HomeMy WebLinkAboutThe Huron Expositor, 1967-04-06, Page 12,1/1011EXPOSITOR, SEAFORT% QP4T., APRli. 6, 1907
OME TAX
Investment income such as rent, bond or bank
interest, dividends etc. does not form part of "earn-
ings" for fixing your contribution •under the Cana--
da
ana.da Pension Plan.
Telephone 527-1250 for appointment.
H. G. MEIR
PERSONALIZED
THE HURON EXPOSITOR
Phone 527-0240 Seaforth
hen you save
the Go -Ahead way
you get
Life Insurance too!
Choose a five year savings goal. It could be as
little as $600, or as much. as $5,000. (Your
convenient monthly deposit can range from $10 to
$83.33.) Whatever savings goal you set for yourself, .
that's the amount of Life Insurance protecfion you
have, for five years,from the minute you make
your first deposit. This is in addition to all deposits
made, plus the bonus your savings have earned.
Whether you're saving for your children's
education, for the down payment on a new home,
fora retirement nest egg .. , . or even if you don't
Wave a special objective i mind, ask your d
Toronto -Dominion Manager about the' Go-Xhea.,
ay of saving ... Toronto -Dominions,
Assured .Savings Plan. No medical is required.
•
Great Go,Ahead idea from ,
TORONTO- D o MINION- -
The Bank where people make the difference.
W. D. STEPHENSON, Manager
Seaforth
WEDDING INVITATIONS
COASTERS - GIFT IDEAS - SERVIETTES
THE HURON EXPOSITOR
Dial 527-0240 -- Seaforth,
r
Increased IPopulation Brings
Pressure on Farm Production
On the occasion of the recent
Seaforth Lions Club annual rur-
al relations night, Robert J.
Wright; Toronto, secretary of
United Co-operatives of On-
tario discussed changes that
could be anticipated in farm-
ing practises in the near future.
In his remarks, Mr. Wright
said:
Fust of all let us take a look
at some of these major changes:
a) The number of farms in
United States and Canada has
dropped more than 50% jn the
last 30 years. It is estimated that
in. Ontario by 1981 another 23,-
000 farms will disappear.
b) For the" most part, remain-
ing farms have taken over 'the
land resources of the farms
that disappear. This is not en-
tirely true, particularly in On-
tario as the growth . of the large
-centres of population, the super
highways that have ,been built
all have taken their toll on
some of the best agricultural
land in tire province. However,
the average size of farms is in-
creasing. Several years ago a
• hundred acre farm might have
been considered a good average
size farm. Today of course there -
are many farms over 100 acres.
Their average, (and again there
is danger in using averages) but
the average size farm as it is
projected in 1981 in Ontario
will be over 171 acres. These
two points then go together,
namely a decrease in the number
of farms but an increase in the
average farm size related to
acreage. Fewer, but lamer
farms is the trend.
c) her is a rapid decline in
farm labor. The number of Skil-
led and dependable farm labor-
ers is extremely Iow, .and also
very expensive by all past farm-
ing standards. The majority of
farmers here tonight could, I
am sure, vouch from. personal
experience the difficulty of get-
ting adequate.farm help,
d) The decrease in farm labor
and the increase in expense for
labor has had- a significant im-
pact on the costs of farm oper-
ations. Overall costs from the
United States, and I -am sure
the situation differs very little
from Ontario, has risen approxi-
mately two-thirds since 1950.
Farm operators, are in conse-
quence, vigorously seeking ways
to save labor, to reduce operat-
ing costs and to minimize risk.
The result is a rapid transition
in the traditional farming sys-
tems both in Western Canada
and United States and also -here
in Ontario.
e)' One of these transitional
changes is the significant in-
crease in specilaization .on the
farm.
f) The rising costs and . the
trend to larger farms and
more specialization • of course
Means much higher capifal costs.
rhe price of land, maphinery
and equipment has greatly. in-
creased. To get into farming
business-- today requires a lot
more money than it. did 10 or
20 years ago. Investment has
gone, on the average, from $6,-
675 in 1941 to $28,580 in 1961.
These are• overall Canadian ,figs
ures, but even using averages
such as this, dramatically in-
dicates the greatly increased
capital required to enter farm
operation: Naturally, the farm-
er, as a business man, is and
will be expecting a reasonably
good return on his invested cap-
ital.
Lower Return •
It is to be noted however,
that farm, enterprise yields • a
Cars at Tremendous Discounts ,
Our BIG SALE Continues
1966 CHEV. '8' IMPALA
HX., A.T., P.S., Radia -- Lic. E89866
1965 PONTIAC SEDAN
A.T., Radio --Lit. E90663
1965 CHEV. IMPALA Hardtop
A.T., Dadio, Lic. E9066I
1964 PONTIAC "8" SEDAN
A.T., R., Lic. E90735
1963 CHEVY II SEDAN
E8943$
1963 PONTIAC SEDAN
' A.T. ---Lie. E90740
1962 PONTIAC StDAN
. A.T. --. Lie. E90664
1963 MORRIS 1100 SEDAN
Low Mitegage, Ltc. E90733
1962 Mercury -Meteor ,Coach
A.T., and R. --Lic. H3-107 -
1962 OLDS SEDAN
A.T., P.S., and P.H., R. --Lie. E90660
1962 CHEV. SEDAN
A.T. — I.ir. E90738
1962 FORD GALAXIE SEDAN
A.T.,
R, P.L, Lie. E90734 °
1962 CHEV. SEDAN
Lic. E90288
1965 GMC 1/2 -TON PICK-UP
Low Milegage --Lie. 4887$C
MANY 1961 and 1962 CDEVS and P'ONTIACS
forth
O ?
LCT..�gr M VI/ IMS TO 900,
otos
far lower return than thato.
other business. Food ehains i
the United States chalk up
17% return on equity capita
investment before taxes. Th
average return in farm ente,
prise does -not approach • thi
figure,
As a result of the changes in
agriculture we have seen farm
output increase in Ontario by
37% over the last 12 years. The
greatest increase has been in
vegetables, livestock and poul-
try. As indicated this 37% in-
crease in output was produced
by 32% fewer workers. How-
ever, in spite of the increase in
production or productivity, . we
have had not a corresponding
increase in return to the farm-
er. In fact if we accept the def-
inition of ARDA that gross farm
income of less than $31750 is
poverty on'.the farm, then 48%
of our farmers are living in a
state of poverty. -
In examining these changes,
we must do sp in terms of an
ever increasing demand for
food, not only in Canada but in
the world today. Our total On-
tario population has increased
660,000 in the last five years,
or about 110,000 per year. By
the end of the century the pop-
ulation in Ontario will be
double, ar about 14 million
people. Canada's total will be
at least 38 million. In North
America 200 million of us to-
day have about HALF as much.
wheat and corn in the continen-
tal granary as we had five years
ago. The butter stocks we had
Wit up in Canada have large-
ly disaPPeared. Even today we
have .moved away from farm
surplus. We can expect to have
increased emphasis placed on
increased farm production to
meet- the food. requirements ,of
a rapidly growing population;
both here and abroad.
As we are all aware, there is
a great deal of resistance on the
part of the consumer to higher
food prices. In recent months
we have witnessed the forma-
tion of consumer groups pro-
testing to the government in'
the high price of food. Yet you
and I know that the return to
the farmer is •very low in `spite
of tremendous gains in produc-
tivity. Many farmers feel them-
selves caught in' this trap
f
a
1
r -
s
every spiralling c of
costs to the produtiey
here they
are . asking and demanding fur-
ther action from the govern-
ment for higher prices on farm
products. The government finds
itself in a real dilema. Certain-
ly the problem is extremely
complex.
Three points should be kept
in Mind:
a) We all appreciate 'that food
production will have to be in-
creased to 'meet the, needs of
•the growing population.
b) Agriculture, to produce the
food (requirements, finds all
production - costs increasing:
land, machinery, labor, produc-
ti u''supplies, etc.
c) As a nation oras ndiv_idctal
consumers is it reasonable to
ask the agricultural industry to
produce the food requirements,
when the return is so small, or
to put it' another way when
47% of the producers are exis-
ting on very marginal .incomes.
To have a healthy and prosper-
ous agriculture, some way will
have to be found to increase the
net income of the primary pro-
ducer. ,
' Increased Demand •
The increase in population in
Ontario besides -meaning an•- in-
creased demand for food, also
means more agricultural land
taken out of produ tion.
By the year 2 a large ur-
ban sprawl is projected ,for
south-western Ontario. I would
suspect}that as land is sold for
non-argieultural uses, more in-
tensified farming will move
north. For example, Huron
County will probably see the
value of farm land increase and
with increased farm specializa-
tion and production.
Farming, while it will contin-
ue to be a way of life for many,
Will be operated more and -more
as .a corporate business. Like
any successful manager, the
farmer of the future and today
for that matter, will keep ac-
curate records of production,
performance, fixed and variable
expense, gross return and net
earnings, using all the uptodate
methods that we use in any
business operation.
I mentioned • earlier, the in-
crease 'in specialization in par-
ticular crops or Livestock. As a
result, purchase ,of supplies and
services have increased and the
eantribution of the farmer's
land and labor to the process
has diminished in relative im-
portante. These developments
have placed premiums on time-
ly and correct management de-
cision. Poor decisions can bring
financial disaster quiekly. There
are four level.§ of • computer so-
phistication available to farm -
ens:
1) Farmers provide figures for
tax return
2) They provide some figures
for oost analysis, cost per'acre,
cost per hour, per machine op-
eration,
8) inter/Mae analysis which
might coati more , detailed in-
formation such as hour' of lab-
or put into ugrit s opposed to
*heat; comitarabte Bolts of feed
as opposed to yearlings,'ete..
4) Linnear programming
which all in all would provide
some important answers as to
where to buy and when to, sell.
At the fourth level there
could be continuing analysis of
all details of the farming opera-
tion. The computer could, pro-
vide answers about the perform
ance of a lot of feeder calves
acquired from a certain source
ti}eir rate of gain, feed conver
sion, health records during feed
ing compared with a lot bought
somewhere else. This could help
the farmer to decide where to
buy. Throw in cost ..accounting
and linear programming can
answer that other vexing ques-
tion, when to sell.
The day is coming soon when
we will have enough informa-
tion to feed into the computer
to find' the least cost method
of producing each farm product.
I use these examples to illus.
trate the facrt that farming to-
day is a highly complex busi-
ness and is more and more em-
ploying many of the* techniques
that other industries also em-
ploy. To illustrate .this a little
further, in the world of bust-•
/less there is great emphasis
placed on management develop-
ment. Similarly with present
day and future farmers there
.will be an increased emphasis
on education and learning. The
modern successful farmer is
anxious to learn about new dev-
elopments not only about tech-
nical agriculture, but farm man-
agement and agricultural busi-
ness.. Farming has come a long
way in this area.
In common with the present
day businessman . the present
and future farmer will Probab-
ly have more formal education
and' be better informed and be
better managers than their
forefathers As in any business,
this process of development will.
not slow down. _1
To be successful and to com-
pete in a very competitive en '
terprise; the farmerwill, lteep
abreast of changing conditions s
in agricultural business and ad- o
just to meet these changing f
trends. e
Certainly as a manager, in d
common with all busilWss, the a
successful marketing of his pro- a
duct will continue to be of
prime concern to the farmer.
How the marketing of farm pro•
duce will be dope in the future
is difficult to predict, although
we can expect to see further
use of marketing: -boards, mark-
eting co-ops, es the farmer at-
tempts to gain greater bargain-
ing strength in the sale of his
product.
, We can at best guess at some
- of the implications of the chang-
ing agriculture business for the
urban dweller. For business
generally to • service the agri-
cultural segment successfully
they too must keep abreast of
the rapidly changing agricul-
tural industry. As indicated, you
will be generally dealing with
men that are capable managers.
add are better informed, and
will .expect a wider variety of
service and .competitive prices.
Business dealing with the .farm
trade, whether- in machinery,
equipment, facilities, produc-
tion products or finance must
be informed and acquainted
with the needs of the modern
day farmer, and his business
must be geared to meet these
needs.
Certainly the need to main-
tain and improve farm income
will be of continuing concern.
It is certainly not a simple ques-
tion, but'ene that .will have to
be resolved. From its record,
agriculture and the farming pop-
ulation, can be expected to util-
ize all modern techniques . to
keep its production of farm
products geared to the rising
demands of the market. It can
be relied' upon to produce at
the lowest possible net costs,
using the latest in equipment
and technical.know how. To de
so means a rising investment in
individual farm operations. The
cost of everything going into
farm production has also risen
with very little increase, if any,
n the net return_l.2-the_farmer,...
These are the things that all
of us shouldkeep in mind.Un-
derstanding this situation I -am
ure will make us less critical
f any legitimate action • of the
armer in trying to improve his
conomic situation, or of the
ifferent levels of government.
s they bring in policies to
chieve this end.
SUPER
Lis(c.11
William M. Hari
FUEL ETC.
None 527*0870 -- Seaforth
DID YOU KNOW
...that Sun Life of Cantdt is CMS
st the world's lcadiiug life insunmos
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At del Soft Edie rive eawr.
agibe deadommal '
ow
JOHN Ja WALSH
Sun Life Assurance Company of Canada
Phone 2714000 =- 48 Rebecca St., STRATFORD
WANT ADS BRING QUICK RESULTS: Dial 527-0240.
GOOD SERVI E AT LOW, LOW COST
1965 CHEV. BISCAYNE-6 Cylinder
1965 CLASSIC SEDAN
1964 MORRIS OXFORD
1963 CLASSIC SEDAN
1962 FORD WAGON
1962 AMBASSADOR
1961 RAMBLER .
. Come and See the
NEW 1967 MODELS
MILLER . MOTORS
Phone 527-1410 Seaforth
American Motors Dealer
Get the
'67Hniode1.
It's available only
at our Q -Center.
•
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White Bean Production
It's made to order for men like you,
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REAP
y:-REAP FERTILIZERS' LIMITED
gt.sviinkAmito E: e-r,,e tt, °iii fir A• Rio)
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