Zurich Citizens News, 1975-05-15, Page 4PAGE 4
ZURICH CITIZENS NEWS
The dollar figures!
It has been said that figures don't lie but that liars do figure.
Statistics can be juggled until they can be made to say just
about anything that anyone wants them to say. Percentage
figures are the worst kinds of deluders. Very often they tell us
absolutely nothing or else they lead us far down the garden
path in. delusion.
One of the worst kinds of salary or wage increases is the kind
that provides a 10 percent increase across the board. That simp-
ly means that the laborer who is getting $500 a month will now
get $550, and the blue collar or white collar worker who is
getting $1, 000 a month will now get $1, 100 a month. Five in-
creases of that nature finds the two workers with $800 difference
in their salaries instead of $500 difference as there was. The
gap between the rich and the poor grows wider each time.
The alternative that is more acceptable, if there has to be a
difference in wage scale, is to increase each by the same amount
of dollars and not be percentage.
Another classic example of percentage delusion that leads
one estray is in the federal government's treasury board book on how'
your tax dollar is spent. On page 19 of,that book comparisons are
made between 1965-66 figures and 1974-75 figures. Showing how
many cents out of every dollar spent is used to finance the int-
erest on Canada's public debt. The chart indicates that in 1965
it required 14.4 cents of the dollar to finance this debt, whereas
in 1974 it took only 13.3 cents for the same purpose. In actual
dollars and cents, because of the tremendous difference in the
size of the budget, the 14.4 cents was just slightly over one
billion dollars in 1965; whereas in 1974 the 13.3 cents represented
2.9 billion dollars; almost three times as much in actual doll-
ars.
Two men each weigh 190 pounds. They must be equally healthy.
But those are only part of the figures dealing with those two
people. One of those men has a 44 -inch chest and a 36 -inch
waist. The other has a 40 -inch chest and a 44 inch waist. But
there are still some more figures. The first one is six feet tall
and the second is five feet four inches tall. So one can readily
see that unless all the figures are available and all the available
figures are used, one can get a very distored picture from the
figure he's looking at.
If one adds to these complications the difficulty in getting
accurate figures, even from the most sophisticated sources,
he can see how hard it is to make any predictions regarding
the future on the strength of the figures he can acquire.
Here we draw an example from the very controversial energy
field. Let us honestly face the fact that there is no possible
wayof getting anywhere near an accurate total as to the
amount of gas and oil reserves there are in the world. There
are not two companies or two governments that can come
anywhere near agreeing on this virtually inknown quantity, in
spite of all the sophisticated and scientific research and calcul-
atinns.
In all of the figuring that is done by men, the figures concern-
ing the dollars involved is the most common figuring done.
Here also the miscalculations are tremendous. Don't count on
figures to help you when the chips are down; even dollar figures
won't help.
Do we realty neednot er?
The parliamentarians in Ottawa are getting set to create
another statutory holiday, this one to occur in the middle of
February when there is no place to go and nothing to do. It's
all a bit reminiscent of the ancient Roman emperor who pur-
chased public support by declaring special holidays on which
the masses could go to the circus and watch the lions chewing
on the Christians.
Monday holidays are among the most costly extravagances
known to modern business. These on -day interruptions simply
add to every cost of doing business -which eventually must be
added to the prices of the things we purchase. For thousands
of workers across the land Heritage Day will simply be another
day without income at a time when most families are finding
it difficult enough to make ends meet.
Tr fact there are several reasons why one -day holidays
should be abolished altogether. The death toll on our highways
on a summer long weekend is staggering and travel at Such tunes.
has become so risky that many Canadian families refuse to
travel while the big rush is on. Those who do fight their way to
and from the rivers and lakes return to work in no shape what-
ever to look after their jobs.
It would make a great deal more sense to forget about the
long weekends and add the nine or ten extra days in the year
to the employees° annual vacations. With the trend to shorten-
ed work weeks, three, four or five days, there is little reason
to believe that an extra day in February has any real merit
other than a vote -getter which costs the politicians nothing.
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hiternational Sceiie
(by Raymond Cannolij
UNITY AMONG ARABS PAPER
THIN
An Arab friend of mine once
said that if there was anything
an Arab hated more than an
Israeli, it was another Arab.
I assure you he was only half
joking and perhaps he wasn't
joking at all. While the Arabs
may be relatively united in
their desire to see the state of
Israel chopped to size, this
unity disappears rapidly when it
comes to other matters.
The latest display of non -
unity has taken place between
Iraq and Syria and I am watch-
ing this with more than the nor-
mal amount of interest since 1
expect to be in Iraq some time
next month and don't want the
Syrians to hijack my plane on
the way. The dispute is over the
flow of water in the Euphrates
River which may seem rather a
silly thing to get excited about.
However, take a look at a map
of the area and you will see why
The source of this river is in
Turkey and it flows from there
into Syria and thence into
Iraq where it joins the Tigris
and empties into the Persian
Gulf. Those of you who have
studied Ancient History in schoo:
may recall the advanced civili-
zations which existedalong
these rivers but right now the
Iraqi are not too concerned
about the remains of these
civilizations as far as their hist-
orical value is concerned. They
are far more concerned with
how much water is flowing in
the Euphrates.
The Iraqi claim that they are
only getting about half as much
water as they should because
Syria is busy filling up a large
reservoir on this large river.
This action added to the fact
that the Turks have also divert-
ed some more water farther up-
stream, means that the flow of
the water is so low that proper
irrigation measures cannot be
carried out in the breadbasket of
Iraq which is where the Tigris
and Euphratis meet, They also
claim that, if the halving of the
flow continues, the famous
marsh Arabs near Basra will have
no marshes to live in.
On the basis of the facts which
I have seen to date, I would
have to go along with the Iraqi
claim, especially as the Syrians
have a real reputation for being
loners. They have any number
of technical agreements for
their neighbours, for example,
which they keep only so long
as it suits their purpose. They
blandly go ahead and violate
thein whenever, for any polit-
ical reasons, Syria decides to
put the squeeze on one or more
of these neighbours. Although,
fdr example, both Syria and Ira(
Iraq are governed by the same
party, the Baathist, this does
cut down on the plotting that
goes on. To give you one ex-
ample, Syria has been holding
on to a few Iraqi exiles as poss-
ible successors to the present
Iraqi regime. Just recently
Iraq was able to persuade some
of these that all was forgiven
and forgotten and that they
could come home if they wished
When this happened the Syrian
government was reportedly so
angry that it jailed about 200
army officers and government
officials in spite.
The Syrians are trying to
down -play the whole incident
and dismissing the argument
over the Euphrates as a mere
technical matter. In the same
breath they accuse the Iraqi of
resorting to treachery by making
an agreement with the Shah of
Iran who is not overly admired
by the Syrians. Where it will go
fromhere is anybody's guess and
I can only hope that they don't
come to blows while I am over
there,
This will give you just one
example of the bickering that
goes on between the Arab nat-
ions. The next time you see a
picture of a group of smiling
leaders, you can bet that is
just for the camera. I could
give you several other examples
more than one of which would
revolve around another of the
Arab odd men out -Col Qaddafi
of L ibya.
I am not trying to prove by
all this that Arabs are a partic-
ularly fractious group of people;
it is just that I have been read-
ing so much about the common
THURSDAY, MAY 15, 1975
front the Arabs are putting up
when it comes to oil. That, I
assure you, is the exception
rather than the rule.
Varna 40H
Carden Club
(by Dianne Consitt)
Our first meeting of the Varna
4-H Garden Club was held on
May 5 at the home of Mrs. Jim
Keys. We opened the meeting
by repeating the 4-H Pledge and
for business we elected officers.
President, Kathy Peck; vice-
president, Dianne Consitt; sec-
retary, Laura Taman, and phone
girls, Bonnie Voisin and Tanis
Chuter.
For discussion we talked about
"Why Plant a Garden" and "How
to Plan One." Mrs. Keys
discussed about "Annual Flowers.'
Our next meeting is to be
held on May 12, at 7 p.m. in
the home of Mrs. Joan Stephenson
Banghart, Welly, 'Doig and Co.
Chartered Accountants
268 Main St., Exeter
ARTHUR W. READ
Resident Partner
Bus. 235-0120, Res. 238-8075
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