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The Rural Voice, 1979-05, Page 39October applications. This means a lot of nitrogen in the sludge escaped into the air, instead of being retained for use by plants. Estimates of loss were 60 per cent for May and 56 per cent for October. These losses occurred in the first six to seven days after surface application. Research on liquid cattle manure applied to the soil surface in the spring showed available nitrogen losses of 30 to 33 per cent in the first week. Studies conducted elsewhere with solid manure have shown much greater losses, depend- ing on conditions. Clearly, volatilization is a real problem for the farmer who wants to get maximum value from manure or sludge application. Research indicates that these losses can be prevented, or at least significantly reduced. The University of Guelph study identifies one way farmers can minimize loss. During the May experiment, the field was disked on the fifth day after sludge application. Subsequent levels of ammonia in the air above the field were substantially lower than on previous days when sludge was left on the surface. Just as water beneath the soil surface is more likely to be used by the plant than lost by evaporation, so the nitrogen in manure or sludge incorporated into the soil is less likely to be lost to the air. The experiment also showed that losses through volatilization were greatest during the first two days after application, and they decreased over time. So, if sludge is incorporated into the soil to capture the nitrogen, it is vital that this be done as soon after application as possible. The best method of application would be one which injects the liquid manure or sludge immediately into the soil. This would have a secondary advantage of reducing odor, particularly important near urban areas. Experiment results suggested that loss of nitrogen may also be related to air temperature and rainfall. More research is needed in this area, but indications are that some atmospheric conditions may be more favorable for application than others. For example, rainfall may reduce nitrogen loss. Timing applications according to weather forecasts, as is now being done for fungicide spraying in some areas, may help minimize nitrogen loss from sludge or manure applied to forage fields, where immediate incorporation is not feasible. Production forecasts as crucial as weather Forecasts of production and prices are becoming as important to farming as forecasts of the weather. Government also needs agricultural forecasts to make decisions about policies and programs. Plans for stabilization, transportation and trade agreements all PG. 38 THE RURAL VOICE/MAY 1979 require accurate and timely commodity forecasts. Economists in Agriculture Canada's Policy, Planning and Economics Branch in Ottawa are developing new commodity forecasting models. The models include all the major var- iables, such as prices, production, con- sumption, inventories and trade, that affect sales of the commodity. The models are fed into a computer. It calculates how changes in any of these variables will affect the other factors. Agriculture Canada's models cover the major grains and livestock—wheat, feed grains, beef, pork. dairy products, poultry and eggs. They also cover major farm inputs such as machinery and fertilizers. Most of the models can provide regional information as well as a national picture. Some also compute U.S. market variables. The wheat model describes the inter- national markets. All models can give short -to -medium term forecasts. In addition to aiding policy decisions, the models are used to improve the department's outlook program. These models now are being linked with others to form a single model for the total agricultural sector. It will aid in forecasting retail food prices, farm incomes, and costs and agricultural production. This project will also provide a large date base of commodity information for other types of studies. Chemical producers are regulated Manufacturer s, formulators, and primary distributors of pesticides in Canada have an organization which speaks for them --the CACA or the Canadian Agricultural Chemical Association. Athough pesticides represent only 2 per cent of the farmer's input costs, they provide, conservatively, some 30 per cent more in food production than would be the case if they were not used. No commodity sold in Canada is as highly regulated for health and environ- mental safety as the pesticide chemical. Agricultural health and environmental authorites, both federal and provincial require exhaustive research and field data to establish product safety before a registration may be granted. Registration can be immediately revoked and withdrawal of a pesticide from the market is implemented at the slightest hint of risk Now the Canadian government is begin - How do you want your NITROGEN? Goo0 CO -00 Aqua Ammonia for corn side dress or pre -plant. With 3" to 4" depth of application. Nitrogen is available when needed in the early stages of growth. Convenient to use. Custom application services available. Anhydrous Ammonia for side dress or pre -plant on corn. Apply it yourself or ask at your Co-operative about custom application to meet your requirements. Dry Nitrogen for top dressing fall wheat, hay, pasture, and corn stover. CO-OP spreaders available for either own use or custom spreading. Lucknow LUCKNOW District Co-operative 529-7953