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The Rural Voice, 2002-02, Page 28The hard edge of change Farming is evolving into a much bigger scale tha currently envisioned. Are farmers, politicians and the public ready to deal with the new reality? For the past several years it has been absolutely impossible to pick up any trade publication without coming across at least one article about change – changes in technology, changes in markets, changes in practices, changes in everything. Even the names of the magazine are likely to be different from what it was in the previous month's issue. I have become so tired of hearing about change that the word has become almost meaningless, a synonym for "so what" – more closely representing a status quo than anything worth writing about or reading about. Well today, I am looking at a pile of those same trade magazines, most of them American, on the corner of my desk, along with numerous pieces of mail, and wondering if it is safe to open them. Now, THAT is change. So, as of today, I have officially replaced (in my own vocabulary) the word "change" with the word "evolve" and the word "changing" with the word "evolving". I don't think we will ever stand still long enough again to be able to hold the measuring tape of life up against what was. The "Evolving" that I do not like: I think it's over — the way we were raised, the people we worked with and trusted are gone. Over the next 10 years Ontario's farm scale will increase dramatically. Costs will escalate high enough to sort out small farms. Negativity and resentment towards large farms will increase, while support for large farms declines. Municipal amalgamations 24 THE RURAL VOICE A commentary by Mervyn' Erb have reduced the influence of the farm vote. Municipal councillors will strategize to mute members who support farm issues. Councillors will prefer to cope with one or two mad farmers rather than 200 irate voters. The rights of the minority and the rights of the individual will continue to go down the drain. Farm organizations will continue to be driven by the views of mostly small- scale producers. Large-scale producers don't usually have the time and many have other side -ventures, further reducing available time for farm organization involvement. Farming is now a bitter, cut-throat survival of the fittest. Politics and small farmers commonly oppose farm expansions, often due to resentment, jealousy or envy. Farm managers need to work together with farms of similar scale or larger scale to manage policy, public opinion, input cost and marketing opportunities. The media and politics are the ox and plow farm managers must learn to drive. The ag economy has developed a low-cost food factory assembly line similar to Henry Ford's auto assembly line. The demand for uniformity of slaughter size, loin size, broiler size, etc. has resulted in the "assembly line" concept. In the years following Ford's assembly line, there was a major consolidation in the auto industry. There were over 50 Ontario - built brands of automobiles around 1900. Canada Cycle & Motor (CCM) built cars in Toronto. Ford's success and cost-cutting efficiencies sent CCM into a tailspin that landed them in the sports equipment industry. Farm families are caught in a similar tail spin. They will need to make decisions that make as much sense to them now as making hockey sticks instead of engines did to CCM 80 years ago. As most farmers enjoy the production side of agriculture, many will not like the adversarial, political, re -structuring, re -sizing, and re- learning side of this new style agriculture and will opt for something else or opt out altogether. The bickering that I do not like: The other far more troubling situation, is the sense I have gained over the past several months, that there has been a hardening of attitudes towards supply management in general. I now regularly hear comments to the effect that "If we can't get a level playing field with the U.S., let's get one here in Ontario." This leads me to believe that Canadian agricultural policy is in really big trouble, and that the trouble is coming from within. In that while Canadian supply managed farmers enjoy an absolute advantage over their U.S. counterparts, Canadian grains and oilseeds farmers are at an absolute disadvantage to their U.S. counterparts, and have been so, for over three years. And at the same time for the past three years, Canadian supply managed farmers have been at an absolute advantage to Canadian grains and oilseeds farmers, when it comes to buying, or even renting, farmland. Don't get me wrong folks, the products of supply