) $200,000 was financed @l0 1/2 per cent, amortized over 10 years 3) a 25 kg weaner cost $61 4) live weight shipped was 104 kg @ 79 per gent dress and 107 index 5) 1.25 per cent mortality 6) Trucking & Marketing costs/pig of $4.50 7) Variable Expenses/pig of $3.50 (Vet, Health, Taxes and Insurance, Utilities, Repair and Maintenance, Manure Removal and Misc.) 8) Feed Cost/pig of $47 9) Weaner pigs and feed were financed at 9 1/2 per cent ($2.75/pig) 10) 3.35 Barn Tumovers/year After all expenses and payments, the return to labour per pig shipped is $7.43, or $24,000/year. A required contract rate equivalent for a similar net return would be over $20/pig. On Friday, January 13, I had the opportunity to travel with the PCPPA Executive and Communication committees to meet with Lindsay Barfoot and Nancy Brown -Anderson of Price Waterhouse. The meeting was to address some concerns some Perth County producers had with a few of the recommendations Price Waterhouse had in their Operational Review of Ontario Pork. Lindsay is the acting CEO of Ontario Pork. I believe the time spent was beneficial to both parties. We may not all agree with the severity of the comments or recommendations made by Price Waterhouse, but I for one was impressed with the professional, aggressive "determination" they exhibited for instilling their ideas to unify and improve the direction and services of Ontario Pork. Price Waterhouse concluded that Ontario Pork must make fundamental changes in many aspects of its operations, and that it would take "courage" to implement the required actions and decisions. Price Waterhouse's strategy is five-part: 1) Shift from producer focus to industry focus 2) Shift from a paternalistic approach to an independence approach 3) Re -invention of co-operative methods 4) Recognition of producers as stakeholders and packers as customers 5) Improve staff efficiency Price Waterhouse was challenged on recommendation #18, which was to "contract with Price Waterhouse to manage the implementation of recommendations and invoke change". Their response to this challenge was straightforward. Their low-risk option after the first 17 recommendations would have been to say "good luck" to the Pork Producers of Ontario. Price Waterhouse opted to stand behind their recommendations and to help Ontario Pork implement them.0 Pork Products available from: Fred DeMartines at 393-6812 Martin VanBakel at 345-2666 Dennis Zehr at 595-4771 ANNOUNCEMENT: PCPPA & HCPPA ANNUAL CURLING BONSPIEL Exeter Curling Club February 4, 1995 $60 per rink Contact Mike Zurbrigg, 284-2079 FEBRUARY 1995 37