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The Citizen, 2000-04-05, Page 5Arthur Black Everybody lives downstream There’s a small, not too well known shell beach near where I live that keeps me semi- sane. It never changes. Forests can be clear­ cut; subdivisions can spring forth like viral infections blanketing whole hillsides; meadows can be paved over; orchards can be turned into parking lots, but the shell beach endures. The high water rearranges the driftwood each day, but the rest doesn’t change. River otters chug along the shoreline from time to time. Gulls whine, and crows scold from the treetops. The tide goes in and the tide goes out. It’s been the same for, well, ages, actually. If you know where to look you can find the 'remains of an Indian midden at one end of it. Every so often it kicks out a quartz arrowhead or a shard of pottery - souvenirs from the people who came to this beach certainly hundreds and likely thousands of years ago. Fished from it. Ate and made love and slept on it. And didn’t change a thing. Lucky beach. Not all natural features get off so lightly. Take the Cuyahoga River that corkscrews through Ohio - cuyahoga is an Iroquoian word meaning ‘crooked’ - for nearly 100 miles. Its sinuous path takes it through the cities of Cleveland and Akron, not to mention a host of towns and villages. International Scene The good news and the bad The lot of an economist is not an easy one. Ours is frequently called the dismal science since it is we who come up with the unpleasant details of what it takes to correct it. Our task is made that much more difficult by the politicians, many of whom like to avoid any negative facts, even if it means being somewhat less than honest in their rosy interpretations of any given situation. One of the things that constantly comes to mind is that an economy never has enough money to do all the things its people would like to do. Some time ago it was arbitrarily decided that a nation should give about three-quarters of one per cent of its gross domestic product (or its national earnings) to foreign aid but the vast majority of countries, including Canada, never even come close to that. The most generous countries are the Scandinavian nations, with Norway leading the way. Canada is somewhat better than the U.S. but still far behind the desired percentage. Judging from the letters to the editor, some people resent any foreign charity at all. When the famous English economist John Maynard Keynes found a way to cure the great depression of the 1930s, good news when it was needed, a lot of governments looked at his recommendation that countries could deficit finance during periods of recession and took to it like a drowning man to a life raft. In so doing they ignored the rest of what he had to say on the matter and thus the great mystique of Unlucky river. Back around the time the Fathers of Confederation were in Charlottetown bickering over what to call their new country, you could cup your hand and drink the water straight out of the Cuyahoga. Civilization put an end to that. Oh, the white settlers liked the Cuyahoga well enough at first. It carried the rafts and boats that brought them to their homesteads. It provided fish and wild fowl, not to mention drinking water. But then in the 1850s the railroads came to town and people turned their backs on the Cuyahoga. Factories sprang up along its banks - and used the Cuyahoga as a convenient waste disposal facility. Cities and towns did the same. Wasn’t long before you wouldn’t put your bare foot in the Cuyahoga, much less drink water from it. But the degradation of the Cuyahoga wasn’t complete. Soon it was an open sewer and in 1969 it became notorious world-wide. A spark from a welder’s torch fell on the surface of the barely moving Cuyahoga - and the river burst into flame. A river so polluted it actually ignited. They had to call the Cleveland Fire Department to put the river out. The networks dispatched TV crews to the banks of the Cuyahoga. The fire was quenched, but TV newscasts around the world carried footage of dubious flotsam and jetsam floating on the slick of smoking oily goo the Cuyahoga had become. Randy Newman wrote an acidulous song By Raymond Canon deficit financing was bom. Why wait for something if you could have it today? Nations fell to spending money they didn't have for instant gratification. (Doesn’t that sound familiar to many consumers, old and young?) In spite of the economists’ warnings, little thought was given to actually paying it back and so counties such as Italy and Belgium are financial messes today while Canada isn’t much better. We owe about $750 billion in bonds, about one quarter of which is held by foreign bondholders, and so over $50 billion of our tax money has to go each year just to service this debt (i.e. pay the interest) before we can even think of paying any of it back. Let’s say about $15 billion flows out to people in other countries who have no desire or inclination to spend it in Canada. Can you imagine what that sum of money would do to our health care systems? When we bring up things like that, no wonder we are called the dismal science. It might be considered good news that the chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank of the United States, Alan Greenspan, is doing something about cooling off the U.S. economy before inflation gets up too much steam. He also wanted to cool off the stock market which is making a lot of people nervous. At any rate Greenspan recently raised interest rates (as did our central bank) and what happened? The following day the New York stock exchange shot up 227 points while the Toronto exchange hit an all-time high. If this interest rate hike was supposed to cool off the markets, does this mean that the market is so irrational that it goes up in response to bad news (or down when there is good news)? about the Cuyahoga, tongue firmly in cheek. Ironically, the blaze turned out to be the best thing that happened to the Cuyahoga this century. Ohio was instantly world famous - but it was a notoriety no one would wish for. ~ Ohioans were embarrassed and resolved to do something about it. They set up pollution control guidelines for all industries along the banks- of the Cuyahoga. They outlawed the dumping of raw sewage by all municipalities. They began to give a damn. That was more than 30 years ago. Today, the water of the Cuyahoga is much cleaner. The fish - real, healthy fish - are returning. The day is in sight when Ohioans will be able to splash and swim and - dare we say, even drink the water that flows between the river’s banks. The Cuyahoga’s got a ways to go before that happens, but at least it’s now heading in the right direction. Odd. First Nation’s people managed to live and drink and fish and paddle on the Cuyahoga for millennia without leaving so much as a footprint. The white folks come and turn it into a fetid trench in less than a century. Meanwhile Victoria, population 300,000, and the capital of British Columbia, continues to dump its raw sewage straight into the water. The same water that laps at my shell beach. Yeah, but hey - this is the Pacific Ocean, right? It can handle a little, urn, poison. That’s what they were saying about the Cuyahoga back when Victoria was a logging town. Took Ohioans a century to smarten up. I wonder how long it will take us. If this is the case, perhaps Greenspan should have lowered the interest rate i.e. to induce somebody to stop spending, lower the interest rate on, say, credit cards. I suspect that the truth is that central bank interest changes no longer have the influence they once did. If not, what do you use in its place? Put yourself in my place and teach this stuff at the university level. Or even try to explain it to your friends. Letters Letters to the editor are a forum for public opinion and comment. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of this publication. Port Credit School plans reunion .THE EDITOR, We would like to extend an invitation to the alumni of Port Credit High Secondary School. On May 4, 5 and 6, we are celebrating our 80th reunion. Many activities have been planned to ensure that participants relive their wonderful memories. To receive your information package, please contact our hotline at (905) 890-1010 Extension 3188 or our e-mail address at mhgreenwood@aol.com. Peter Toller Co-Chair. THE CITIZEN, WEDNESDAY, APRIL 5, 2000. PAGE 5. The Short of it By Bonnie Gropp It could be an interesting year We are, I am forced to admit entering a new phase in our household. Our second youngest, now in her final year of high school is busily preparing portfolios and running to interviews for college admissions. It is, one has to acknowledge a good deal of pressure to be added on to an OAC school semester, but one something many have done before her and many will do after her. For Mom, it's grudging acceptance once again that our house is getting a little emptier, that our baby, to pay tribute to a well-worn metaphor, is spreading her wings and learning to fly. Or perhaps preparing to flee the nest would be more apt. Having seen two older children off to post-secondary education prior to this one, I have noticed a pattern. At least in our family, the final year of secondary school is one of restlessness. Verging on adulthood, ready to break from constrictions of home and guidance, set to test life and make mistakes on their own, kids by the time they reach their late teens are eager for independence. Even for those from the most permissive of families, the idea of being out on their own, proving that they can make it is an opportunity eagerly anticipated. And thus I have noticed, seduced by the knowledge that those times are just months away, my kids tend to exhibit this aforementioned restlessness. It is a trait best compared to a growing infant, excited by the promising things he sees before him, yet unable to grasp them. For a parent it's bittersweet. If we are successful in raising our chidren, they will leave us to go on to successes of their own. Seeing them experiencing the adventure of post-secondary education or a new job, meeting new people with shared interests, living in new places and being on their own for the first time lets us know that we at least did some of the job right. However, accustomed to their comings and goings at home, their needs and their demands, their departure definitely leaves a void. Life as it was will never be again. It always surprised me that when my oldest two returned home after college they suddenly no longer fit. It was like the rest of us had spread out to fill the space they had left. It was an observation which made me quite sad. On the other hand, if 1 am to be honest, I must admit that the restlessness alleviates those feelings of melancholy somewhat. That they so clearly are chaffing to experience new things, to grow and leam is not something you can deny them. Also, with restlessness comes a level of irritabli Ity, which I hasten to add I can most certainly live without. Yet, nothing completely takes away from the fact that I will so very much miss her face in my house every day. And making this particular case even harder from my perspective is the fact that as she leaves this September, our youngest enters his final year at high school. One now independent, another restless. Looking at it that way, it could be an interesting year.*