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Times -Advocate, August 21, 1991 Page 23
Grain futures show more promise than beans, farmers told
By Adrian Harte
HURON PARK - If there is any
room for optimism in this season's
agricultural markets, it would have
to be in the grain market. That is
what farmers who attended the out-
door luncheon of Centralia Col-
lege's annual Crops Update were
told by two guest speakers.
Charlie Broadwell, general man-
ager of the Ontario Bean Producers'
Marketing Board, said there is
much room for optimism about the
1991 crop prices.
He said that the marketing
board's final price on the 1990 tri-
partite crop was $22.70 a bag for
white beans, and that the board has
set the 1991 support level at
$23.75.
"We have watched closely what
has happened across Canada with
GRIP Gross Revenue Insurance
Pian)," said Broadwell, who ex-
plained that early optimism in-
spired increased acreage in all
kinds of beans, meaning it will be
harder to get Ontario's production
into Canada's food aid program.
"I don't see much hope for white
pea beans going into food aid this
year," said Broadwell.
He also noted that as of July 1,
duty on beans crossing the U.S.
border has been eliminated in both
directions.
"Beans can now move freely into
the States and vice versa," said
Broadwell, adding he expected
beans to be bought and sold both
ways.
"I think have reached a point in
our history when all the 'easy' busi-
ness is gone," said Broadwell, not-
ing that credit problems in Eastern
CCAT improving bean
strain for Maritimes
HURON PARK - Farmers who
attended Centralia College's annu-
al Crops Update last Wednesday
were able to get a glimpse of a
new joint project between Ontario
and Prince Edward Island.
CCAT has received grant fund-
ing to help improve the yellow
eye bean strain which is currently
grown in the Maritimes. - As re-
searcher Bob Forrest describes it,
the bean strain which was devel-
oped in the 1940s has not been
properly monitored for genetic
quality over the years and is cur-
rently in bad shape and suscepti-
ble to disease.
"Initially our job was to clean it
up genetically," explained Forrest.
Other funding is coming from
the Ontario coloured bean growers
association, who are interested in
the college's experiments to cross
it with the Ontario variety, which
exhibits the flaws of late emer-
gence and tends to flower over a
long period of time. At least the
Maritime variety is better in those
respects. -
"We're also looking for some-
thing that will perform well in On-
tario," said Forrest, but said the
possibility exists that two separate
varieties may be a better alterna-
tive than one ideal strain.
Of 300 selections of plants,
three "likely winners" were cho-
sen for greenhouse cultivation to
get enough seed for the CCAT
trials in PEI. The rest of the 300
are being evaluated as well.
The genetic "cleaning up" has
managed to eliminate some of the
yellow eye bean's susceptibility to
seed bore disease. Further im-
provements will take time and
Forrest describes the process as
something like "putting toothpaste
back in the tube".
The yellow eye bean program is
currently in its second of four
years of funding.
"I think the people in PEI will
be happy with what we're doing,"
said Forrest.
Currently, only about 2-3,000
acres of yellow eye beans are
grown in Ontario annually, and
most of those are shipped for
Maritime consumption. A strong-
er strain of bean may not only
strengthen the Maritime agricultu-
ral industry, but may also increase
Ontario farmer's interest in a pop-
ular maritime commodity.
Super herbicides may be on their
way, says CCAT researcher
HURON PARK - While today's
present herbicides may be good,
there are better ones on their
way...maybe.
Peter Johnson, a researcher at
Centralia College of Agricultural
Technology, explains that there is
"new potential" in herbicides for
farmers. But while the college has
been testing the efficiency of these
new chemicals and their applica-
tions, Johnson says that some of
the best may never see the light of
day if they do not clear laboratory
tests for residue and toxicity.
Nevertheless, Johnson remains
optimistic.
"I think there's some very excit-
ing new things coming down the
tubes," said Johnson.
One of the star attractions in
CCAT research tests has been a
white bean dessicant under the
trade name Ignite. Used in the last
10 days before harvest, it can ef-
fectively dry up the bean plants,
new growth, and most weeds.
"Thus far in the trials it appears
to be better than anything we have
available," said Johnson, who
pointed out that this year, talk of
dessicants is timely.
With the current bean crop about
two weeks ahead of schedule,
many farmers will be considering a
pre -harvest treatment to get around
the weed growth and re -growth
spurred by the wet weather.
Johnson has also been investigat-
ing new white bean herbicides, and
has discovered that a mixture of
Pur$uit (not currently approved for
use on white beans) and Basagran
Forte does very well.
"An interesting thing that came
out this year...is Pursuit applied to
white beans is fairly active and can
affect the white bean plant and
stop its growth for two weeks," ex-
plained Johnson, but noted that by
mixing it with the Forte, that ten-
dency was virtually eliminated.
Pursuit and Basagran are market-
ed by different companies, but it
may prove to be to their advantage I
to market the mixture together for
white bean producers. Johnson
said the mixture may be approved
as early as next year.
Merit is another product that has
proven to have potential for white
bean growers. It eliminates most
weeds, except Pigweed, but John-
son noted there is still no sign of
approval for this chemical.
Another which has done well in
CCAT tests, but is finding it a long
road to approval, is a chemical
known as DPX-79406. It takes an-
nuals out of corn and may be
an e ff ective replacement for Atra-
zine.
"If we do get this tool, it will be a
major step forward," said Johnson.
The CCAT research also focuses
on the John-
son says they discover interesting
things like the fact that Pursuit
must be applied within 14 days of
planting, otherwise it has little ef-
fect on certain weeds.
All college research information
goes back to the manufacturers of
the chemicals, and to the Expert
Committee on Weeds, who publish
their annual Guide to Weed Con-
trol.
Johnson pointed out that most
people assume that such research is
government funded, but is actually
largely supported by growers asso-
ciations. While crop research ap-
pearscostly, Johnson says it goes a
of ng way to improving farm pro
ductivity.
Bloc countries will hurt their ability
to buy Ontario beans.
Algeria for example, said Broad-
well, is eager to -buy a lot of bean,
but have trouble establishing credit.
Cuba wants up to 100,000 metric
tonnes annually (equal to Ontario's
entire production), but has limited
credit and fluctuating priorities.
"It certainly
won't be
any worse
than last year"
Bulgaria, said Broadwell, could
become a major customer, but the
Bean Board has found it prudent to
wait until after that countries next
elections.
Broadwell said that Ontario has
147,000 acres in production this
year and can expect an average of
14 bags an acre. But competing
American states can be expected to
do as well once the drought ends.
"It certainly won't be any worse
than last year and hopefully it will
be better," said Broadwell.
Doug Holiday, a former St. Mar-
ys area farmer and now represent-
ing Richardson Greenshields, pre-
sented a little more optimistic por-
trayal of the futures market.
He said that the "big picture"
shows that the overall supply and
demand balance is shrinking. He
pointed out that while the world
corn harvest is expected to once
again generate a surplus of some 75
million tonnes, demand is on the in-
crease. The surplus margin will
likely drop from 14.1 percent of the
crop to about 12 percent.
"It's hard to be really optimistic
about the short term situation, but it
sets up an opportunity for next
year," said Holiday, who pointed
out that his company is now buying
December '92 corn futures at $2.50
a bushel, meaning eventual crop
prices are expected to at least equal
that price.
Holiday noted that the Soviet
com crop is shrinking and may
open up for western exports if cred-
it becomes available. However,
Holiday made these comments be-
fore Sunday's coup of President
Mikhael Gorbachev.
In wheat futures, Holiday said the
overall world supply is down by
seven percent and he expects prices
to go back up, especially since they
appear to have hit rock bottom.
Soybean futures, however, do not
appea to be in as good a position
and were "probably the least opti-
tpistic at this point".
Holiday said the U.S, crop of 300
billion bushels was still higher than
demand, especially since recent
rains saved the crop.
"There's not too much room for
optimism," said Holiday, noting
soybeans have traded within the
"narrow" range of $5.40-6.50 for
the past two years and are not like-
ly to exceed the upper pan of that
range.
Consequently, said Holiday, he
had more hope for grain prices than
beans since the rains came too late
to save the grains in the drought
ridden areas.
In livestock markets, Holiday
said cattle demand will continue to
shrink. Prices are currently as low
as 630, but should recover after La-
bour Day, he said.
"We're definitely on the expan-
sion trend right now," he said, re-
ferring to the fact that farmers are
now preparing to keep larger herds.
Hogs, he said, are stable, trading
at the middle of their price range
after the record highs of early 1990.
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