The Rural Voice, 1981-05, Page 22ADVICE ON FARMING
Buy /and, hang on, banker says
A group of young farmers in the Blyth
area held a meeting to discuss the
problems of getting into farming. One of
their main problems is the high cost of
land. Many young people simply can't
afford very much land.
A banker suggested to the group that
they should buy land regardless. He
suggested that it was as safe (low risk) as
government bonds. He noted that most of
his highly successful clients were also
large owners of land. The message was
buy land and just "hang on." Inflation
will look after you. Not everyone agrees
with this theory. There are even some
investors who wonder at the value of
investing in government bonds.
Since the early thirties this type of
advice has worked with certain except-
ions. Land, however, tends not to inflate
at a uniform rate. Prices will jump in
large amounts as a response to good
grain and livestock markets. The last year
'or so, land has not been inflating too fast.
High interest rates, tough beef and hog
markets have reduced buying pressure on
land. The guy who is just "hanging on"
is getting nervous.
If you're a potential farm buyer, keep
in mind your requirement for operating
capital. The farm isn't much good if you
can't stock it, crop it and maintain your
machinery as needed. Yob can usually
refinance against land equity to get
more working capital. Remember that
this refinancing will cost you 18 to 20%
interest. Is your land inflating that fast? If
not, you're losing equity.
Risk is related to how much money you
owe. 1t your land purchase over -extends
you financially and you get forced into
several rounds of refinancing, you are
assuming more risk. If you're buying land
partly as a hedge against inflation, it
should increase your security not de-
crease it.
In my opinion, a lot of young farmers
have no choice but to limit their land
buying. Their production units don't have
enough profit to buy a lot of land. The
cash flow requirements are just too Targe.
In this area, land can be leased for 3 to
5% of its sale value. Ownership costs
{itterest, principal, taxes and insurance)
will require annual cash outflows of 15 to
18% (or more) of the land's value - at
least for the first few years. If the heavy
ownership cost leads you to refinancing
against land equity, the requirements will
PG. 20 THE RURAL VOICE/MAY 1981
increase due to the high cost of 2nd and
3rd mortgages.
Land rental or share cropping agree-
ments may be ttie only viable alternative
for most young farmers. You might ask
yourself. "If land is such a good, secure
investment, why doesn't my bank own
more farms - intentionally that is?"
If you have the cash or can afford the
payments, land will be hard to beat as an
investment. If you don't fit that descrip-
tion, you'd better look at other alternat-
ives. An owned land base is essential to a
viable farming operations. The young
farrier may just have to develop his land
base very carefully.
[Perth County Farm News]
In the r9^e to get on the land,
don't forget tractor safety
ManYfarmers are anxious to get out to
work on the land and in their haste
neglect tractor safety and machinery
maintenance.
"Tractor rollovers and tractor -related
accidents account for more than one half
of all accidental farm deaths," says Larry
Swinn, public relations co-ordinator of
the Farm Safety Association of Ontario.
"Many of these accidents occur in early
spring."
"Too many farmers try to beat the gun
by getting the tractor out on the land
before the soil is dry," he says. "The end
result is that they lose time pulling the
tractor out of the mire."
Attempts to pull the tractor out of the
mud can also end in injuries and
fatalities. With enough pull, an improper-
ly hitched tractor can flip in less than two
seconds.
"There's only one way to hitch a
tractor and that's from the drawbar,"
warns Mr. Swinn.
In the spring rush, many farmers also
neglect routine machinery maintenance.
Failure to keep machinery in good repair
can cause costly downtime during peak
season and can also cause personal
injury.
"In the past couple of years we've
become increasingly concerned about
preventative maintenance," says Mr.
Swinn. "An increasing number of far-
mers are trying to get an extra year or two
out of their old tractors and related
equipment to, avoid buying new equip-
ment. Older models need routine repair
work or complete overhauls to operate
safely."
Mr. Swinn urges farmers to take the
time to repair old equipment before the
season begins. Order spare parts before
they are needed because parts for older
tractors may be difficult to find on short
notice. Be sure to replace all safety
shields before using the tractor.
"Safe operation of tractors and farm
equipment takes time, but not as much
time as it takes to recover from injury or
the financial Toss of downtime during the
growing season."
Market hogs
down in US
is thc turn in hog production at last
coming? Recent reports from thc USDA
point in that direction. The March 20th
report says that hogs on the US farms arc
down to 91 percent, breeding animals
down to 89 percent and market hogs arc
now 92 percent of the numbers counted a
year ago.
Farrowing intentions from December
1981 to August 1981 are also down by ten
percent.
The futures' market has already re-
acted by increased contract %•alurc.
It is still an historically high number of
hogs. and with the heavier weights both
in Canada and in the USA and an increase
in beef numbers, price recovery will
probably not be as sharp as was hoped
last fall.
While it won't make a dent in the pork
supply. it is encouraging to know that a
small shipment of pork has been made by
an Ontario trading company to a Chilean
importer. There are no trade restrictions
on pork to Chile and the trading company
hopes to make enough of an impression
on the importer so that more and larger
shipments will follow.