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The Rural Voice, 1981-12, Page 127.3 . j co Farm and Commercia Ken Janmaat, Seaforth 527-1858 after six 0 the traditional buyer of this type of equipment, the up and coming young farmer who is expanding his operation. is today an endangered species." The president of ORFEDA, Fred Lobb, says if the farmer is in good shape financially, the dealers have nothing to worry about. He thinks the figure of six Huron County dealers going out of business is based on a study by Robert Lanning, an equipment distributor with a wide knowledge of dealer problems. He predicts a 30 per cent decrease in dealerships across Ontario, not necessarily Huron that will lose 30 per cent of its twenty-two dealers. Lanning's predictions are based on the high interest rate and a decline in purchasing by farmers. Lobb sees a transfer of debt from new to old machinery. He found offers by some dealers "unbelievable". Some are willing to trade for a very small margin. "Some pay as much for an older two-year old tractor as others sell a new one for," he says. He says most dealers are decreasing their inventories as much as possible, "but there is no profit on deals until the used equipment is sold. If, for example. we sell a piece of machinery for $50,000, and take in a trade-in for S30,000 we have $20,000 in hand. Add to this $1,000 for service and warranties and we must sell PLETCH ELECTRIC WINGHAM •Residential •Farm •Industrial •Commercial • Motor Rewinding •Complete Motor Sales Phone Collect 357-1583 PG 10 THE RURAL VOICE/DECEMBER 1981 the used equipment for $21,000 just to break even. Before this problem time we were looking at a few thousand above this. "But now we look in the ads and find our competitor offering a similar piece of equipment for 521,500. We have no choice but to sell at that price which gives us $500. This amount is easily eaten up by interest charges." Lobb has found that most companies give good support to their dealers. However. there are some who are pushing their dealers. These companies don't have much in the way of reserves themselves. But Lobb has nothing but praise for most companies. They give interest-free loans of up to eleven months to farmers. Others. like New Holland. who used to be quite hardnosed. now give considerable more time for payment (at a price). The president of the dealers' as- sociation doesn't believe there is much poor management in the farm equipment business. He thinks a lot of people got caught expanding at the wrong time. No one foresaw the tremendous rise in interest rates. Lobb said he knew the high prices and high volume sales couldn't go on. but nevertheless. most dealers increased their inventory. Many companies were pushing hard in the good times. Lobb admits he too got caught in the sales talk. A few years ago his company sold twenty-four Mixall manure spreaders, with incentives provided by the company. When the incentives were off the next year, Lobb ordered another six. The sales representative chided him for his lack of confidence and convinced him to buy twelve. still only half of the previous year's sales. But today there are still six of these spreaders on the lot, gulping interest. "Is that bad planning. bad management?" asks Lobb. He finds there is a big difference in different parts of the province. As late as last May. a number of executives with his association reported the best year they ever had, but they are not the norm. His company, on the southern edge of Clinton, made many more sales this year south of Clinton than further north. He finds the cattle country worst, followed closely by hog -producing areas. Lobb refuses .to be negative. This is reflected in the ORFEDA brief to the OFA Task Force which says: "A vibrant, strong and healthy Agricultural Industry could lead this country out of its despondency. We have available land and resources unequalled anywhere, but we have to restore the confidence of the farmer that he is involved in one of the most basic and necessary occupations and see that he is rewarded accordingly." There may be no other alternative.