HomeMy WebLinkAboutThe Lucknow Sentinel, 2016-03-16, Page 44 Lucknow Sentinel • Wednesday, March 16, 2016
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Den Tandt: Best leader for Tories might be the one they already have
Judging by the tone of recent
Conservative commentary, a
bright future lies ahead for
party Stephen Harper built.
Behind the scenes, however,
some Tories are less than
thrilled with the menu of lead-
ership hopefuls now on offer —
leading some to speculate a
draft -Ambrose campaign may
be in the cards.
Rona Ambrose, though she
now holds all the authority and
privileges of the leader of the
Opposition, including the offi-
cial residence at Stornoway,
gained that office with the pro-
viso that she not be a candidate
for the permanent leadership.
But that is not necessarily set in
stone. A draft -Ambrose move-
ment, were it to yield an amend-
ment in the party's rules, could
change this. Judging from what
I've heard from some Conserva-
tives recently, including at the
recent Manning Centre confer-
ence in Ottawa, such a move
would not be unwelcome.
The reason? He's getting lots
of attention already today so I'll
just say this: His initials are JT.
He's in Washington this week,
having a fantastic time with his
friend Barack Obama.
In a candid chat recently, one
Conservative insider walked me
through the pluses and minuses
of the various leadership hope-
fuls whose names are most
often bandied about, though
none have officially registered
to run. Leading the pack is for-
mer senior minister and party
co-founder Peter MacKay,
whom polls show
(0).
4
Column
Michael Den Tandt
will immediately become a
front-runner should he enter, as
he is widely expected to do.
MacKay is affable, handsome
and articulate. But he is no
longer the fresh -faced young-
ster on the political scene. His
record in cabinet was mixed. As
Minister of Justice, he presided
over a series of social -conserva-
tive -leaning bills that seemed
pre -destined to run aground at
the Supreme Court. At Defence,
he stickhandled the F-35 fighter
procurement deal that went
supernova in 2012. It was
Ambrose, you may remember,
who was tasked with picking up
the pieces.
Jason Kenney, Harper's long-
time minister -of -everything,
remains a very influential force
within the party. He is smart
and terrifically industrious. But
I've spoken to a series of senior
Conservatives who say they
can't see him as leader, and cer-
tainly don't see him seriously
challenging Trudeau in 2019.
Appearances and tone count;
these two may have too much of
a Kennedy -Nixon vibe going for
such a faceoff to work in the
Tories' favour.
Tony Clement is competent,
indefatigable, and has been a
force in conservative circles
since the Unite The Right days
in the late '90s. At Treasury
Board, he pulled off the near -
impossible; taking money away
from other departments with-
out becoming universally
despised. But he suffers from
some of the same drawbacks as
Kenney; in a head-to-head con-
test with the Dauphin, he'll look
like the stodgy sedan next to the
flashy convertible, though
Clement is just 55.
Lisa Raitt has often been
mentioned as a potential next
leader. Consistently during the
Harper era, when something
fair-minded was heard to be
uttered from the Tory side, she
was its source. Like Ambrose,
Raitt always steered clear of the
worst of the previous adminis-
tration's stick -in -the -eye tactics.
Her roots in the party, however,
are deemed to be relatively shal-
low. That's code for the Milton,
Ont., MP having little chance of
picking up the support she'd
need in Alberta and north -cen-
tral Ontario.
Kellie Leitch has been floated
as a potential candidate; she
suffers from the same problem
as Raitt — a low profile in the
ridings — and additionally is
held back by her role in the
"barbaric cultural practices"
press conference with former
minister Chris Alexander,
widely deemed the nadir of the
2015 campaign. Leitch could
run for the prospect of elevation
in a future cabinet; the chances
of anyone's putting up the
money this race will require —
with a spending cap of $5 mil-
lion, plus a $100,000 ante — for
such considerations seems slim.
Michelle Rempel has smarts
and charm to spare and could
offer a youthful, appealing
presence to compete with
Trudeau's. Rempel has been
very noncommittal about
whether she wants the job,
however. At 36, she has room to
bide her time. James Moore, a
perennial presence in this dis-
cussion, has let it be known he
will not be a candidate. Former
Veterans minister Erin O'Toole,
at this stage, is still an outrider,
though at 43 he has room to
build.
All of which brings us back to
Ambrose, MP for the Edmon-
ton -area riding of Sturgeon
River -Parkland. Known to be a
personal friend of Stephen and
Laureen Harper, her roots in the
party are rock -solid. She's a
moderate social conservative -
perhaps enough to mollify that
portion of the party base. But
her persona and approach are
as engaging as Harper's were
cold and aloof. A youthful 46,
Ambrose offers an attractive foil
to Trudeau's glamour; yet,
friends say, she's disciplined,
organized and steady in a crisis.
Could Ambrose defeat
Trudeau in a general election?
Of course that would depend on
events. The more pertinent
question is whether any other
Tory prospect could conceiva-
bly do better than she could. As
this race begins, that is entirely
unclear.
LUCKNOW NEWS
World Day of Prayer a success in Lucknow
Ruth Dobrensky
How about that weather, one
week, we think spring has
sprung, the next, we're back in
the middle of winter.
One week my car looks more
like a station wagon than a sedan,
the next it's covered in mud. The
crocuses must be going mad,
should we start blooming or not?
The golfers are probably just as
confused, do we wear shorts or
not?
The World Day of Prayer Ser-
vice was held recently at Luc-
knowUnited Church with about
45 in attendance. The people
from the community who
attended learned a lot about
Cuba and how the church is fair-
ing there.
There was a 93rd birthday
party for Warren Wylds at the
Sepoy Manor recently. Happy
belated birthday Warren, we
wish you many more.
I hate to repeat myself, but
recently, I talked about calling for
the fire department and asking
right away for your local fire
department, i.e., Lucknow; well
I'm mentioning it again. A week
or so ago there was a fire just
north of London, the man inter-
viewed said he called 911 three
times and it took 45 minutes for
the fire department to arrive, by
which time the barn had bumed
down. There seems to be a prob-
lem with the new system, so you
have to be specific, as I've repeat-
edly said, when you get 911, say
"I want the (Lucknow) fire
department, when the next oper-
ator comes on, ask, is this the
(Lucknow) fire deparmtnet, if
they say yes, give them the info,
what, where and your name, etc.
The life you save may be your
own.
My column won't be in the
paper next week, I'll be away. I'm
taking my great-nephew Nick on
an adventure to Toronto for a few
days. We'll try not to cause a riot
but we hope to have a lot of fun
and get some visiting with friends
and relatives in as well.
Sympathies of the community
to the families of: Margaret
Barger, 84, Wingha, (formerly
Ashfield Twp.); Terence Paquette,
67, Ripley; Helen Nicholson, 91,
Wingham; Ralph Dickson, 85,
Teeswater; Joyce Pollock, 85,
Wingham; Morley Kristine, 72,
Kincardine; Wayne McLean, 55,
Ripley; Audrey Bonnett, 86, Kin-
loss Twp.; Shelley Inglis Wil-
liams,40, Waterloo; Tim Doucet,
51, Lucknow (formerly Wing -
ham); Carmen Gross, 87,
Auburn; Bonnie Strauss, 62,
Elmira (formerly Teeswater);
and, Neffie Nusink, 83, Holyrood.