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The Signal, 1912-9-26, Page 7sUpra.lib ewe, ■ TICE MINA tiU Olt - 111111911111181110 III URI Report of Ontario Hydro-Llectric Commission on Sup1yfor' Huron County The following report has been trade is to the resobialoa of the Municipality Of Goderieb, to the Conn- ry of Huron, asking for g, dsteilsd re - i as to the pooslbiUths of power Mvelopmeat on the Maitland River, sad also estimates oovurlitr� m the of power delivered fro1 e N System. Market Possibilities of the Geluty of Hares. In October, 1911, the engineer eau - rimed the power market of the Coun- ty of Huron, mod an estimate was prepared. covering all the power et present in use In the various Muni- cipalities, and deo an estimate of lbs probable demand for electric pow- «. The investigation covered the towns and villages of crud t7 u tided below : - flatimated Prob. present Municipality. tor in power �. Rd eepow. Auburn...... 01972 H. P. 150• H. P. BsyQd Heigrave.. 60 >l0 Bsnmiller 100 26 Butte IS Blyth 285 100 Bluevale 36 10 Brucefleld 80 50 Brussels . 880 100 Centralia 50 10 Clinton 860 300 Crediton .150 60 Dashwood. 200 76 Dungannon.... . 60 26 Ethel 100 60 Exeter 546 900 Fordwicb 40 15 Ooderlch 1 000 600 Corrie 66 16 Henssll . 906 160 Hills Oreeo..•95 20 [ippon 26 10 Kirktoo 15 10 lokelet 40 25 Loodeeboro'100 16 McKim .. 16 10 Ilewbridg.... 10 10 Port Albert.... 90 26 Seaforth 409 400 Sblpks 60 10 8t. Helen40 26 St. Joseph 26 10 Varna 20 10 Walton... 05 26 Westfield" 40 26 Wingham 500 250 Winthrop 20 10 Woodham 50 10 Wroxeter170 76 Zurich 146 100 Total 6752 H. P. 3010 H. P. The Maitland River u a' Soiree 11 Power. The natural source of power for the (booty off Huron,. Is the l[dtland River. which class on the bright of land between Lake Erie and Georgian Bev, and flows into Lake Huron through the Town of Goderich. The watershed of this river is about 960 quare miles in extent, and is largely drained and deforested. As a revolt, the natural flow ebarauteristios have Imo destroyed, and the watershed d the Maltd Rlyer, is comon with the water sheds of mother rivers in this southwestern peninsula. has an uncontrolled rulpoff which products heavy spring freshets, and a conse- quent low discharge during the late rummer and eats autumn periods. The abnomr•1 Sow characteristics of :be Maitland River to a large extent discount its value se a source of pow- er, the more so by reason of the fact Wet its watershed ie almost entirely lacking to natural storage basins. The country throughout the whole area is cleared and for the, most pert, culti• rated, so that the land damages and construction costs in connection with the establishment of remedial works of sufficient magnitude to adequately off- set the effects of dxainage, cultivation cad deforestation would be prohibi- tive. In view of this fact, the power possibilities of the Maitland River considered as an Independent wears a continuous power, can only be discuss- ed on the basis t>t minimum flow, in adjunction wttb such advantages as can be derived from local pondage. The total drop of the Maitland River from headwaters to mouth is approxi- mately 900 feet, but the topography of the watershed is such that no natural heads of any co mina exist, the gradient of the river being fairly uniform and the average velocity high. As a result, power can only be developed by diveteton or by the crea- tion of an artificial head, or b • com- bination of bath methods. mi. con- dition, in conJnnetlon with the poor run-off regulation, will tend to make power development expensive, and to intonate the annual cost of power. The above 1eneral facts, and the posrai roncludonsdeduced therefrom. sicomprined practically the sum total of all ydreulic data In ooni'otlon with safely used Maitland when the Huron County whams first became a definite issue. The proper consideration of the scheme, therefore, nee eltated at the outset a systematic 1 op of the flow characteristics oft Malt. 4ot1 P.'rer. Cwtoogg to the desire of the euul, y autborltles to have a re- acet daal the tom possible 41t•. It was nlk ievestigatione for oneear onei the ly. ekes understandived ng that t by the l�mf tvtli !triad Medd not he emeidered as Mal esu merely as Ind reaablelm" ihtllU.. The intent to which d*hew▪ d. was attained will now be mon IhrIy in May 1911, a ganging eta - Ka ens• wtabllshed at BesteUlur, and ;knee that date monthly msuaeoseets kb. have been made, and la am - Mahn with them msesstr_aeta deify IOW&%t of water Ind grin deo Me - Vrecords obtained up to the Mat time ars tabulated hereunder �M Discharge Weter H.P. per tiny t b per see. Levet at heed ed i4_ eve r -R. 14.17 %I•ti-- y37 l4 hp. t>s 15.39 [1110. Oct. 16- .47 t3 53 at it NOV.210- 4044 Dec. aa- tido •• 14.3 340 14.30 hp. 0 +oy hp. Jan• *7- 732 " Ice 63 hp. Feb,se-- 306 '• Ice. Mar.31-- aI16 " Ice. 76 hp. Apr. 6--4t000 '• ao.a6 34ao hp. Apr. 7 s000 " 21.60 54so hp. A12o hp. >Rditmia0- 15eme 16.13 485 hp. minimum on A.g.30- 120 " 13.18 to bp. The last item in the above table is Inserted by raason of the fact that there was no actual measurement of flow taken when the water -level reached its lowest stage of 18.17 at Benmiller, as evidenced by the daily records. The estimated disc of 110 cubic feet per second is con•idtvd to be • generous one and is to be con- sidered the minimum volume of flow' eo tar recorded. The now character slice of the river during the term covered by these re- cords may be summarized as follows. 1) The minimum run-off of the watershed was about 196 cubic feet per second per quare mile. (2) The maximum run-off of the watershed feet per was about 88 cubic scoped per square mile, (3) The ratio of minlmum to maxi- mum flow was as1to642. (4) lbs low stages of flow occurred during the months of July, August, September and October. The Intermediate stages of flow occurred during the months of Novem- ber, December, January, February, March and June. (6) The high steges of flow occurred during the months of April and May. Then records also indicate. - (1) That the river is extremely sen- sitive to the effects of rain -fall. neatthe river is seriously de - in in ground storage capacity. (8) That deforestation, cultivation and drainage have so accelerated the run-off that the ground storage of tbe watershed can never 1,e filled to its natural capacity. The tailing off i11 discharge from 66,(00 sec. ft. on April 7th to 1437 sec. ft on April 27tb plain- ly Indicate•e the existence of this con- dition. The records so far obtained seem to indicate therefore that the discharge of the Maitland is mainly dependent upon surface run-off and the power capacity of the river from month to month will vary almost in proportion to the monthly precipitation on the tributary waterbed. This contention is borne out by the evidence of the Mayidischangee, On May 19th, 1911. there was 42 H. P. per foot of bead at Benmilier, wltb the May precipitation slightlybelow normal. On May 90th 1912, tere was 486 H. P. pas foot of heeW at Be: miller, with the May pre cipltatlon 900 per cent above normal. This intimate relation between rain- fall and power capacityindlrate+d tbe ce nessity of determing what re- lation the monthly precipitation dur- ing the year coveted by the records bore to that of previous yeilrs, and precipitation records from all meteoro- logical eteoro- ol gieal stations located in or Adjacent to the Maitland River watershed were obtained with this object in view. Them records proved to be so distort - meted and otberw(se unsatlrfactory that an eshaustive analysis , of the sante would have been useless'. : The figures relating to precipitation have therefore a low degree of accuracy, and are submitted only becaww of the impossibility of procuring more re- liable data. The figurer in the table below were rreupiled from precipitation records taken at Goderich for 96 ye,.rr, at Clinton for 8 year's, at Mount Forest for 7 years, at Stratford for 18 years, at Lucknow for27 years. and at Lie rowel for 10 year.. The first column contains the average of all records of monthly precipitation to date, and the ercond column contains the precipita- tion for the corresponding months dnr Ing which the flow characteris- tics of the Maitland were being in- vestigated, Geo, Avge. Mouth- Monthly Difference ly Precipt'n for Precip. in average - all years. during Abve Below Mesm't. Jany, s913-3.55 in. 4.7o in. t.15 Feb. 2912-2.e5 in. 2,12 in. 0.83 Mar. set 2-2,62 fa. 1.39 in. 1.03 Apr. 1912-3.15 in. 2.10 in. 0.05 May 1911-2.93 in. 2.71 in. 0.22 June 1911-2.91 in. 2.02 in. 0.19 July :911-2.91 in. 1.90 in, Lot ug. 1911-2.,fs in. 2.59 in, 0.12 Sept. twit -2.16 in. 3,st in. .85 Oct. loft -3.39 in. 4.451n. 1.06 Nov. l911-3.4 in. 4.31 in. .84 Dec. 191 r-3.48 in. 2.13 in. 1.35 It will be seen from the above that the monthly precipitation during the year of investigation fell below the general avenge during the months of Febrmary, March, April, May, June, July and December, and was above the general average during the months of August September, October, November and January. Studying the --flow characteristics found by messbrement during the years of 1911 and 1912, the following McMillan' are derived. (t) The winter precipitation for teto-rt was slightly lethan the Developm•et of Power M the a average but greater than the winter pre- Black Hole cipitation for 1912, the tendency being The projected scheme of develop - therefore to produce • slimmer Sow is ment at the Black Hole involves the 1911 slightly above the average, and creation of an artlficlal head and also greeter than the summer flow tai 1912. • diversion. it is proposed to build a (2) The spring precipitation for 1911 dam of wfildent height to back the was st1gbtly grester than the avenge water n to Benmlller bridge and to but tench less than the spring wet -Mita- further increase the bead by diverting tins for 1912, the tendency being there- ib. flow acmes the neck of • sharp fore to produce a Spring run off, and bend in the river. The additional t�osasqueatly • slimmer fcw, slightlybead obtained by this diversion will above the average in 1911, but Mee than will be 6 to 15 feet, depending upon wesM obtain in 1912. the relatives locations of the dam and (3) The lamsser precipitation forpower hones, and the total average as test wcos.: dm below . avenge, bead ayallahle would be about f0 fleet. t5. (sedency therefore being to produce The largest Item of capital east 1e a semester flow less than the average. the eonnectlon with this development b tendency being to peodace as autumn the dam construction. and before the end winter flow greeter than the average flow characteristics of the river had (4) The autumn precipitation for been Ievestlgatad it wast.hoegh4 that MMU wee cossidersbiy above the aver eartb-dll eosstroctbs could le end for the mate darn. but the abasemel ▪ As rysrds.sasteer low is tett, we flood flow oneditioo. .sN.eud hp hew thenfsre two factors, the wisest � this '• Maar ref aping pe dpltatioe awl the .prise the pr.ctteal inigeseihnley 1neetfl teadin`` to snake 1t a nazimam COST OF POWER TO GODERICH DISTRICT -NIAGARA SYSTEM th b the elect of +oug ground storate COSTS AS PER Gose -LEADS AS PER (3-4pt.sX- and one tactor, the Sommer eci stomp. FULL DEPREC.-POWER TRANSMITTED FROM Tim NIAGARA SYSTEM ONLY VIA tion, tending to make it a minimum by meson of • summer ruoyfl which was below the average. Inasmuch aa sur- teoe low is assumed to be the govero- ing factor as regal the discharge of the Maitland River, it may be reason- ably stated that the summer discharge for 1911 was really below the average and also that the summer discharge for 1912 nay be expected to be greater than that of 1911 and possibly above the average. In the matter of autumn and winter Sow, that shown by measurement during 1911 and 1912 is probably much ggrr ter than can ordinarily be expected• as the autumn Freelpita- tion was se mach in cacaos, of the average. Smaller values for diaeh•rge are to be anticipatedt6• coming autumn and winter f, duringsseems probable, the precipitation more closely approaches the average. To conclude this potion of the argu- ment it may be said that, as regards the low characteristics of the Maitland River, the outstanding features are. first, its sensitiveness to the effects of rain -fall, and secondly, its dependence upon surface run-off .a against ground storage. Therefore, while the conclu- sions above set forth may cover the general behavior of the river over e cycle of years, the occurrence of ab- normal or unusual precipitation phen- omena during some particular season maygive rise to temporary conditions of ow, the nature of which it is not now possible to anticipate. The initial decision that the Black Hole power -site was the beat suited to the requirements of the Commission and the County of Huron is amply i)edified by the results of the subsequent nvestigation. The minimum capacity of Io H. P. per foot of head proves the necessity for developing under the highest powtbre head that to phi- s conditions trill permit and that capital cost will justify, and also for choosing a site providing the bat facilities for poadage. in order to make peak load storage c•pecity a maximum. The Black Hole site, with an operating head of 8o feet, and something over 700 acres of pondage obtainable, fulfils the required conditions more .tlafactorily than any other possible location on the lower river, and has been considered t0 the exclusion of all others. Referring back to the table of dis- charge measurements, the power capac- ity of the Black Hole site, under an 8o foot head, upon the various dates of flow measurement, would be as follows : Date of Continuous Prob. comb'd to Measure- 24 -hr. pwr. hr, and 24 hr. ments. capacity. capacity. May 19;11-656o E.H.P. r o,00o E.H.P. June 14, -3680 5,800 " July 20, -2000 3,20o ,. Aug. 11, -1130 i,Soo Ang.3o(min)800 " ',too " Sept. 18, -1120 I,68o " Oct. 16, - 168o " 2.400 " Nov. 20, -27200 " 38,000 Dec. 22, -8560• " 12000 " Jae. 37, '13-5040 .. 7,10^ ., Feb. 39, -3360 4.700 " Mar. 28, -14040 " 21,000 " Ate. 26. -9600 " 15,40°0 '' May 3o, -38 " 62,000 " Considering the above figures in connection with the conclusions de- rived from the study of precipitation, the following general statements with regard to power capacity would semi justifiable: - (1) The Spring flow will, under ail circumstances, produce power in ex- cess of economic installed capacity. (2) The Summer flow was prohahly close to the minimum during 1911 and • larger Summer power capacity may be anticipated under average condi- tions. (3) The Autumn precipitation and late Autumn Sow was considerably in excess of the average, so that the power capacities established by measurement during the Autumn and Winter of 1911.12 cannot be consider- ed normal, and conditions much less favorable should frequently obtain. Considering the power capacities in connection with the market demand as previously listed, it le evident that even under average condition., the Summer power capacity of the Black Hole rite will not be sufficient to carry the Huron County load, so that some portion of It will always have to be carried by Niagara during the Summer season. and probably at times in the early autumn. Also while the Autumn and Winter capa- city may at all times be sufficient to carry the Huron ()minty load, it le by no means certain that sufficient sur- plus capacity will be available to supply anxtliary power to the Niagara System. As the Maitland River wit) be obliged to furnish power t.o the Niagara System during the Autumn and Winter months to compensate for power obtained from Niagara during the Summer. the serious nat- ure of this condition Is evident, for unless the Maitland River can furnish auxIllary power during the peak load period when It is required, the Summer power supplied by the Niagara System will have to be paid for by the County of Huron. STRATFORD. 1'no?OSITtoN A -L Municipality H. P, Delivered Plus Volta Int. 4% Goderich 600 19900 $9177 Bayfield 150 2900 86 63 Clinton 300 13200 21i1 17 Belgrave 9) 2800 41 83 Wingham 260 13700 42 27 Brussels 100 2800 49 (16 Birth 100 *00 47 90 Hansell 150 2200 36 61 Zurich 100 2700 4170 Exeter 200 9800 37 37 Crediton 50 2900 6193 Dashwood 75 2900 46 47 Seaforth 400 19900 29 91 Goderich Hayfield ClinBelgrave Wingham Brussels Blyth Hensel, Zurich Exeter Crediton Dashwood Meatortb Goderich Bayfield Olinton Belgrave Wingain Brussels Blyth Hensel' Zurich Exeter Oredi ton Dashwood Seaforth 2406 760 996 460 46 375 160 150 216 160 800 75 112 800 3607 1000 300 800 00 500 200 200 900 100 400 100 150 800 4810 Plus Plus 8. Plus De- Malot. 1.5X Fund 1.8% prec.(full) 481 42 39 48 48 67 Be 40 '64 38 80 137 64 $46 12 78 50 23 84 81 36 38 36 46 66 62 58 78 70 98 07 67 23 06 18 19 86 64 86 96 09 66 92 83 86 8647 16 58 Ott 41 56 46 70 48 98 49 71 61 76 91 71 71 919 23 18 68 43 81 40 47 37 74 44 51 PRorosrriow A-9, 13900 424 41 427 56 2200 81 69 36 35 13210 24 74 27 90 2900 33 42 38 49 1.4200 31 71 98 19 2900 38 48 48 50 2300 37 71 43 57 22011 29 21 39 24 2200 32 18 37 49 9200 80 47 34 74 2200 37 02 43 61 220u 3p- 08 42 38 19800 25 04 27 87 PROPOIITION ♦.3. 138)) $22 30 426 Oki 2200 28 61 30 49 18700 22 55 25 85 2800 29 20 33 52 13200 27 80 31 66 2200 33 06 37 96 2250 32 46 37 22 2100 26 29 20 78 2200 28 90 32 00 2200 27 29 30 96 2200 34 76 40 17 2100 32 01 36 78 13200 21 87 26 40 1131 33 p-7 60 4206 5251 31 88 38 04 44 56 64 86 41 66 50 91 55 71 89 28 50 68 63 62 38 04 46 06 43 26 53 50 99 86 48 60 50 66 64 29 49 24 82 02 31 26 3645 $2, 31 433 38 36 18 43 39 28 72 83 70 38 80 47 28 36 06 43 78 43 85 64 78 42 96 62 51 33 85 40 77 37 92 48 37 35 37 42 73 48 67 58 92 42 60 62 91 28 45 3K 06 Extension to the Strstford station to accommodate 4-12611 K. V. A . trans- formers stepping down from 110,000 volts to 44,000 volts. Transmission at 44,000 volts to etemdown stations at Black Hole, Hen'sall and Belgrave. Development at Black Hole not included. COST OP POWER TO GODERICH DISTRICT -POWER GENERATED AT BLACK HOLE-44,0oo V. TiE LINE TO NIAGARA SYSTEM. PROPOSITION B-1. Municipality H. P. Delivered Plus Plus Plus 3. Pius De. Volts Int. 4% saint. 1.5% Fund 1.8% prec.(full) Goderich 600 13200 419 41 $23 08 429 68 435 61 Bayfield 150 2200 28 17 33 30 42 54 56 15 Clinton 900 13400 19 54 23 27 29 98 35 74 Belgrave 90 2200 37 82 44 07 56 32 71 82 Winghaw • 250 13200 36 82 41 47 61 84 06 46 Brpssels 100 =CO 44 53 51 67 84 62 86 26 Blyth 100 2200 43 47 50 44 63 00 33 00 Hehsall 160 2200 32 01 37 22 48 50 59 11 Zurich 100 2200 98 70 42 68 53 46 69 70 Exeter 210 2300 33 52 38 96 4)4 75 82 47 Crediton 50 4300 56 97 64 05 78 51 102 84 Dashwood 75 4200 41 92 48 76 61. 07 81 40 Seafcrth 400 13200 90 39 35 Q4 43 41 63 61 2405 PnoPoeITION B-2 Plus Plus Municipality H. P. Int. Maint. 4% 17. Goderich 760 413 76 $10 37 Clintond 223 19 08 23 29 450 13 86 16 Belgrave 45 26 20 30 58 Wingham 373 24 85 28 32 Bruatels 160 90 81 35 81 Blyth 150 30 08 34 97 Hamill 295 22 27 25 90 Zurich 160 23 45 29 07 Rxeter 300 23 31 27 16 Crediton 76 32 28 87 82 Dashwood 112 29 0) 33 61 Seaforth 000 f'0 96 24 30 3807 Plus Depose. *2t 08 29 79 21 28 38 48 33 97 44 81 43 77 32 00 3727 34 09 47 27 42 26 30 36 PROPOSITION 8-3. Municipality H. P. Delivered Plus Plus Plus S. Volta int. 4% Maint. 1% Fund L8% Goderich 1000 13100 *10 40 412 37 $15 92 Hayfield 300 2200 14 (83 17 67 22 61 Clinton 000 13100 10 66 12 59 16 24 B•elgrave 80 2200 10 05 28 41 29 47 Wingham 600 13310 18 88 21 91 17 36 Brussels 900 2200 IS 44 27 28 34 13 Blyth 3)0 2700 22 91 26 84 33 36 Heneail 900 2200 17 15 19 09 25 11 Zurich 200 2200 19 62 22 75 28468 Exeter 400 2200 17 07 20 63 15 96 Crediton 100 2200 24 67 28 69 36 12 Daahwood 150 2900 29 02 25 71 '32 36 Seaforth 800 13201 16 78 18 32 22 90 Pies Sinking Fund 1.8% 425 13 38 47 26 28 49 90 48 21 50 74 58 14 41 96 48 51 4383 63 91 56 52 37 77 Plus De- prec.full) $19 00 2924 19 30 3834 96 tri 46 84 44 45 31 99 37 34 39 42 49 00 43 25 28 51 Tie line 44,000 volts single circuit Seaforth to Stratford. Stratford stal- lion extended and 4-750 5. V. A. transformers installed stepping down from 110,000 volts to 44,000 volts, if 1230 R. V. A. transformers were used instead 01 the 760's t he above prices would each increase 13,' per H. P. COST OF POWER TO GODERICH AND DISTRICT -POWER DEVEL- OPED AT BLACK HOLE -NO CONNECTION WiTH NIAGARA SYSTEM Paoposmow 0-1. Municipality Goderich 011nd Railway Goderich Bayfield Clinton Railway H. P. Del'd P1u. Plus Plus Voltage lot.. 4/; Matt. 1% S. F. 1.8% 400 13200 32 50 88 47 49 07 100 2200 49 06 68 27 73 77 200 14300 38 40 45 20 67 63 800 13200 82 59 388 47 40 07 1,61' PHOPI MIT ION 1'-2. 7110 134)0 19 14 24 et 150 2100 29 76 36 41 3101 13200 22 79 27 20 4100 13200 19 14 22 04 20 78 46 5M 35 14 20 78 Plus Dep'n 40 54 87 66 (1206 49 64 :1007 F4 94 98 66 :30 07 Generate at Black Hole at 13,200 volts and transmit to Goderich. Bay - fleld and Clinton, No connection with Niagara system. COST OP POWER TO GODERICH DISTRICT -NIAGARA SYSTEM COSTS AS PER G-u3-4.0AD AS PER 0•119 -MAINT. 1.57, PULL DRPREC. PRoroemoe D-1. Municipality H. P. Delivered Plus Phis Plus M. Plus De - Volts let. 4% Maint. 1.5% Fuod 1.118 prise. (full) (iodes4h 421 18100 436 02 440 08 446 06 li•ylsld 100 2900 60 85 M 79 Ila fa theta] 900 14100 36 70 42 19 48 71 fiaafertb 8x10 1,1$30 80 67 M 40 41 21 MaUw•v 800 MOO M 02 40 est M 1e1 ilus+ 455 41 17 97 48 78 40 M Igo 41 Goderich Bayfield Clinton Sealortb Railway Uoderwh Bayfield Clinton Seeforth Railway 700 160 300 350 400 1a)U0 200 400 400 500 2600 Municipalities PRoreemoN 13A111 429 84 2200 99 19800 29 13800 26 13310 Ili 13.410 2330 13311) 133)0 1320) 24 86 64 84 D-2. 03270 $3795 4.543 5287 34 15 99 09 3062 3530 32 7u 37 36 PROPOSITION D-3. 426 81 429 15 34 04 99 16 27 51 31 36 34 27 27 76 25 81 29 15 15 4629 86 07 3194 38 15 844 96 88 41 49 88 42 37 44 36 438 8N 56 25 44 22 38 11 38 86 An extension to the Stratford station Arai the installation of 4.750 H. V. A. transformers, stepping down from 110,188) volts to 44,000 volts and trees - mission at 44,000 volts to a step-down station near Black Hole. Transmission at. 13,200 volts to t,todericb, Clinton and Bayfield, and a step-down atotion to 2,900 volts at Bayfield. utilizing this type of construction et the Black Hole. 1t wan therefore necessary to largely increase such preliminary estimates as hat1 been made to provide for a masonry dam. and the hollow reinforced ,vee of construction was adopted se 1, in,( the cheapest and most economic .1 after giving proper consideration to safe and efilcient handling of ice olid flood water. In a general way it may be said that the conditions relative to devel- opment at the Black Hole cot}ld not well be more unfavorable, as the low water power conditions are such as to make the revenue producing power capacities very small, while the flood conditions are such as to call for an abnormally heavy capital expenditure for dam'construction and permanent works. The annual cost of generated power is therefore affected by reason of the fact that the revenue from power generated at low stages of flow must be sufficient to cover the heavy capital charges and maintenance+ costs arising out of the necessity for hand- ling an abnormal flood discharge. Two estimates of the cost of devel- opment at the Black Hole have been made, one for 2000 H. P., and one for 0000 H. P. installed capacity. The 9000 H. P. estimate represents the cost of developing the Black Hole site, as an independent source of power, to the limit of dependable 10 hour capa- city. The 8000 H. P. estimate pro- vides surplus Installed capacity for the Purpose of using the higher stages of flow to supply auxiliary power to the Niagara system. The 2000 H. P. estimate shows a capital cost of 8587,000, and a total annual charge of 445,600. The 8000 H. P. estimate shows a capital cost of $697,000 and a total annual charge of 451,500. Considering these figures in connection with the statements made above as to the effect of a low power capacity combined with • heavy flood discharge upon cost, it is Interesting to noteIn ,- (1) the 2000 H. P. estimate, the dam construction amounts to 03 per cent of the total capital cost. and the annual charges against dam construc- tion alone amount to 51 per cent. of the total annual charges. In the 2000 H. estimate the interest and sinking fund charges amount to 76 per cent. of the total annual charges. , (3) In the 0000 H,P. sstimete the dam construction amounts to 64 per Dent. of the total capital Dost, and the annual charges against dam construc- tion alone amount to 45 per cent. of the total annual charges. (4) In the 6000 H.P. estimate the interest and sinking fund charges amount to 11 per cent. of the total an- nual charges. It is evident from the above figures that tbeannual cost of generated power at Black Hole will be high as long as the interest and sinking food continue to be an annual liability, the more so because the revenue from such contin- uous power as can be generated under conditions of minimum flow will al- ways have to carry the bulk of the annual charge against the develop- ment, owing to the fact that auxiliary power must be sold for 49.40 or 49 00 per H.P. per annum. On the other band, the figures show that at the end of thirty years, when the interest and sinkingfund charges will cease, the cwt of generated power will be very low, providing, of course, that no ex- traordinary conditions arise dnring this period which might cause serious injury to, or the destruction of the permanent works. ESTIMATES. By means of the extended series of estimates submitted herewith, it is intended to indicate ay clearly as pos- sible how existing conditions, as set forth above, affect toe cwt of deliv- ered power. These estimates may be classified as follows : Series A. This series contemplates serving the county of Huron exclusively from Niagara, by means of a 44,0110 -volt line from Stratford and a distribution sys- tem covering the greater portion of the county. Allowance is made for extending the Stratford station and Installing additional transformer ea- pecity. R'timate A•1 rovers the quan- tities of power which are considered at present aysllahle. Estimates A-2 and A-9 cover quantities bel per rent. and 100) per cent., resppeecctively-, in excess of those used in Estimate A -I. An development at the Bleck Hole is not ronelder•d in these estimetee, the it&osmission distance from Niag- ara is the controlling factor as regards Anal Bost. Estimates A-2 and A 8 in- dio•te the extent to which costs can he reduced by increasing the load. Series B. This series eootemplates serving the county of Huron from the develop- ment evelopant et the Black Hole with the Meier* system as a source of auxil- iary power. the same territory being covered, and the same quantities of power heist assumed es to Series A. The oomety system is connected to Niagara the,ugb • tie -line between Aisles and t e•foetb, end the final meta sower all charges 1n .wwine+etroe with the tie -line and the development at the Black Hole. No charge for auzil" power or revenue therefrom is inched in the.. estimates, it being assumed that the surplus output at the Black Hole during high stages of Now will cover the draft uo the Niag- ara System during the low-water period. lids Serie•+ of estimates also shown the effect of so increase in load upon the final cost of power. The influence u(,,,11 cost of the unfavorable l0.ation of the outlying loads is illustrated in Estimate .13-,1 where the runual coat of transmiseioo within the, county ' ' a is t hree to five times the cost of gener.ition at the Black Hole. This condition becomes leas. pronounced as the load increases, until in Estimate B-3 the annual cost of transmission and transformation is reduced to a reasonable figure. Sense C. This series of estimates is leas com- prehensive than those shove described, the intention being to serve ex- clusively from the Black Hole such municipalities as could hs served under conditiousof mlhimum flow. Stena D. in this series the same territory in covered, rad the same quantities* of power assumed as ind$erles 0, but the Black Hole development is eliminated sod the Niagara system is considered as the source of supply. As is Series A, the controlling factor is the trans- mission distance from Niagara Falls. The Series C and Series D estimates form a basis upon which to coin= the Niagara system and the Hole as sources of power under the load conditions assumed. Delivered Voltage In the appended estimates it will be noted that there ie a column showing the voltage at which power is to be delivered. In accordance with the Power Act, the delivered voltege for towns and cities ler 13,200 volts, fwd for villages the delivered voltage is 2,200 volts. The prices for the towns In the county of Huron, therefore. do not include the anneal cost of stepping down to 2.900 volts for local dis- tribution. In the case of villages, however, the prices quoted include all costa except operation, lo connec- tion with the transformer station and apparatus necessary to step down to 2,200 volts for local distribution. EACH ESTIMATE TO BH CON- SiDER EDA SEPARATE SCHEME. It is to be further noted that each series of estimates and each sub -esti- mate is to be considered u a tsepaeate proposition. In Series A, for ex- ample, Estimate A-1 is compiled on a basis of 2,406 H. P. delivered, and the transmission line posts have been esti- mated for this capacity. Similarlyin Eetlmate A-2, the transmission ine costa have been estimated for a capac- ity of 3,607 H. P. This means that if the lines were built In the beginnings for a capacity of 2,406 H. P., accord- ing to Estimate A-1, and the capacity of the lines were gradually increased to carry a load of 3,007 H. P., the final cost of power might be slightlyhigher than it the lines had been buit for a capacity of 3,1407 H. P. at the outset, according to Estimate A-2. This ap- plies to each of the series of sub•esti• maws ea submitted herewith. GENERAL CONCLUSIONS. Two tact.• of major importance, as indicated by the estimates, may be expressed as follows : U) Any quantity of power from 2,6011 H. l', to 5,000 H.P. can under all circumstances, be supplied to the county of Huron by insane of the Black Hole development and N(agat•s tie -line cheaper than It can bssupplled from Niagara direct (2) The Series A and Series B esti- mates indicate that the general dis- tribution of power throughout the county will produce a fair schedule of prices when the total demand reaches 4,500 H. P. In this connection, it sould be noted that the basic factor affecting cost is the total quantity of power taken, the distribution of the individual loads being of se000dary importance. The loade need not therefore be distributed exactly se shown In the estimates of Series A and B, as long as the total power eon- sumption is fulfilled. in view of the above, it was consid- ered necessary to prepare a series of estimates based on the supply of smaller total quantities of power, and stowing at the outset a more restricted territory. Is Series (' the main item of annual rost Is chargeable to genera- tion at the Black Hole, by reason of the face that the heavy annual east of development must be carried by the twenty -minute monthly peak capac- ity of the pleat under conditions of minimum flow. This aeries of esti- mates Is valuable in that it shows what the Black Hole power -site Is worth as an Iodependeet mune of power. The quantities of power enu- merated in Estimate C-1 repswent the extreme limit of the capacity avail- able at the Black Hole based upon pretest information. The estimates of Mertes D bave hews prepared toe purposes or encs o'awe4anaa ea eau+ r