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The Rural Voice, 2001-02, Page 22R.T. BOLTON & SON DEPENDABLE QUALITY PEDIGREED SEED ADVANTAGE 519-527-0455 or 519-527-0205 Seaforth ADVANTAGE • Atr1'tv,lU Pf * NEW * AC AYLMER - OATS High yield food quality, disease resistant AC ALMA - BARLEY 6 Row Feed - high yield AC AYLMER - AC ALMA Mixtures 50:50 - 65:35 - 35:65 SOYBEANS OAC ATWOOD for 2675 C.H.U. Early Export Quality Yellow Hilum OAC AUBURN for 2775 C.H.U. Top yield brown hilum soybean OAC ARTHUR for 2750 C.H.U. Yellow hilum soybean WHITE BEANS ASPEN Upright bush -type Excellent for direct cut harvest * All Are Non GMO Varieties * SeCan 16e Sc.,. a/„ Sill (1.041111 uhue OATS AC STEWART High Yielding Yellow Feed Oat AC RIGODON High Yielding White Oat OAC PAISLEY Top Yielding Yellow Oats for Mixes AC FRANCIS High Yielding - Disease Resistant White Oats BARLEY CHAPAIS 6 row Feed Barley - short straw - high yield SOYBEANS OAC WINGHAM Early 2625 C.H.U. Brown hilum WHITE BEANS OAC SPEEDVALE Early Bush -type navy variety RED CLOVER AND GRASS SEED MIXTURES AVAILABLE CropAdvisory.com Mervyn Erb CPCC-I, CCA Brucefield, Ont. 519-233-7100 & Andy Megens PAg, CCA St. Marys, Ont. 519-284-3199 Michael Hunter CCA Susan Schurter GIS Specialist Ripley, Ont. 519-395-0254 PRODUCTION MANAGEMENT CROP ADVISORY SERVICESfi MEMBERS: NATIONAL ALLIANCE OF INDEPENDENT CROP CONSULTANTS STRATEGESt 18 THE RURAL VOICE required for corn (beyond a nominal starter amount) or for soys, when P soil test levels are above 20 ppm on a bicarb test, or above 40 on a Bray -PI test. Additional P is not needed in wheat and alfalfa where P levels are above 25 ppm bicarb. Additional P will not produce a yield response in edible beans when soil P levels exceed 20 ppm. When it comes to nitrogen, you can't choke here. Do not undercut N. When it comes to wheat, suffice to say different kinds and end uses require different rates. With the outrageous price of N and the poor price of wheat, wheat could be the worst dog on the block. Maybe it will all winterkill. On corn, I would not go over 1 Ib. N for each expected bushel of yield. Weather is the most important factor here. Remember 1998 and 1999? You all got 20-35 more bu. than the lbs. N you applied. No, 90-110 Ib. N is not enough, but 130-140 Ib. should do it in this reading area. Equipment costs: Everything I've talked about up to now is really just nickels and dimes. The cost of dealing tractors and combines is going to reflect full, straight-line depreciation values and they are going to be biggest we've ever seen. Present commodity prices would make a new Farmall M look risky. The way it's going, only mega farmers will be able to cash flow new equipment. Land costs: Rent is worth 90 cents per bu. of corn yield potential. For soys it is about $2.75 per bushel of potential, for edible beans it is 7 cents per pound of yield, and for wheat it is worth $1.30. Yield potential is that particular field's long-term average, or your crop insurance average, NOT your 1998/99 yields. Land that is poorly drained, or is heavy clay, or very sandy and drought prone, is too risky and is worthless at today's commodity prices. Bottom line: The banks are already tightening up and raising interest rates on LOC's and termed out loans. Unless Chretien, Vanclief and Hardeman wake up and smell the coffee, or have a re -vision of agriculture and the forces that are against it, it is going to be one ugly year.° Mervyn Erb is a crop consultant at Brucefield, ON.