The Rural Voice, 1998-08, Page 8A NEW CONCEPT
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4 THE RURAL VOICE
Keith Roulston
Betting on cheap transportation
As several Ontario farm
commodities take aim at the export
market, farmers in western Canada
are changing their export strategy —
the result of the government's move,
three years ago this month, to kill the
Crow Rate transportation subsidy.
Because the
government
provided a one-
time payment to
compensate
farmers, and
because wheat
prices were
historically
high, the effect
of the change
has only
become evident
in the last year
—but the
impact has been
profound.
Could we be
building a
house of sand?
For a farmer in
Portage, Manitoba, for instance,
freight costs for wheat increased from
$9.56 per tonne in 1994-95 to $31.90
in 1997-98. One Saskatchewan
farmer shipped some feed wheat and
got $2,400 for it — plus a freight bill
for $2,200.
As a result of the soaring
transportation costs, western farmers
are changing their whole agricultural
system. Fed costs have dropped,
encouraging livestock production.
Farmers are turning more to
altemative crops that bring more
income per acre.
The western farm economy was
built on cheap transportation. The
Crow Rate was part of a deal, dating
back to the days when the railway
was built, to perpetuate cheap
transportation for export grains. One
can argue that this kind of export
subsidy helped distort international
markets. Western farmers felt it
helped them have a level playing
field with areas like the U.S. midwest
where the Mississippi water
transportation system gave farmers
cheaper transportation costs.
But the effect of the demise of the
Crow should make the rest of us stop
and think about building an economy
based on cheap transportation. I
suppose there are lots of people
farming these days who don't
remember the energy scare of the
early 1970s. Our world turned upside
down for a few years when the Arab
oil-producing nations managed, in a
rare show of solidarity, to enforce a
cartel to punish the friends of Israel
and drive up oil prices.
For a few years we had to re-
examine all aspects of our lives:
increasing insulation and weather-
proofing of our homes, re-
engineering our cars to go farther on
less fuel, reducing speed limits and
curtailing the amount we drove so we
could save gas. We began to look for
local markets, not international ones.
Farmers first began to explore things
like ethanol gas production,
harnessing the wind to create
electricity and using methane from
their manure to heat buildings.
The oil embargo eventually fell
apart and we went back to the belief
that cheap fuel would last forever
even though conservationists tried to
make us see we were living in a
fool's paradise.
But with globalization, we are
building a world economy based on
cheap transportation. Ontario has
seen a building boom based on the
idea that we'll supply pork to Japan
and China. Our government is
rumoured to be pushing some of the
supply -managed commodities to give
up policies based on self-sufficiency
in order to aim at export markets.
What happens to our export -based
policy if petroleum reserves should
dwindle and prices rise to ration the
short supply? What happens if a
major oil producer decides to play
with the market? Do we have a
trumped up war in order to bring the
country back in line?
Just like the farmers who
depended on 1800s transportation
rates maintained by the Crow Rate,
we've been subsidized by the past —
in our case, vegetation from millions
of years ago that became cheap
petroleum. If we build an entire
economy based on the premise this
will go on forever, we could be riding
for a very hard fall.°
Keith Roulston is editor and
publisher of The Rural Voice. Ile
lives near Blyth, ON.