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The Rural Voice, 2006-02, Page 16What's dairy's future in Ontario? From consumer trends to the size of dairy herds, experts envision what ildairy will be like in the future The future of the dairy industry will revolve around doing more to please the consumer at the processors' end and working smarter at the farm level. Such were the predictions of speakers at Grey -Bruce Farmers' Week looking into the crystal ball to foresee the future of dairy. Ultimately, the consumer will shape the industry's future and Andrew MacGillivray, CEO of Gay Lea Foods Co-operative and chair of the dairy processors's association thinks innovation will be the key to remaining relevant to consumers. Four consumer trends are driving the food industry, MacGillivray said. "Taste is essential," he said. "We must deliver taste. Despite a lack of time (for cooking) they still demand taste and we must deliver." Luckily, he said, dairy delivers taste. Corn tastes better with butter and short -bread "doesn't exist without butter". Dairy is also well placed to deliver another consumer must: nutrition. But nutrition goes beyond just providing energy, calories, etc, MacGillivray said. Consumers want their food to be the answer to special needs, hence demand for products like Omega-3 eggs. The dairy industry has long touted milk as a near -perfect food but some consumers see soybeans as healthier and see margarine as a healthier alternative to butter. "Dairy needs to re-establish itself as a healthy food." Convenience is a consumer must as people have more daily demands and less time to fulfill them. Part of convenience is portability. Milk, in 12 THE RURAL VOICE its traditional "gable -top" carton or bag packaging may not be convenient, he said. However, there are experiments taking place to put milk in vending machines just like soft drinks and this might increase the convenience. Answering a question from the audience on why milk hasn't moved to useround containers, MacGillivray said such a change would be a huge investment for processors and is likely years away but the experimental vending machines already use round containers. There's a growing demand for milk as a portable drink as people become more concerned about nutrition. "Suddenly McDonald's and Tim Hortons want milk," he said. The industry has responded to demand for convenience with new products like cheese strings and the biggest growth area in dairy: yogurt. While dairy products have a good solid base in taste and nutrition, the industry needs to make dairy products exciting to consumers, MacGillivray said. The only way to do this is to innovate. "There have not been many innovations in fluid milk," he said. In the past 20 years per capita milk consumption has dropped 14 per cent. "We should be concerned about that." Butter remains "the same old pound" and there has been no growth for the past 10 years. That led Gay Lea to create "spreadable butter" which has 65 per cent real butter. There's been a lot of controversy whether the company should be mixing butter and vegetable oils but the innovation is to create a product that is more convenient and more relevant for consumers, he said. New varieties of yogurt are being created for different markets, hoping to boost what has been a 200 per cent growth in per capita consumption of the healthy, convenient food. The challenge for the industry is how to be even move consumer - focussed, MacGillivray said. "They're more and more demanding," he said. "How do we offer better taste? How do we enhance nutrition?" MacGillivray said that when Gay Lea tried to introduce spreadable butter far more time was spent dealing with bureaucracy than talking about how the consumer could be better served. "We need to develop a growth orientation," he said of the dairy industry. "If you are not growing, you shrink." World Trade Organization (WTO) negotiations may see a requirement for Canada to give greater access to foreign dairy products while Canada is likely to have no exports at all, MacGillivray said. "That is not a growth orientation. How do we grow our business?" Growing the business could mean quota increases instead of quota cuts, he said. For processors it could mean better utilization of processing capacity. Gay Lea's new skim milk plant at Guelph is a "beautiful thing" when it's operating at full capacity but not when it's operating at 60 per cent capacity. Though he seeks growth and