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The Rural Voice, 1981-12, Page 25ADVICE ON FARMING Learning from our mistakes "We learn from our mistakes." "Those that don't study history are bound to repeat it." "The bearer of bad news is often shot." I'm reminded of these old sayings as I begin this article. It's a review of what I see happening on farms that are now in financial difficulty. 1. Most problems have occurred where there has been a major expansion in the past three years. 2. During expansion farm managers did not make adequate arrangements in advance for financing of total expansion and to maintain income during this period. 3. Expansion has often been for non- productive assets with borrowed funds. 4. On a number of farms where there are limited -use facilities constructed with borrowed funds (e.g. slatted floors, high costs silos) --the owners are locked into high repayment schedules. There are no other uses for these facilities and the operators cannot diversify. 5. Borrowings have increased to pay expenses, provide family living and/or catch up on accounts payable. 6. Most problems can be traced to reduced income from lower prices of beef and pork combined with higher credit costs. 7. Borrowers and lenders were alerted to their problem via a depleted bank account. 8. Most of the farmers have equity, some with substantial amounts. However, equity is eroding away each year. 9. Farm records that do not adequately indicate the health of the business appear to be a major problem. Records kept on a cash basis for tax purposes and a balance sheet kept to provide a list of assets on hand at fair market value to provide security for borrowing purposes are not adequate. They do not reflect the potential of the business and the activity of the farm manager. They may provide a false sense of security. 10. Normal operating expenses and capital expansion have occurred on borrowed funds. Requests for additional credit have been refused during the cyclical production period. This is often due to a lack of adequate proof as to where present borrowings have been used, and the lack of a plan documenting the need for additional funds. 11. Two decades of inflation with the ability to refinance as security increased kept many individuals in business re- gardless of the management ability of the operator and the financial health of the farm business. 12. Because of inflation people did not expect farm prices to level off (as supply and demand of commodities reached equilibrium). 13. The criteria used in making loans may have been too optimistic and unrealistic expectations were used with not enough left over for risk. 14. Individuals have operated on the basis that bigger is better and not enough allowance has been made for com- plications associated with larger operations. 15. A limited amount of business understanding on the part of farmers causes them to sign things that are not understood. 16. Communications have broken down between creditor and borrower. Individual farmers have not been satisfied with the requests and/or responses that they have received from their local bank re- presentatives. This dissatisfaction may or may not be justified. Jack Hagarty. Farm Management Specialist Computer corn drying Corn growers may soon be using a computer to save energy by increasing corn drying efficiency. Low-temperature corn drying is gaining in popularity in the United States, but Ontario weather conditions often make it uneconomical. The University of Guelph has developed a computer program to control low-temperature drying and make it economical in any year, says Dr. Lambert Otten of the school of engineer- ing. Low-temperature drying yields excel- lent quality corn with very little dry matter loss. A slower process than conventional drying, it consists of forcing outside air up through perforated floors into the corn bin. The continuous air stream, heated slightly by electric heaters, can dry corn down to 14 to 16 percent. The problem arises, says Dr. Offen, when the moisture in the air is higher than in the corn being dried. Then you are increasing the moisture content of the corn by blowing ambient air over the corn. If continuous fan operation is used, wet air often defeats the drying effort, wasting energy and making low-temperature drying more costly than high-temperature drying. On the basis of a computer model he has developed. Dr. Otten estimates that in Ontario, continuous low-temperature dry- ing without supplemental heat is less efficient than conventional drying in 62 percent of the years in the London area and 15 percent of the years in the Toronto area. "We're trying to prove low-tempera- ture drying will work and work efficiently if controlled," says Dr. Otten. He estimates that once the computer program is ironed out and the low- temperature drier at Arkell is running smoothly, a microcomputer with a built-in control program will cost a farmer about $2000. One control box would control all of a farm's bins. Apart from controlling drying, the computer will also circulate air to avoid spoiling during prolonged inclement wea- ther. It will also shut down drying completely over the winter if corn is not completely dry before cold weather starts. MAILBOX OF THE MONTH Foamy Acres, Huron County (photo by Dean Robinson) THE RURAL VOICE/DECEMBER 1981 PG. 23