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The Rural Voice, 1992-01, Page 26PREVIEW FOR '92: by Mervyn Erb What are the number crunchers down on the farm saying these days? With the pile of paperwork filled out over the past ten months, farmers are painfully aware of their financial situations. There was a dramatic increase in farm foreclosures in November. Before creditors can foreclose, the farmer and the farm debt review board must be notified; usually, these notices run 20-30 per month. In November, that figure jumped to 120. Looking back at the road we've travelled over the past few years, what lies ahead? What's the opinion on the concession roads? I put that question to Grant Jones of Kippen, who farms about 400 acres and keeps a small herd of beef cows and feeders. Asked how he plans to spend his newly arrived white bean tripartite cheque, GRIP cheque and soon -to -arrive NISA cheque — on a new tractor? new planter? Caribbean cruise? — Grant's reply began with the reminder that there hadn't really been a 1990: "It was a whole year we missed," he said. "Poor prices, no support, high costs, inadequate income. 1989 was the drought: poor crop, no prices. And 1988 wasn't that great, either." "But what about new equipment?" I asked. "4.9 per cent dealer financing, no payments until June — you can't beat that kind of a deal." "You still have to service the debt," Grant pointed out. "Sure, I've got some equipment that needs to be replaced but, this year, it's going to be repaired instead." In Grant's view, the wisest course of action is to pay bills, pay down the operating loan, pay off term loans and put aside funds for that poor year that inevitably comes around every five years. I decided to slip up the road and CHI In this time of economic uncertainty, farm finances hang in the balance. Despite low interest rates, caution in spending and borrowing is the prevailing word. (Photo: Daniel Holm) visit Ross McBeath. Ross farms several sections and, with his cohort Brian Triebner, rents property in several townships. Was Ross wallow- ing in recent government support payments and tripartite money? "Listen," said Ross, "GRIP and NISA are here to help, not for throwing away blindly. I put hard- earned money into those programs and I don't intend to throw it away. "This is the time to pay down debt," he continued, "not to add to it." Like Grant, Ross was prepared to resist buying new equipment, despite low interest rates. "I've got some old 22 THE RURAL VOICE 1