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Times-Advocate, 1978-08-31, Page 3Yes,.. We Can Install One For You Radio /hack ®R5) A DIVISION OF TANDY ELECTRONICS LIMITED AUTHORIZED SALES CENTRE Change in nature of new manpower By JACK RIDDELL MPP Huron-Middlesex Times-Advpcate, August 31, 1978 Page 3 TV TOWERS, ANTENNAS AND ROTORS ... or we can provide you with all the supplies you need to do it yourself. GET OUR PRICE BEFORE YOU BUY Jerry MacLean & Son . , AUTOMOTIVE LTD. „„„„„„Exeler 235-0800 OUR STORE IS BIG ENOUGH TO SERVE YOUR NEEDS... BUT SMALL ENOUGH TO BE FRIENDLY As of July, the seasonally adjusted figure for unem ployment in Canada was 927,000 (or 8.4 percent). For Ontario, the seasonally adjusted figure was 309,000 (7.3 percent). Against this background of nation-wide unemployment, a recent report by Statistics Canada is particularly interesting. The report “Out of School - Into the Labour Force”, concerns trends and prospects for enrolment, school leavers, and the labour force in Canada - the 1960s through the 1980s. It provides a general overview of expected changes in the manpower supply from Canada’s education systems, and possible implications. Declining enrolment APPLICATION TO PARLIAMENT THE CORPORATION OF THE TOWN OF EXETER Notice is hereby given that the Corporation of the Town of Exeter intends to apply to the Legislative Assembly of the Province of Ontario for Special Legislation to provide that: 1. An Act respecting the Village of Exeter, Statutes of Ontario 1899, Chapter 47 is repealed. 2. Village of Exeter By-Law No. 8, 1899, Being a By- Law to provide a fixed general mill rate for farmland in blocks of not less than 20 acres is repealed. In 1899, the Municipal Council of the Corporation of the Village of Exeter set a fixed rate of three and one-half mills on the general mill rate, together with rates for debenture debt, school and county pur poses. The relief was granted to owners of farmland in blocks in excess of twenty (20) acres for such ser vices as electric lighting, fire protection, sidewalks etc. Assessment and mill rates have changed over the years. Some properties assessed as farmland have residences attached, enjoying these services that exemption was granted Tor. Council of the Corporation of the Town of Exeter deem this fixed rate for farmland no longer equitable or fair. By applying to the Provincial Legislature for the Act and By-Law to be repealed will cause the owners of the said parcels of farmland to be subject to full general municipal mill rate (including debenture debt), as well as the rates for school and county pur poses. Dated at Exeter, this 25th day of July, 1978. Mrs. Elizabeth Bell Clerk-Treasurer Town of Exeter 406 Main Street Box 759 EXETER, Ontario N0M ISO DEEP FREEZERS CANNING TIME IS HERE See us for Great Price on ■ Choose from 12' - jl5' - 18-23' & 26' ■ Vd - I models THE PRICE IS RIGHT With soaring grocery prices, one almost believes it impossible to Save on the food budget - Not So! Leave it to us to help cut your food costs. Kelvinator freezers allow you to take ad vantage of supermarket specials - stock up ■ on inseason specials, and feast on your savings throughout the entire year. WHITING'S • Warehouse Furniture and Appliances Unlimited (New and Used)Sales and Service MAIN ST. 235'1964 Exeter been the norm rather than the exception for elementary schools since 1970; secon dary schools are now ex periencing the same decline, which will be felt at the post secondary level in the 1980s. The sequence of the postwar baby boom, the subsequent precipitous drop in births, and the upturn since 1973 has created a wave and trough effect in population figures, which is seen to move through the education system into the labour force. For example, 4-17 year- olds, who were 29.0 percent of the total in 1971, will decrease to 20.1 percent by 1986, while the 25-44 age group will rise from 25.1 percent to 33.1 percent. School enrolment closely follows population trends, because of the compulsory nature of elementary and much secondary school education: at the post secondary level, the size of the 18-24 age group is a determining factor. It has been projected that this latter age group will grow approximately 1.2 percent annually to 3.4 million by the early 1980s, when it will diminish - to 2.7 million by the mid-1990s (a 21 percent drop) - and increase thereafter. The projected post secondary enrolment in the Canada Statistics report is based on the assumption that the enrolment rate will decline from 19.4 percent in 1976 to 17.4 percent in 1986, because of: (1) a labour market sur plus of post-secondary graduates in some disciplines, with consequent unemployment, underem ployment and decreasing wages relative to other workers; (2) a diminishing demand for teachers into the 1980s as elementary-secondary enrolment continues to decrease, and (3) continuation of the recent drop in the total proportion of government expenditures allocated to education (from 22,2 percent in 1970 to 17.0 percent in 1975). A slowly increasing 18-24 PREPARE FOR CONCERT — Members of the Crediton Vacation Bible School were busy Fri day morning preparing for the evening graduation concert. School director Gloria Martin is at the extreme right. T-A photo ISM. By. yIPti Jr Thames Road gathering fetes pair from Arizona age group, combined with a falling enrolment rate results in more or less stable post-secondary enrolment between 1977 and 1982 of about 613,000 students. The subsequent decline in the 18- 24 age group is expected to cause enrolment to drop to around 550,000 by 1986. This is likely to continue into the early 1990s. Part- time enrolment has been excluded from the study, and it must be remembered that part-time students constitute a significant proportion of post-secondary enrolment: an estimated 24 percent in 1975. Phenomenal labour force growth due to emergence of the baby boom generation from the education system has been accentuated by a rapidly increasing per centage of working women (33.9 percent participation rate in 1965 to 45.9 percent in 1977) and high immigration. From 1965 to 1975 the labour force increased an average 3.4 percent a year, sub stantially above other in dustrialized nations, in cluding the U.S. The annual influx of job-seeking school leavers is estimated to have peaked in 1977. Assuming 100,000 annual net migration and a moderately rising par ticipation rate, labour force growth should fall from a yearly average of 3.6 percent in the 1970-75 period, to 2.7 percent during. 1975-80, 2.1.percent during 1980-85, and 1.4 percent during 1985- 90. For the purpose of the Canada Statistics Report, everyone enrolled full-time at any level in the education system during one academic year, but not the next, is a “school leaver”. This in cludes all students who leave school for any reason, graduates or not. Those remaining in the country and eligible to work are referred to as “potential labour force entrants.” The number of potential labour force entrants represents the annual supply of “new” manpower available to the labour force from the education system. While there are other sources of manpower (immigration and the household sector), the education system is the principal one. Due to the baby boom, the annual manpower supply from the education system has in creased rapidly. In 1976, 60 percent more school leavers became available to the work force than in 1966 (580,000 com pared with 360,000). This figure is expected to rise until 1980, when it will decline each year until the early 1990s. By the mid-1980s approximately the same number of young people will be leaving school and seeking employment as in 1970s. Secondary-school leavers have been and will continue to be more numerous than their post-secondary counterparts. But the real difference has respective rates output from the has increased. Between 1966 and 1976, the annual number of labour force entrants from secondary school rose only 26 percent (from 294,000 to 372,000) while those with post-secondary education increased 210 percent (from 67,000 to 208,000). By 1986, the number with secondary education will have shrunk to almost the 1966 level, and those leaving the post secondary system will be more than triple the 1966 figure. Variations in the past were caused by the tendency for a larger proportion of young people to attend post secondary institutions. In the medium-term future, the population’s changing age composition will increase the size of the post-secondary-educated segment vis-a-vis those with secondary schooling. This results in relatively more highly educated labour force entrants. In 1966, approximately 19 percent of new labour force entrants had post-secondary credentials or had completed part of such a program. The percentage rose to. 36 percent in 1976, and is expected to be more than 42 percent by 1986 - a drastic change in the nature of new manpower in only 20 years. More on this subject next week. been the at which two levels Owners of smaller businesses we provide: • Financial assistance • Management counselling (CASE) • Management training • Information on government programs for business Can we help you? See our Representative ROSS ARMSTRONG at: THE DEVON BUILDING, 476 Main St. S., EXETER on: EVERY TUESDAY FEDERAL BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT BANK (Branch Office Address) If convenient, please call collect for prior ap pointment 1036 Ontario St., Stratford (271-5650) Tie A HURON COUNTY I ■■ V HOME SHOW WINNERS Over 50 door prizes were given away during the Huron County Home Show which was held in Goderich last month. Here is a partial list of some of the winners. A complete list of all the winners is available at Discount Dave’s head office, Suite 1601,275 Dundas Street, London, Ontario, N6B 3L1. By MRS. WILLIAM ROHDE THAMES ROAD A family picnic was held Sunday at the home of Mr. Zion By MRS. THOMAS HERN Zion West United Church held their Memorial Day service, Sunday afternoon with a good attendance. Supply minister Paul Schoth had as his sermon topic, Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow. Mrs. Lome Hern accom panied the music for the ser vice. Mrs. Wm. Spence, Woodham and Mrs. Wm. Strong, Seaforth former members of the church sang duets “I need His hand” and “If you knew the Lord. A brief cemetery report was given by board member Bill Morley from a history compiled by Ross Hern, dating back to 1853 when the cemetery was incorporated. and Mrs. Archie Etherington in honor of Mrs. Etherington’s brother and sister-in-law, Mr. and Mrs. Robert Abram of Arizona. There were about 30 in attendance from London, Lucan, Orillia, Picton and Sparta. The sympathy of the community is extended to Mr. and Mrs. Etherington in the passing of her brother the late Harry Abram recently. PERSONALS Mr. and Mrs. Bev Alex ander and Craig, Mr. and Mrs. Mac Hodgert, Lee and Pat spent a few days last week at French River. Mr. and Mrs. Lome Ballantyne and Wendy and Mr. and Mrs. Murray Daw son, Larry and Brent spent part of last week at the Daw- son’s cottage on lake Timiskaming. Mr. and Mrs. Glenn Jeffery, Alan and Connie were Sunday supper guests with Mr. arid Mrs. William Rohde. Mr. and Mrs. Doug Rohde and Karen, Exeter were visitors Sunday even ing. Tammy Friesen had her tonsils removed at Universi ty Hospital, London Friday. Get well wishes are extend ed. Mr. and Mrs. Howard Cun nington and family visited Sunday with Mr. and Mrs. Jim Romphf, Arkona. Misses Janet and Joyce Cunnington spent Monday at theC.N.E. in Toronto. Sunday church services will resume September 3 at 11:15. It will be Rally Sun day and the Sunday school members will receive their seals and diplomas. They are asked to meet at 11 a.m. SCOTT'S LEATHER & TACK SHOP 120 Sanders St. W. Exeter, Ont. Phone 235-0694 Complete Line of Western Saddlery Bridles, Halters, Bits, Pads, Blankets, Girths, HORSE HEALTH CENTRE -Fly Wipe, Shampoo, Absorbine Etc. -Lee Jeans & Jackets -Western Boots, Hats, Belts & Shirts -Hand Crafted Leather Goods SPINDRIFT SAILBOAT Shari Bowers, RR 1, Kincardine, Ontario C.C.M. 10-SPEEDBIKE E. Hulley, R.R. 6, Goderich, Ontario 26” FRANKLIN FIREPLACE Chris Hyde, 163 Suncoast. Goderich, Ontario CEDAR SWING Mrs. A. Best, R.R. 2, Grand Bend, Ontario BAR SINK Luella Noble, 330 Carling Terrace, Wingham MIAMI CAREY VANITY Gerald Willis, 231 Carling St., Exeter, Ont. G-E STEAM IRON Dennis Regier, Box 225, Zurich, Ontario BLACK & DECKER CIRCULAR SAW Lois McNally, 379 Catherine St., Wingham, Ontario 4’ SET, KITCHEN CABINETS John Fahner, R.R. 2, Crediton, Ontario G-E CARVING KNIFE W.F. Arhle,216 Catherine, Wingham, Ont SINGLE LAUNDRY TUB Hugh Rundle, R.R. 1, Centralia. Ont. TERRACE PINE PATIO TABLE George Hiles, R.R. 2, Goderich, Ontario ROCKWELL 9” TABLE SAW Roy Gingerich, R.R. 1, Walton, Ontario 10-SPEED C.C.M. BICYCLE Jirti Elliot, R.R. 3, Goderich, Ontario 9x12 CONSTELLATION CARPET Mrs. Harold Robinson, Gorrie, Ontario Thank You From Discount Dave Over 3,500 people attended the Huron County Home Show which was held in Goderich on July 7, 8 and 9 More than 60 exhibitors were on hand to show and demonstrate the newest and finest products in home improvement. And more than 50 door przes were given away.We congratulate the winners, and we hope that all those who attended came away from the show with a better understanding of the products on display and more confidence in the realization that most do-it- yourself projects are easier than you think. We’re grateful to those who helped make the Show an outstanding success, particularly the members of the various service clubs who handled the ticket sales And we at Discount Dave's trust that the Show gave everyone a better insight to home improvement. DAVE CONKLIN President