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The Rural Voice, 1990-12, Page 21GRAIN MARKETS this year. The slow crush right now is due to lack of soyoil sales from Ontario, but I'm sure this will be corrected soon. In the latest USDA report, produc- tion for 1990 was increased to over 1.9 billion bushels. This is not a record crop but it certainly has allowed the speculators to shake the market over the past week. November futures have dropped to the mid $5.64/ bu. Is this a blow off in the market? I don't know, but with prices this low, Brazil and Argentina will quite likely curtail plantings which have already begun. Many traders are looking for much stronger markets in 1991 and 1992 and, seeing how far the market has dropped now, a move in futures prices back to $6.50 would be fairly impressive. FEED GRAINS Feed grains, especially barley, have strengthened in price over the past month due to little producer selling. In fact, Ontario barley is trading for $105-$110/mt while corn is selling for $100/mt. There seems to be a delicate balance between usage of barley on one hand and the available supply on the other. At present, the small quantity being offered is sufficient to meet the basic needs of feed processors with the result being relatively strong prices. Here is an opportunity for barley producers to sell their barley and purchase corn as a replacement. These stronger barley prices will probably spill over into mixed grain prices somewhat, but keep in mind that there appears to be greater stocks of mixed grain and barley to come on the market than we've seen for a couple of years. Good quality bright oats can be traded in the $100 to $105 range for milling or for export. But they must be clean, heavy and bright to com- mand these prices and you will need to store them for several weeks yet. The markets of the past month have provided some very depressed and depressing action. Producers tend to be eternal optimists and always look to better prices, better weather, and better crops and right now your mettle is being tested. But keep the big picture in focus and remember that world production and usage levels are more important in the long-term health of the markets than simply the Ontario, Canadian, or American situations. I try to be optimistic about markets and sometimes it affects my thinking too much. We must try to avoid the pitfalls of buying or selling based on a whim rather than on facts and figures and one of those facts is that futures prices tend to spend more time dropping than rising. Timing is of utmost importance and right now I feel it's time to make maximum use of the interest free advance. This will give you time to reformulate a market- ing plan and will also allow time for the markets to regroup and once again provide some windows of opportunity to sell into.0 Information supplied by Dave Gordon, LAC, Inc., Hyde Park, 519-473-9333. Dave really tied one on last night Too bad his friends tagged along Great strides have been made in alerting Canadians to the terrifying consequences of drunk driving. As concerned corporate citizens, The Rural Voice Magazine and The Co-operators would like to remind you that drinking and driving can bring some great friendships to a premature end. Please don't drink and drive and please don't ride with someone who does. May we extend best wishes for a safe and happy holiday season and a successful New Year. The Co-operators Insurance Services and The Rural Voice Magazine. DECEMBER 1990 17