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The Rural Voice, 2003-11, Page 49PERTH ifitk County Pork Producers NEWSLETTER Pat Louwagie, President 519-393-6424 • The Rural Voice is provided to Perth County Pork Producers by the PCPPA. Which way is the pendulum swinging? Any opinions expressed herein may not necessarily reflect the views of the Perth County Pork Producers' Association. Have you ever watched a clock pendulum swinging back and forth? It is constantly in motion swinging from one side to the other. It stops only to change direction when the force of gravity equals the momentum of the pendulum and then moves towards the middle again. What does this have to do with pork production or anything at all, you ask? Well the answer is the pendulum is a model of how people react to issues and problems in everyday life. Let me narrate an example. Let's pretend the pendulum represents how producers react to hog prices. When hog prices are average, producers are relatively happy. Their bills are being paid and there is money left over to pay them for all the hard work. However, the price never stays the same and eventually it begins to rise. The pendulum is moving from the central position to the right. We as producers are happier and the question is how high will the prices go. The issue is should we lock in prices today or wait for a higher price tomorrow. Should we expand to take advantage of these higher prices? Just like a pendulum, the price hits a limit and moves towards the average price or central position. The prices bounce around eventually come back to the average and move lower. The pendulum is moving left. How far left will the pendulum go? The anxiety increases as the prices continue to drop. We all remember the anxiety caused by the low hog prices of 1998 and we can sympathize with the problems our fellow beef producers are dealing with today. Eventually, the anxiety decreases as the prices begin to rise. There is an increase in emotional energy caused by very high or very low prices. What we tend to forget is the cause of low prices was probably the emotional euphoria produced by higher prices. When things are good, the feeling is the sky is the limit. Conversely when things are bad the hole seems bottomless. Just like the pendulum, there is a limit to everything. but eventually everything gravitates towards the centre. This model can be used to look at issues we deal with in everyday life. One issue which Ontario Pork and the Canadian Pork Council Board is dealing with is the new National Swine Traceability System, the details of which are currently being worked out. The idea of this program is that all swine production facilities, abattoirs and most importantly movement of hogs would be documented so that in the event of a foreign disease outbreak, the diseases could be contained quickly. At first glance, this program seems harmless; it's a good thing to do—or is it? This was the topic of discussion at the October monthly meeting of the Perth County Pork Producers. It was interesting to participate in the conversation and more particularly the emotion that ensued. In Ontario approximately 90 plus per cent of all hog production facilities have been mapped by GPS in a Provincial Database. My thoughts are what about the remaining 10 per cent? Currently this is a voluntary program and so since it not legislated by government we do not have to let anyone on our farms to map the co- ordinates of the front door of the barn. This is a complicated issue, because it involves all cloven-hoofed animals (if the foreign disease is foot and mouth disease) including hogs, cattle, sheep and goats. How do we co-ordinate all the livestock groups to work together not only provincially but also nationally? How much will this cost? Will it work? The questions and issues are endless. The cattle industry in Canada has been dealt a tremendous blow with one case of BSE. Several years ago the United Kingdom's livestock industry had been dealt a tremendous blow with the outbreak of foot and mouth disease along with the BSE in cattle and the human form of it in several cases. Holland, Belgium and Germany have felt the effects of hog cholera in their hog industry and the list continues. Many producers detest the idea of doing, more paperwork and physical work that a national traceability program may require. The other issue that bothers many is the lack of freedom that results of doing more paperwork and more particularly third party monitoring. Programs such as CQA, CFIA feed regulations, Nutrient Management Plans and countless other HACCP type programs continue to be implemented in the name of food safety. Customers, (not necessarily the consumer) want the suppliers to jump through more and more food safety hoops. The anxiety is increasing. Do we as food producers have enough liability insurance? There are many dedicated men and women who work hard in the back rooms and boardrooms of the different commodity boards. These people are committed to helping us deal with the individual problems of our different commodities. The challenge is to step back and look at both extremes of the situation and realize that the solution is somewhere in the middle; maybe everyone should have clocks with pendulums.0 – Submitted by David Vandewalle PERTH COUNTY PORK PRODUCERS' PORK PRODUCTS • Smoked Pork Chops • Fresh Pork Chops • Stuffed Loin Chops • Smoked Sausage • Smoked Cheddar Sausage • Bacon Burgers • Teriyaki Pork Steaks • Vittorio's BBQ Sauce AVAILABLE FROM: Steve Hulshof (Kinkora) 348-8167 Walter Bosch (Mopkton) 356-9000 Ted Keller (Mitchell) 348-9836 NOVEMBER 2003 45