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HomeMy WebLinkAboutThe Goderich Signal-Star, 1987-12-30, Page 7Business Goderch 1987: average economic year BY SAM KINSMAN Local business and financial leaders agree that 1987 was an average year for Goderich, in economic terms, and that things will remain at a constant level in 1988. George Zolob, at the Bank of Nova Scotia, said the key to how well the local economy will do lies in what interest rates do. "Presently interest rates are coming down. When that happens people tend to spend more on consumer items. Consumer spending in 1987 was good and I expect it to remain that way for 1988." Zolob said Goderich saw its share of new businesses opening up, "Not only did we see new businesses come in, we also saw quite an increase in business investment in inventory and expansions of established businesses." Zolob said the real estate market in Goderich had a good year as well, "You'll find," he said„ "that an older, stable populace likes to invest in real estate. For most people, of course, that means their principle investment is their home." According to Zolob, most major finan- cial institutions prepare a profit budget or plan for the new year. "Local banks and financial institutions take this analysis of the world markets and economic trends and apply it to the local situation. On the whole Goderich's economy has been relatively bouyant and we expect it to continue that way." Al Gerofski, at Lee's Shopping Centre, said he doesn't see much of an increase in sales for local retailers, in 1988. "If anything, I expect to see some decrease in consumer spending for this area because many people are choosing to shop in London and some of the other larger centres." FEATURE REPORT Gerofski said he sees this tendency for consumers to shop in the cities as a social trend. "In this day and age the customer tends to have plenty of cash, mobility, and free time. Shopping is a hobby and people like to practice this hobby at the places which have the most goods and services." Gerofski said higher gas prices and less ready cash would result in more local purchasing, "When times are tough people tend to stay in town and spend here, but at present most people aren't tied down to the local market." Gerofski said, though,. that Goderich does have its Loyal customers; "They tend to be older people who, over the years, have become close friends with the merchants, or they are busy people who must shop locally because of time constraints." Bill Clifford, of Clifford Real Estate, said there is every indication that 19is shaping up to be a good year for the local real estate business. "Interest rates seem to be staying down and, because of Black Monday, some peo- ple are a little leery of putting their money into the stock market and are, instead, tur- ning to real estate." Clifford said that while the federal budget eliminated some of the capital gains exemptions on homes, enough incen- tive remains for people to Invest in real estate. "Real estate," Clifford said, "is a good investment. Goderich's economy is strong, we have little unemployment, major in- dustries here appear to be doing well and are expanding." Clifford said that Goderich real estate investment tends to be focused on fully constructed homes or custom built homes, "We see few spec -homes built in Goderich. Those are homes built with the hope that someone will come and buy them. Over the past two years there has been a slight increase in homes built for this purpose, but usually people in this area want to purchase a home that has already been occupied, or they want a home built to their specification." Jim McDougall, of Goderich Auto Sales and Service, said 1987 was an average year in terms of sales and he expects things to remain the same in 1988. "No one is really jumping on any band- wagon as far as purchasing a particular type of vehicle," McDougall said, "We had an even mix in sales of large and compact cars, and I see no reason why it won't con- tinue that way." McDougall said that cars are a consis- tent item of sale, " I don't have an indica- tion on how the economy will unfold in 1988, but even if there is an economic decline -I don't expect to see much of a decrease in sales. In today's way of living, everyone has to own a car." McDougall said that most new -used car dealers sell used cars, while in his case he finds he sells more new cars. "I think that is an indication that the Goderich economy is in good shape." McDougall said most of his customers are from the Goderich area, though he has the occassional purchaser from outside the area. 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