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Page 6 - Goderich Signal -Star, Wednesday, August 5, 2009
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www.goderichsignalstar.com
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EDITORIAL
Bank of Canada says
worst is over
Apparently, the recession is over.
The Bank of Canada said it is so. Therefore, after just nine months
of abysmal economic activity and performance, the nation can
rejoice.
The worst is over, Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney y.'as quick
to declare last week while at the same time cautioning Canadians that
the road to recovery is a steep incline littered with potholes.
While Carney's analysis may be technically correct, there is little for
Canadians to shout about. And especially in Ontario where the rav-
aged manufacturing sector continues to shed jobs as employers trim
payrolls to return to profitability or some form of sustainability.
But if Canadians thought that a simple declaration form the bank's
governor was enough to end the most serious recession since the
Depression, then they need a basic lesson in economics.
Technically, the economy may have bottomed out but the upswing
in economic activity will be a gradual and slow process. Even as the
economy starts to rebound, unemployment will continue to rise as it is
considered a "lagging indicator" and tends to follow rather than pre-
cede changes in the country's economy.
That means that we can expect more job losses over the remaining
five months of the year and even though economic activity may show
signs of recover in the beginning months of 2010, the unemployment
rate in Canada will likely hit 10 per cent, rising from its current level
of 8.6 per cent.
The recovery to three percent growth of gross domestic product may
in fact be a reasonable national target, but it doesn't take into account
regional economies and the disparity between regions and provinces. .
Ontario's manufacturing base is especially vu'nerable to continued
job loss and the meteoric rise of the Loonie is dampening exports,
especially to the United States. As our dollar rises, the more expensive
our goods become in major markets such as the United States and
Europe.
So declaring the end of the recession will be of little comfort to
manufacturing sector employees in Central Canada who face employ-
ment and limited prospects of finding new jobs. Even in our own area
of Huron County, unemployment will be a significant issue. The rich
western resource sector is likely to rebound quicker and job growth
will rebound at a more accelerated rate in the country's western prov-
inces.
So while the Bank of Canada's outlook holds more optimism for
growth in the coming 18 months, the government is still going to have
to keep its foot on the stimulus spending and job -creation pedal.
If unemployment is expected to continue rising, more will have to
be done to retrain laid off workers eligible for unemployment insur-
ance.
The recession may be over in a technical sense, and that's encourag-
ing news, but there are still great challenges to the economy and it will
be some time before things begin to improve significantly in Ontario.
D.S.
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American Wind Symphony
Orchestra by the numbers
To the Editor;
I would like to write about one of the most magi-
cal weekends the Town of Goderich will ever see.
The American Wind Symphony Orchestra sailed
into port on the weekend of July 9 – 12. For those
of you who saw it, it was truly a once in a lifetime
experience.
However, the Symphony and its vessel, the Point -
Counterpoint II did not just sail into the Goderich
harbour all by itself. It was backed and supported by
a wise group of town councillors, dedicated and en-
thusiastic town staff, fantastically talented volunteers,
generous sponsors and the community at large.
Here is a synopsis of the American Wind Sym-
phony Orchestra weekend by the numbers...
Estimated attendance at the American Wind Sym-
phony Concert on Saturday evening who literally
"caught the wind!" –1000 +.
Number of marvelous committee members who
worked tirelessly for 14 short weeks to make this
event possible - 24.
...N...
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Number of Host Families who opened their doors,
their homes and their hearts to these young musi-
cians - 32.
Number of volunteers and service clubs, groups,
and organizations – too numerous to mention but
very much appreciated.
Number of talented young musicians in the or-
chestra from all over the world – 42.
And...
One New England chicken farmer by the name of
Robert Boudreau who had a dream to bring a float-
ing symphony to those who might never see it and
made it come true for the Port of Goderich.
Thanks Goderich... Let's do it again sometime!
Bob Marshall
Tourism Manager.
Town of Goderich
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