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HomeMy WebLinkAboutThe Citizen, 2009-09-17, Page 14More than 600 desperate pork producers gathered in Stratford, Sept. 9 to hear information to help them decide on how to get out of the business or what to expect if they stay in. The meeting was organized by the Pork Producers Associations of Huron, Perth and Oxford to provide short term information and as accurate as possible a long-term forecast , said Mike Bosch, Perth County president. Martin Rice, executive director of the Canadian Pork Council (CPC) looked at both the circumstances that brought the industry to its current desperate state and how farmers who want to get out can take advantage of the federal government’s transition program. Pork production has basically been troubled since the 2004 countervail trade challenge by the U.S., Rice said. Since then a perfect storm of a high Canadian dollar, the U.S. country of origin labeling that discriminates against Canadian meat, the world-wide economic downturn, the circovirus disease outbreak in herd and finally the H1N1 influenza that was misnamed “swine flu” has devastated the industry. Rice said the CPC had approached the government for a $30 per hog subsidy to help producers survive but neither the government nor opposition parties supported it, worried about the implications for international trade. Having failed to get a subsidy from the government, CPC proposed a transition plan that required it to look ahead at where the industry might be in 2014 in order to sell the idea to the government. One goal is to get consumption back up to 21 kg. per year in Canada, which would mean a market for an extra 150,000 tonnes. CPC anticipated exports remaining at a million tonnes but with only 20 per cent of that going to the U.S. It’s looking for high-value markets such as Japan, Korea and the European Union to buy more and return more to producers. In its proposal for a transition plan, CPC had to deal with three categories of producers, Rice said. First is those producers who would get out of the industry if they could afford to. The second group is those who are just managing to hang on in the current difficult circumstances. The third group includes those who see the ability to prosper if the situation turns around and who may expand by buying up assets of those who want to get out. In response, the federal government promised long-term loans with government-backed credit that financial institutions can offer to allow operations with a viable business plan to restructure their businesses. To promote market growth, a $17 million International Pork Marketing Fund will be set up for market research, promotion and access initiatives to find new customers for Canadian pork products. For those who want to get out of the business the $75 million Hog Farm Transition Program is designed to allow producers to tender bids for the amount of funding they need to cease hog production for at least three years. CPC will be in charge of administering this program but is seeking another organization with more manpower resources to do the work. “We want to make this program available to as many producers as possible,” Rice said. For those in financial distress there were two speakers to offer advice. Bob Anderson of Agriculture Canada explained the Farm Debt Mediation program which he said has about a 75 per cent success rate in meeting an agreement between farmers and their creditors. If a creditor sends a notice of intent to foreclose to a farmer, it is also obligated to tell him or her of the Farm Debt Mediation process. A farmer has 15 days to contact the mediation service. Anderson urged farmers to act quickly. “Sometimes we’re contacted when the sheriff is coming up the lane,” he said. While at times they’re still able to prevent foreclosure, this isn’t the best circumstance. Engagement of the mediation service puts a stay of 30 days on foreclosure. This can be extended up to three times during the process. The program sends a consultant to work with the farmer to get all financial statements in shape and compile a list of all creditors. The consultant will see if there’s a way the business can be back on its feet. He or she will put together a proposal and arrange a meeting with creditors to discuss it, at which the owner can make the presentation or the consultant can handle it, though the owner will have to answer the necessary questions. Success is reaching a signed agreement between the owner and creditors that may range from a plan for the farmer to get out of the business or to rearrange payments. The mediation process handled 57 files in the past year, but the pace has been picking up with 29 in the past two months. Only two hog farmers were in that number with everything from cash crop to greenhouse operations going through the process. Ted Oldfield, a Waterloo lawyer, agreed the farm debt mediation process has a high success rate, saying he has been involved in 200- 300 of the mediations. He urged farmers to avoid seeking bankruptcy unless they’re in the situation where all their assets are gone and they still have debts. “It’s not a place any farmer should go if you’ve still got assets,” he said, because the farmer loses control of his future to the bankruptcy trustee. If you’re facing a financial crisis, take action early, he urged. Get the books in order. Do a realistic cash flow as a basis for planning. “It’s important your figures are in order.” A lot of farmers are so busy doing the day-to-day farm work they can’t see the long term. “Set goals. Get them in writing. A written proposal has more credibility with lenders,” Oldfield said. So, where is the industry going? Al Mussel of the George Morris Centre provided an overview of the future. He could offer little hope of dramatically higher prices, predicting $100 per hundred kilograms throughout the fourth quarter rising to perhaps $130-$136 for the second and third quarters of 2010. If the “swine flu” fear subsides there may be a slight improvement. While various factors have created a sluggish demand for pork, expansion of the red meat sector in Ontario has created a situation where Ontario cannot grow enough corn to meet the demand. Ontario can grow enough corn to feed one million cattle or nine million hogs, but producers have geared up to export meat and so they have to import corn to feed them. “It’s very difficult to be importing feed and exporting animals,” he said. So how do pork producers get out of the current situation? Some have been taking a new look at supply management, but Mussel said the realities of the red meat market and current trade obligations make it nearly impossible to make it happen today. In the short-term, he also didn’t hold out much hope from safety nets either. “Safety nets aren’t designed to deal with crises like BSE in beef or the current pork industry,” he said. “Safety nets are not long-term solutions. We need to look at a more advance solution.” Despite the lack of quick solutions, Mussel held out long-term hope. “At the end of the day, Ontario has a big natural advantage. We have efficient corn producers. We have good pork producers. “In the future there will be opportunities in the Far East. We have advantages to supply that market.” China and India have an exploding middle class that provide huge potential for sales, he said. He said the North American red meat industry of the last 15 years is gone. In future the market will be oriented to countries other than the U.S. PAGE 14. THE CITIZEN, THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17, 2009. We're ready to receive your • Soybeans • Corn RR 1 Gowanstown 519-335-3535 Brussels 519-887-9933 TUESDAYS 9:00 a.m. Fed Cattle, Bulls & Cows THURSDAYS 8:00 a.m.Drop Calves 10:00 a.m.Veal 11:30 a.m.Pigs, Lambs, Goats & Sheep FRIDAYS 10:00 a.m. Stockers Call us 519-887-6461 Visit our webpage at: www.brusselslivestock.ca email us at: info@brusselslivestock.ca BRUSSELS LIVESTOCK Division of Gamble & Rogers Ltd. UPCOMING SALES Agriculture600 pork producers hear info on crisis The county is looking into the use of its forests for maple syrup production. Erica Garfat, forest conservation officer, presented a report to county council’s committee of the whole Sept. 9 meeting in which she noted that a landowner had expressed interest in using a county forest to make maple syrup. Garfat said that while the majority of Huron’s 13 forests are plantation forest, there is a hardwood component in eight tracts. The report noted that the Upper Thames Conservation Authority has a lease agreement for this purpose on one of its properties. Garfat listed other issues for consideration, among them that of liability and insurance as well as the potential of devaluing logs for hardwood from tapping. Garfat also said that to be effective the project would require staff to monitor it. Her recommendation was that further research be done with a report to be completed for council at the completion. Councillor Max Demaray of Howick mentioned the maple syrup production that used to be done in a forest in Grey and suggested that the person involved might be a good resource for staff. Councillor Bernie MacLellan of Huron East felt the idea was worth further study, and made a motion to approve the research. “Let’s find out the scoop and vote on it after we get more information.” By Keith Roulston The Citizen Huron looks at maple syrup production from county forests By Bonnie Gropp The Citizen Now you can browse our Classified listings on-line. Whether you’re buying or selling, you’ll click with success when you use the on-line Classifieds. The Citizen 519-523-4792 519-887-9114 www.northhuron.on.ca