HomeMy WebLinkAboutHuron Expositor, 2017-05-10, Page 44 Huron Expositor • Wednesday. May 10, 2017
Huron Expositor Relations with China
pose risks for Canada
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We acknowledge the Govrn support the anadual
Government of Canada.
is hardly the first time rela-
tions between Canada and
the United States have been
tense. "There was, for instance,
that time when folks north of
the border burned down the
White House. There was Lyn-
don Johnson reportedly warn-
ing a visiting Lester Pearson:
"You don't come here to piss on
my rug." Richard Nixon was
caught on tape calling Pierre
Elliott Trudeau "a son of a b--."
Still, over time, the relationship
flourished, and two-way trade
in 2016 was more than $840
billion.
Yet the disruption currently
posed by the Trump adminis-
tration is worrying -- not simply
because of the potential unrav-
elling of trade patterns if the
U.S. president means what he
says, but because of the path
Canada may follow to insulate
its citizens from the worst
whims of a volatile president.
A quick review of recent
events: Trump has attacked
Canada's supply -managed
dairy industry as "a disgrace"
and announced tariffs of up to
24 per cent on Canadian soft-
wood lumber. I le has threat-
ened to tear up the North Amer-
ican free trade deal, then said
he will in fact give renegotiation
a shot.
All of these actions affect our
economy directly. Layoff
notices have gone out at some
Canadian softwood firms. The
Canadian dollar has been hit.
And Trump's plan to cut the top
U.S. corporate tax rate to 15 per
cent will put even more pres-
sure on us.
How much of Trump's bom-
bast is just a negotiating strat-
egy isn't a question Canada can
gamble on. So the Trudeau gov-
ernment has accelerated the
search for what former cabinet
minister Mitchell Sharp, way
back in 1972, dubbed "the third
option." Elliot Tepper, emeritus
professor of political science at
Carleton University, refers to
this option in today's context as
the "China always wins"
scenario.
Briefly, the Canadian
government, knowing it cannot
put all its economic eggs in one
basket, has for decades tried to
woo other partners, from
Europe to Asia. There was the
Trans -Pacific Partnership (now
defunct thanks to Trump); there
is the current free -trade deal
with Europe; there may one day
be such an accord with the
United Kingdom. But right now,
our economic romance is with
China.
This relationship is risky. Chi-
na's government doesn't share
Rent control tactics wrong for Ontario
The rent, a famous New
York gubernatorial candi-
date once declared, is too
damn high.
Queen's Park apparently
thinks that's also true in Ontario.
As part of 16 sweeping measures
meant to address home prices,
the Liberal government is insti-
tuting price controls on all rent-
als, even those built after 1991,
ending a policy once meant to
get developers to build more
rental housing.
But who wants to build new
properties, only to have rents -
and therefore revenues -
capped? That's why, until now,
newer buildings were exempt
from rent controls.
The proposal to end that,
announced last Thursday by
Premier Kathleen Wynne, would
likely cap rent increases at
roughly the rate of inflation.
Mayor Jim Watson says the
change makes sense, even
though he hasn't heard of wild
spikes in rents in Ottawa. But
"rent control helps to level the
playing field," he told the
Citizen.
Except it doesn't work like
that. Rent control, says a report
earlier this month from CIBC
focused on the GTA, "will mostly
hurt the people it's trying to pro-
tect." There's a historical record
to support this view. Ontario has
had rent control since 1975. In
1988, a University of Toronto
study said its effects were "to
reduce new construction, to
accelerate deterioration and
conversion of the existing rental
stock, to generate a severe rental
housing shortage," among other
impacts. The controls were
eased in 1992.
Watson says the rental con-
struction that 1991 loophole was
supposed to bring never hap-
pened. Yet in 2015, 46 per cent
of new apartment starts were for
rental -specific properties in
Ottawa, according to the Can-
ada Mortgage Housing Corpora-
tion, levels unmatched since
2002. That doesn't mean perfect
equilibrium: In Ottawa, 439 new
rental units came available
between October 2015 and
2016, but demand rose by 669
units, says CMHC. Which is to
say, anything that's going to dis-
courage supply - like rent con -
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the democratic values Canadi-
ans cherish, and its sense of
corporate social responsibility
is equally fungible. But it has
emerged as the global counter-
point to the United States, and it
wants trade.
Whether Trudeau's team can
sort out an economic relation-
ship with the Americans is a
mystery. Where negotiations
with China end up is equally
murky. The Trump effect may
be even worse than we
thought.
trol! - should be avoided.
The average one -bedroom
apartment in Ottawa, according
to the most recent CMHC data,
rents for $982. Two years previ-
ous, it rented for $936. Overall,
apartment rents increased by
4.8 per cent between October
2014 and October 2016. Com-
pare that to Toronto, where the
average was $1,132 in October
2016. Overall rents have gone up
5.7 per cent there.
If rental prices are a problem,
they're best categorized as a
problem in Toronto, not Ottawa.
It may be that, for some, the rent
is too damn high.
The trouble is that the govern-
ment, hoping to somehow help,
may do even more damage in
the long run.
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