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The Times Advocate, 2005-03-30, Page 5Wednesday, March 30, 2005 Exeter Times -Advocate 5 Opinion Forum News ROSS HAUGH BACK IN TIME I 0 YEARS AGO March 29, 1995 - Arc Industries in Dashwood recently created a volunteer program which now allows clients to choose non -work activities. Faye Rader is one of the volunteers reading stories to some of the younger clients. Russell Electric recently received recognition marking the 60th anniversary of selling General Electric products to Exeter and area residents. 20YEARS AGO March 27, 1985 - Bob Down of Usborne township has been returned for a fourth term as president of the United Co -Operatives of Ontario. Down says, "UCO is well on its way to recovery. We are about three weeks ahead of schedule to restructure our financial base." Exeter council is now considering 30 applications for the position of "senior police chief' to replace retiring chief Ted Day. 25 YEARS AGO March 26, 1980 - The Exeter rodeo, a top attrac- tion for many years, may be back in operation in 1980. Rodeo president Dalton Finkbeiner says, "I am optimistic that the rodeo will return this year. We have decided to allow Doug Andrews of Square Sun Productions to tentatively list Exeter in the official 1980 Molson Canadian Rodeo Circuit schedule. Named the most valuable players for each team in the Huron Park minor hockey program are Mike Moffat, Mark Christie, Steve O'Neill, Yvonne Wells and Russell Finkbeiner. 35 YEARS AGO March 28, 1970 - Bev Rabbetts, formerly of Aylmer has taken over as assistant Postmaster in Exeter suc- ceeding Donald Ladd who has taken over as Postmaster in Blenheim. Dogs in Exeter had better look out. Council has again hired the Exeter Veterinary Clinic as animal control officers. The clinic will receive $215 a month from April to September when they will make two- hour patrols twice each week. 40YEARS AGO March 26, 1965 - Two SHDHS leaders Carolynne Simmons and Bryan Baynham have expressed their views that teens are not ready for lowering of the legal age of 18 to permit them to consume alcohol and vote. Red Cross Blitz chairman Reg Beavers has noted that the $1,000 collected by the Lions Club was almost double from the previous year. 55 YEARS AGO March 29, 1950 - Julie Dunlop was named the best actress in the play "Charlie's Aunt" presented by stu- dents of Exeter High School last week. A fire completely destroyed the race barn at Exeter Community Park Saturday evening and only one horse of the seven stabled there was saved. 60YEARS AGO March 29, 1945 - Exeter Public School was closed for two days last week because of heavy rains. Two feet of water flowed into the basement putting the fur- nace out of commission. There is good news for western Ontario sugar beet growers and for consumers, too, from Queens Park. The government has granted a subsidy of $1.55 a ton on 1945 sugar beets up to a maximum of $225. This amount provides subsidy on 145,161 tons of sugar beets. Canada and Dominion Sugar Company will pay the $1.55 on all beets over and above that tonnage delivered. At the annual meeting of Centralia United Church it was learned that the outstanding debt on the parson- age has been cleared up after 15 years. Total monies raised in 1944 for all purposes was $5,300. In a fire at Wiarton which wiped out a business block, the apartment of Mr. and Mrs. Kenneth Hodgins, formerly of Centralia was destroyed. 85 YEARS AGO March 27, 1920 - In this sloppy weather, Southcott Bros. is the place to go for first-rate rubber boots at $5 a pair. E.F. Klopp is the president of the Zurich Agricultural Society for 1920. Profit from the 1919 fair was $91.98. I I OYEARS AGO March 30, 1895 - Messrs. Joseph and Edward Kestle of Sharon have rented two acres of swamp land from the Canada Company and are now busily engaged in cutting the wood thereon. Immersion issue still alive Contrary to the impression left in readers by your most recent article, in fact, the issue of bringing French Immersion to public school families in Huron County is still alive and well! On Tues., March 22, several concerned parents and Monika Ferenczy, Ontario President of the Canadian Parents for French association met with Avon Maitland District School Board members to discuss the most recent French Immersion survey and the board's hesita- tion to offer a registration for September 2005 based on "lower than expected" numbers. The parents and Ms. Ferenczy pointed out that there actually were enough interested students to form Grade 1/2 split classes in several towns including Listowel, Wingham, St. Marys, Clinton and Exeter for September 2005. Parents asked the board members to be cognizant of the fact that Huron County is rural and that our num- bers should not be compared to those in Stratford, an urban centre. There were close to 250 positive respons- es from the surveys, quite a sizable number. Ms. Ferenczy cited the examples of several areas which began their French Immersion programs with small opening class sizes. She said that French Immersion programs in rural areas tend to thrive since there are not as many competing programs for children to be enrolled in. The board officials were still amenable to the idea and said they would like to have discussions with board members from the other smaller centres. They also said a motion could be entertained by the board regarding offering a registration for French Immersion, possibly in January 2006 for the fall of 2006, since, by then, staffing deadlines could also be met. Parents have been pleased with the open lines of com- munication with the AMDSB members and are looking forward to having their children enrolled in local French Immersion programs in the near future. VICKIE CANDOW, ANDREA SCHAEFER AND GILLIAN THOMAS Huron County Parents for French Immersion Panther Profile EXETER — I hope everyone had a wonderful long weekend and is ready to do some actual work in second semester, instead of all this silly time off we've had. Just kidding, I love time off school. Anyway, if you walked into South Huron this week you'd see some interesting decorations ... election posters that is! It is time once again for Student Council elections. On April 4 you can vote for next year's Student Council. I encourage everyone to take a serious look at who is running this year and make an informed vote. I'm sure none of the candidates would object to students actually asking them about their plans if they were voted onto Student Council. To those running for Student Council, I encourage you to talk to this year's council to ask them what Student Council is really like, especially if you've never been on council before. On April 5 the Black Jazz Band is heading to Central Huron for the first ever Massed Jazz Band. Jazz bands from South Huron, Central Huron and GDCI will spend the afternoon working with conductors and learning a few rocking songs, then performing them for parents, friends and relatives. If you're interested in coming to this first- time -ever event, it's at Central Huron Secondary School April 5 at 7 p.m. Be there and support South Huron Music. Coming events: Wed., March 30 •Jr. boys hockey to Stratford, all day •Memorial at 2:30 p.m. for Brian Desjardine Thurs., March 31 • Skills Canada assembly in the small gym, last period. For grade tens only. •Reach for the Top to Clinton, all day •Jr. and Sr. badminton to Stratford, all day Fri., April 1 • 30 -Hour Famine starts at noon and goes until 6 p.m. the next day Mon., April 4 • Student Council Elections Assembly Tues., April 5 • Black Jazz Band at Central Huron, bus leaves at 11:40 a.m. Thurs., April 7 • Teacher/Parent interviews, 3:30 - 5 p.m. and 6:30 - 8 p.m. •Battle of the Bands and Fun Night ,-711111 AMANDA ZEHR PANTHER PROFILE Jim Bearss will return next week The Turner Report THE MYTHS OF RENTAL REAL ESTATE My, my, my. This column apparently caused an increase in communal blood pressure on Vancouver Island last week, judging by my e-mail inbox. There are a lot of people wholly unprepared to hear any talk that real estate values may have peaked and will inevitably correct that way the stock market did in 2000. My comments last were in part a reflection of a new report penned by Toronto economist David Rosenberg, who figures there should be a healthy cor- relation between real estate prices and the kind of income a house could generate, or else real estate is over -valued. Rosenberg even went so far as to draw a comparison with today's housing market—where prices have never before in history been higher—and that dot-com mania which swept the country six years ago. Pshaw! say more than a few read- ers who fervently believe real estate values will probably go up forever— at least in Victoria and its boomer - friendly neighbourhoods. In fact one guy ripped your scribe's intestines out with a razor-sharp e- mail saying real estate is obviously a great place to put money, when his $600,000 investment property can rent for $2,500 a month. Hey, on the surface, that doesn't seem such a bad deal, I will admit. After all, $2,500 a month is $30,000 a year, which is a five per cent return on the money invested in that house. Compared to GIC rates these days, that's okay. But it's also just a part of the calcu- lation. It costs money to own a house, even when the place is paid for. In this instance, property taxes would be (at least) $10,000 a year, and utilities would average about $900 a month. Add in a modest $3,000 a year for property and building maintenance, and you have annual overhead of $24,000 a year on this rental property. But, real estate groupies cry, all these costs are deductible for tax purposes against the income received, which is absolutely right. So, if the investor is in the 50 per cent tax bracket, then write off half the costs, bringing them down to $12,000 a year, or $1,000 a month. Deduct that from the $2,500 monthly rent, and the net income is $1,500 a month, or $18,000 a year—a three per cent return on the $600,000 invested buying the house. But, of course, this $18,000 is taxable as income to the investor, so applying the same 50 per cent tax rate, the rate of return is reduced to just a little over one per cent—which is actually below the current inflation rate. So, buying a $600,000 home to rent out means you'll likely enjoy a negative rate of return. How smart is that? In fact, your only hope of breaking even over a few years is if the price of the real estate continues to climb, and you receive a (taxable) capital gain. But that is exactly Rosenberg's point—when the price of a piece of real estate climbs beyond the ability of that asset to generate a positive rate of return, then it's probably over -valued. That means instead of it going up in value more (or, in the case of Victoria, forever), it will more likely correct to a more normal and affordable level. So, let's compare buying a home to renting it out, with just investing the money in a low -yield, no -risk fixed income asset. If you received the same five per cent on $600,000, that would be earned investment income of $30,000 per year—taxed as income. If you were in the 50 per cent tax bracket, that would become $15,000, or 2.5 per cent, which is nothing to yodel about. But, if you took half the money and invested it in an RRSP, you'd get $7,500 back as a tax refund, giving you retained income of $22,500 a year, or a return of close to four per cent. You could take that $22,500 and put it towards the $30,000 rent on the $600,000 house that the guy above owns, and living costs for a year would total $7,500 annually. But at the same time, your RRSP would be increasing by $15,000 a year, and also be generating tax-free income. After five years you would have $600,000 in cash and $75,000 in tax-shel- tered investments, for a total of $675,000 that cost you $37,500. Oh yeah, and you lived for free. Meanwhile the guy who bought the $600,000 house and rented it out still owned a $600,000 house. Maybe. The moral here is not that real estate is a bad investment, because it isn't. But trying to justify today's prices by today's rents is a mug's game. Living in it is one thing, renting it out quite another. GARTH TURNER THE TURNER REPORT