The Rural Voice, 2001-12, Page 54(RLmnR)
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50 THE RURAL VOICE
Grain Markets
I—
Zzzz! The sound of
the markets
By Dave Gordon
November 23, 2001.
Grain markets have been so quiet.
one would think that many traders
have fallen asleep. Since the USDA
reports of November 9, prices gained
a little strength but now volume has
dropped off and there has been little
volatility. It appears that the U.S.
corn and soybean crop sizes are still
growing and I think the next two
USDA reports will probably show
slight increases. The same can be said
about the Ontario corn crop. Yields
are quite variable, but I now think the
crop size will come in over 200
million bushels. This means that less
corn will need to be imported and a
good portion of the imports are
already here.
CORN:
The USDA increased the corn
crop to 9.546 billion bushels which
may be partly attributed to genetics.
It seems that today's hybrids are
much more tolerant to drought and
heat than older hybrids, and yet we
don't take this factor into account
when estimating production. It will
probably take an extreme prolonged
drought to affect production in the
coming years.
Given the fact that the U.S. corn
crop is getting larger, the projected
carryover is also growing and will get
larger unless domestic use increases,
because exports rarely meet
projections and the U.S. is already
lagging last year's shipments.
In Ontario, the corn crop is better
than most people expected. We will
still be 30 - 40 million bushels short
of usage, but no one was prepared for