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The Rural Voice, 1989-11, Page 51NEWS OMAF PAPER GRAPPLES WITH THE FUTURE OF FARMING The Ontario Ministry of Agriculture and Food (OMAF) has embarked on a new approach in developing programs: it's going directly to the people con- cerned to ask for input. A discussion paper called Toward 2000, circulated at meetings organized to get that input, presents the situation in Ontario agriculture and the changes farmers have seen in the 1980s. It shows that a smaller percentage of farms are producing a larger share of products than ever before. The number of farms recording sales of more than $100,000 increased by 31 per cent from 1981 to 1986, and the paper says this trend will probably continue. At the same time, the number of farms is decreasing. In 1986, Ontario had 72,713 census farms, a decline of 11.8 per cent from 1981. "There is concern that farm produc- tion is becoming dominated by large corporations," the paper notes. "In 1986, the census indicated 0.5 per cent of farms were owned by corpo- rations in which the majority of the shares were not owned by the operator's family. These farms contributed 4.4 per cent of aggregate gross sales." Beef cow -calf herds increased from 25 cows in 1966 to 47 cows in 1986, the paper said. Dairy herd size increased 55 per cent from 1966 to 1987, and the average cow produced 60 per cent more milk in 1987. And cash crop farms increased from 74 hectares in 1966 to 154 hectares in 1986. The discussion paper also includes a section on technology, noting that "The financial costs of technology develop- ment and application may put pressure on the total industry. Smaller producers, processors, and others may not survive. But productivity and efficiency gains resulting from new developments in research and technology may offset reduced numbers in the agri-food indus- try:,„ Competition from other countries is a significant challenge to Ontario's food industry as well, the paper says. The factors that Ontario farmers will have to contend with include product price, quality, and reliability. CASH RECEIPTS UP, NET INCOME DOWN Agriculture Canada is predicting that total cash receipts for farm products in 1989 will show an increase of two per cent over 1988 to a record $22.4 billion. But it also reports that farmers will probably have less cash in their pockets. Net cash income measured nation- ally is forecast to drop 10 per cent from the 1988 level to $6.56 billion. In Western Canada, the figure is expected to be 20 per cent, while in Central Can- ada net cash income is expected to be stable and in the Atlantic provinces net cash income is up. The estimated number of farm bor- rowers in arrears has declined about two per cent from 1988, Agriculture Canada adds. And major lenders report that the dollar amount of principal and interest in arrears has dropped 30 per cent.0 • REMAINING LAND STEWARDSHIP FUNDS IN HURON COUNTY LIMITED BY BAD WEATHER Because of extreme weather in both 1988 and 1989, the funds remaining in the Huron County Land Stewardship Program are limited, says Brent Ken- nedy, senior soil conservation advisor. As a result, the county is accepting applications for limited, one-year farm conservation programs. Applications will be received on a first-come, first-served basis, and farm- ers are advised to act immediately. Eligible categories under the pro- gram include crop rotations (if farmers increase total forage acres), conserva- tion equipment (rented or purchased), tree plantings, conservation education, residue cover, and overwintering cover crops.0 Exports of agricultural products from Ontario, the paper says, grew by 33 per cent between 1982 and 1988. In 1982, just over half of Ontario's agri-food exports went to the U.S. Today the proportion is almost two- thirds, 70 per cent of which goes to within 1,000 kilometres of the U.S. border. Today, the countries of the Pacific Rim are Ontario's fastest growing mar- ket. But Ontario remains a net importer of agriculture and food products. From 1982 to 1988, food imports increased by 54 per cent, from $2.3 billion to $3.6 billion.OAV REPORT FROM QUEEN'S BUSH After handling about 2,000 calls over two years, the Queen's Bush Rural Ministry is an experienced friend of the agricultural community. The ministry, staffed by volunteers committed to helping farmers, reports that calls this fall tend to be coming from farmers with equity who are neverthe- less "being pushed by lending institu- tions to meet what often seem unreason- able demands on their financial future." The ministry can be reached at 392- 6090 — call collect.0 DON'T PANIC, SAYS MILK BOARD CHAIR The recent GATT panel decision against Canada's import controls on ice cream and yogurt is a reason for concern but not a reason to panic, says Grant Smith, chairman of the Ontario Milk Marketing Board. Smith gave this message to about 200 county milk committee executive members attending the board's annual policy development meeting last month. "It is likely that any resulting change will be delayed until after the current GATT round concludes at the end of next year. This is the approach the U.S. is taking on a similar GATT panel ruling on its sugar import quotas."0 NOVEMBER 1989 49