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The Rural Voice, 1990-01, Page 22AGRICULTURE IN THE 1990s A SURVEY The Rural Voice asked representatives of the agricultural industry to reply to questions about agriculture and agricultural policy in the 1990s. They were asked to consider what they would like to see happen and/or what they predict will happen. Those who responded by deadline are featured below. The questions included the following subjects: 1. The Canada/U.S. Free Trade Agreement (CUSTA) 2. Farm financing and the Farm Credit Corporation 3. Animal rights 4. The U.S. Food Security Act and Export Enhancement Program 5. The environment and stewardship 6. Crop insurance 7. Development and the preservation of farm land 8. Biotechnology 9. Income support and the Agricultural Stabilization Act 10. The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) 11. Food health and the "organic movement" 12. The federal government's policy discussion paper on Canadian agriculture: Growing Together — A Vision for Canada's Agri -food Industry VIC ALTHOUSE, MP NEW DEMOCRAT AGRICULTURE CRITIC FARM FINANCING An overall change in the way Canada sets its interest rates is clearly in ordcr. Central Bank rates 4 percentage points higher than U.S. rates place our producers at a distinct disadvantage. At 12 per cent in Canada, that puts our interest cost 50 per cent higher ... High rates have caused a higher Canadian dollar, resulting in lower returns for cur exports. Farmers lose both ways with high rates. They get higher costs and lower prices. Until then, beginning farmers may need interest relief. Long- term earnings as a percentage of assets run at 3 to 4 per cent, so rates much higher than that cannot be easily carried. ANIMAL RIGHTS New facilities should be designed with space and healthy living conditions that meet or exceed current standards. Requirements may get tougher if experience in European countries is a guide. THE U.S. FOOD SECURITY ACT AND THE EEP I do not see U.S. legislators making substantive changes in 1990. In spite of what the president and his administration say on the international scene about subsidies and incentive payments, Congress need not comply ...I think the only way the U.S. will abandon Export Enhancement is if they no longer arc able to produce a surplus. This may eventually happen in wheat but is a long way off for corn. INCOME STABILIZATION All stabilization and income security schemes should use the same conceptual model and format to avoid discrimination between commodities and regions. Price support programs for that portion of production that is domestically consumed should cover efficient -producer cost, with the portion of production going to export covered by a price -insurance program financed by producer premiums to avoid countervail action. THE GATT There may be some modification of GATT rules to reduce "subsidized products" in world trade. I fear that our government is willing to reduce the power of marketing boards, particularly supply -managed boards ... For this reason I fear Canada will give ground on Article XI. Countervail actions, especially between Canada and the U.S., will probably increase in the 1990s. THE FEDERAL DISCUSSION PAPER The white paper is a statement of faith. It dreams that a true competitive market exists where buyers and sellers have equal bargaining power. The reality is that farmers buy and sell in a oligopolistic market. That is, there are a few buyers who can manipulate the many sellers when farmers sell their products. There are a few large suppliers selling to many farmer buyers. Farmers are price takers. Growing Together seems to be interested in perpetuating this inequity. GEORGE ARNOLD, MANAGER AGRICULTURAL SERVICES, ROYAL BANK FREE TRADE CUSTA will hurt dairy and supply -managed com- modities the most. It will affect beef producers the least. The dispute -settling mechanism of CUSTA will probably favour the U.S. FARM FINANCING The FCC should assist beginning farmers with farm financial management train- ing. If necessary, the FCC could provide interest -rate relief to beginning farmers. could also administer crop insurance and other "safety net" pro- grams. It should not compete actively with commercial lenders, as this is duplication. The FCC THE FEDERAL DISCUSSION PAPER This paper makes a lot of sense and appears to be a realistic approach to the many problems facing agriculture. 20 THE RURAL VOICE