HomeMy WebLinkAboutThe Wingham Advance-Times, 1983-06-29, Page 18Page 9 -Crossroads -June 29, 1983
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By Wird
Kellogg's 675 gr. box
Universal 7% oz. tin
By JEFF WARD
X has few possible plays,
and only two are reason-
able_ 10/1 (Play A) and
13/7,10/7, (Play B).
These plays are vastly
different in their immedi-
ate effect and in terms of
the game plan they repre-
sent. Choosing the right one
is basically a matter of
choosing the right strategy.
Play A, dumping the blot
behind O's anchor, repre-
sents a safe, conservative
approach designed to avoid
complications and future
contact (hitting) by either
side. The underlying as-
sumptions are that (1) X is
far enough ahead.., in the
race that he will win easily
unless hit, and (2) X has a
very good chance of not
being hit.
Play B pursues a more
complicated strategy of
building a stronger block-
ade against O's anchor on
the 3 -point. X leaves a blot
on the 13 -point which can
be bit next turn with 6-4 or
any 1.
X is counting on two fac-
tors to compensate for the
danger of being bit his im•
-
mediate return shot at O's
blot on the 24 -point, and
the difficult time 0 should
have leaping over X's five -
point prime. X figures that
even if he doesn't come in
right away, in fact even if
he is closed out, 0 may
have to break up his home
board before all of O's back
men escape.
Both game plans are
valid strategies given the
right conditions, but only
one can work best here.
This time, the best ap-
proach is the safe and sim-
ple Play A.
X's lead is such that he
should win a running game
at least two thirds of the
time. And he is unlikely to
be hit, in part because O's
position is about to become
much weaker.
Next turn, 0 must either
abandon the 12 -point,
break the 3 -point (which
could be suicidal), or start
breaking up his home
board. Each of these possi-
bilities lessen the danger of
being bit.
Play B achieves roughly
the same results as Play A
when 0 doesn't hit next
turn. When 0 does bit,
things can become quite
complicated for X.
My results in rolling out
this position suggest that X
wins only half the time
when hit. M5(iiy of these
losses are extra ones that
X would not incur with
Play A.
Play A is better because
it reflects a strategy based
on X's strengths. X's strong
points are his racing lead
and a position which
makes it fairly easy to
avoid leaving shots.
Play B employs a block-
ing strategy which is risky
while providing few imme-
diate benefits.
Points are numbered 1
to 24, starting with X's
home board at the lower
left. A move, for example,
from the 7 -point to the 3 -
point is written 7/3. 7/3•
means that a man was hit
nn the 3 -point. 7/3(2) means
that two men were moved
to the 3 -point.
1 3 1/ a s III vm tv12
M fa Flay 1-3
Walk a block a day. --
It's the first step.
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