HomeMy WebLinkAboutThe Huron Expositor, 1972-07-20, Page 9DATSUN 51
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News of
Woodham
Correspondent
Miss Jean Copeland
Mr. and Mrs. George Webber
of Warren, Michigan and Mr.
J.C. McAlister of Fleshertonand
McAlisterMr. Jim McAlister of Sudbury
visited for a few days with Mr.
and Mrs. Harry Webber.
Rev. Laurie J. Ray and Mrs.
Ray arrived last week from Ber-
muda apd assu'ned duties as min-
ister of the .Kirkton-Woodtratu
Pastoral Charge. A joint ser-
vice on Sunday was held in Wood-
ham with alternate Sunday ser-
vices to be in Kirkton for the
month of July.
Several from the vicinity att-
ended the Decoration, Service at
the Kirkton Union Cemetery Sun-
day evening.
Mr. and Mrs. Oscar Brine,
Miss Cheryl Brine, Misses Myr-
tle and Pearl Brine, Messrs.
Lloyd and Charles Brine, Mr.
and Mrs. Nelson Baiter and Viv-
ian and Mr. Bill Esson attended
the Brine Reunion in St. Paula
Community Park on Sunday.
The C.G.I.T. girls and their
mothers enjoyed a hay ride on
Friday evening followed by a
weiner roast at the home of Mr.
and Mrs. Fred Parkinson, Marg-•
aret and Janet.
, Miss Jacqueline Beckett, R.N.
of Galt spent the weekend with
her parents, Mr. and Mrs. Law-
rence Beckett.
Mrs. AdrianPringle of Lon-
don ' and Wayne Pringle of Tor-
onto visited Sunday evening with
Mr. and Mrs. Glenn Copeland,
Cynthia, Ellen and Deanna.
Misses Terri Brintnell, Sus-
an Spence, Cheryl Brine and Ellen
Copeland are spending this week
at Bimini Camp.
Mr. and Mrs. Ray Corsaut
and Adrienne of Ilderton and
Mrs. Robert Corsaut of St. Marys
called on Mrs. David Wheeler
Monday afternoon.
Mrs, Marie Mills of London
visited Saturday evening with
Misses Blanche and Rhea Mills.
Miss Jean Copeland and Mrs.
Jim Mitchell of St. Marys en-
joyed the bus trip to Hamilton
to'the rose gardens and the rock
gardens Sunday afternoon. The
trip was arranged by the, St.
Marys Horticultural Society.
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BILL O'SHEA
MEN'S WEAR_
•
Mr. Danny Walters visited
on Sunday at Bayfield with Mr.
and Mrs. Howard Dayman and
family. •
a•
0.
The 1972 summer outlook ties
been prepared by Canada De-
partment of Agriculture, as part
of the program 'to regularly 1114..
form the agricultural community
of the supply, demand and price
for the major agricultural com-
modities.
Since many production decis-
ions have already been made,
particularly for crops, this is a
general market outlook, With an
accent on prices.
The analyses are based on
information available up to June
15, 1972. •
There is also an assessment
of farm income for 19'72 and,
for the first time, an outlook
on retail food prices..
This report is one of a number
regularly issued by the Markets
Outlook Section of Agriculture
Canada. '
WHEAT
Summary: , World exports in
1972-73 should be up slightly
from the low level of 1971-72.
Canada's total wheat and flour
exports will probably exceed 500
million bushels in 1971-72, and
should reach at least 450 million
in 1972-79. Price changes are
uncertain for the next six months.
. World wheat trade between
July, 1971 and March, 19'72, at
33.58 million-metric tons (m.t..),
• was down from the year .earlier
by 1.82 million m.t. While data
available are still fragmentary,
the level of world exports should
increase in 1972-73 from the
1971-72 level.
arc!! tura supp yr p ice trends durina summer
DAIRY
Summary: Canadian milk pro-
duction in 1972 is forecast to in-
crease three to 9.5 percent from
1971 levels. It may reach 18:4
billion pounds. Farm cash re-
ceipts for milk and butterfat in
cream will increase in 1972.
Milk production is expected
to be up this year, resulting in
a larger output of butter, skim
milk powder and whole milk
cheeses other than cheddar.
Fluid sales of milk and cream
will increase about two percent
over 1971.
BEEF
Summary: For the last half of
1972, prices and supplies will
average above a year ago. Sum-
mer demand for beef will be
strong because of seasonal in-
terest for outdoor cooking, low-
er pork supplies, and aggressive
packer competition for supplies.,
Federally inspected cattle '
slaughter in North America for
the first ,six months of this year
is up moderately from 1971 first
half levels -- three per cent in
Canada and one percent in the
U.S. Average carcass, weights
in both 'countries have shown
little change from 1971.
To the end, of May, Choice
and Good slaughter cattle com-
bined were up 'by '7.8 percent
from the same period last year
and accounted for 66- percent ef
all slaughter. For. the same
period, the combined slaughter
of Standard, Commercial, Utility
Manufacturing and, Bulls showed
a decrease of 4.6 percent.
By the end of May,. steer and
heifer slaughter were up three
and 10 percent respectively over
May 1971, but cow slaughter was
dawn 2.5 percent.
In C anada, cattle slaughter for
the last half of 1972 will probably
exceed the last half level of 1971
by three to five percents mainly.,
as fed • beef. This is" a continua-
tion of a trend begun in 1962.
Cow slaughter is not expected to
change significantly during the
last half of 1972 because feeder
cattle prices still favor herd ex-
pansion.
In the U.S., the .1972 annual
increase in cattle slaughter is
expected to be up about three,
percent; 'with the bulk 'of the
increase probably in fed steers.
The lower female slaughter ex-
pected in the U.S. indicates a
continued buildup in cow flume
bars.
.. U.S. officials look for fed cat-
tle marketings for the last half
of 1972 to average four to five
percent above 1971. This level
• will probably brine about . some
moderate price'weakness, prob-
ably-$3d - $15-fai•—clioide steers
at Omaha, compared to an aver-,
age of $35.40 to the-end of May.
In Canada, fed Cattle prices
,strengthened in January and to
the end-of May, averaged$97.19
per cwt. for Choice steers at
Toronto, $3.35 above list year's
level and $1.80 over Omaha.
These higher prices' were as-
sociated with an increase in total
beef slaughter, including an eight
percent increase in fed cattle
slaughter (Choice and Good car-
• casses combined).
Notwithstanding' the relation-
ship of fed cattle prices be-
tween Canada and the U.S., and
the fact that domestic fed cattle ,
slaughter in the lastahalf of 1972
can be expected, to average above ,
1971, there, are grounds for fair-
• ly strong fed cattle prices in
Canada during the last half of
1972, probably. ayeraging above,
the $34.75 for Choice steers at,-
Toronto—during the last half of
1971.
In both Canada and the
feeder cattle demand was ex- .
eeptionally strong in early 1972
with prices at the highest level
on record' for any winter-spring
period. Feeder cattle prices
during the last half of the year
will be strongly influenced by the
trend in fed cattle pricee.
With a larger 1972 calf crop,
the potential supply of feeder
6 cattle for fall movements into
"feedlots will be greater. The
normal seasonal pattern would
be for some price weakness dur-
ing the fall period, especially
if the 1972 calf crop shows a
substantial increase.
Much of the expected increase the improveo profitability of hogi year's domestic digapPeararice
in milk production will go intp during the summer will bring for the same period.
the manufacture of- butter' and - some expanslon in U.S. farrow-
skim milk powder. Out put of ings by late 1972 and continue FARM INCOME
creamery butter is forecast to into 1973. This means fairly summary: Farm cash receipts rise at least six percent from good price prospects for the will be up moderately. Realized 1971, but consumption is expect - first half..4,1973.
ed to be slightly below 1971 lev- Since Canadians have reduced net
shar pfarlymhigihnecro.me will likely be
els. Skim milk powder output their herd less than Americans • Farm cash receipts from the
may increase by 10 percent or and less than usual in a low-
more. .
sale of farm produdts in 1972
Price period, Canadian produc- will likely remain moderately
Consumption of other whole ers are in a relatively goodposi- higher- than year earlier levels,
milk cheeses, cottage cheese and tion as prices rise. Farm cash mainly because of larger mar-
ice cream is expected to rise, income from hogs will show a
Most, of the milk volume in- substantial increase in- 1972.
ketings of livestock and livestock
products at higher prices. Let- crease.will occur in Ontario and From1905 to 1969-,aCarradrab ger grain marketings from the, Quebec. . Farm marketings of per capita pOrktonsairiPtlerrav- record crop production of -1971 milk and cream -- in terms of 'creased about 51 pounds. It in- also contributed to larger cash
milk -- are likely to approadh creased to 56.9 pounds in 1970 flows for Canadian farmers in
17 billion pounds, an increase and to 65.9 in 1971. The sharp the first half of 1972.
of about four percent from 1971- rise in pork prices this year In the first four months of
levels, reflecting a decline in on- with, only a moderate reduction this year, total farm cash re-
farm use, in consumption, may reflect an ceipts in Canada from the sale The expected risein milk and d improved Canadian demand for of farm products and from Cada- cream •marketings higher price pork. dian -Wheat Board and federal supports for dairy products, Another importaet Canadian government payments, to farmers
quota adjustments, and a reduc- pork trend in 1972, and one which totalled $1,512 million, up by
tion in, holdbacks will all con-- directly reflects the small reduc- $303 million or 25 percent from
tribute to higher farm cash re- tion in slaughter, is the contin- the cbrresponding period in 1971. ceipts in 1972. ' ued rise in pork exports., In Higher farm prices for cattle,
Assuming no change in price 1969, perk exports totalled 54.9. hogs, mills and poultry meats,
supports, the percentage in- million pounds, increased to 69 together. with larger farm mar-
crease from year-earlier levels mutton in 1970, and to 95.2 mill- ketings of cattle pushed farm
will likely be less in the second ion in 1971 - - the highest level receipts in the livestock sector •hhaff.alf of the year than in-the first since 1948. .. .. to $899 million in the January
April period, a rise of $116 mil-
HOGS .- EGGS AND POULTRY lion from the year earlier.
Summary: Egg prices will - Cash receipts from crop mar-
Summary: Supplies for the last likely go up gradually for the ketings Id"the first four months
hall of 1972 will average below rest of the year. Broiler chicken- of 1972, at $449 million, were
a year ago. Prices will be high- wholesale-to-retail prices will alio up by $41 million from 1971.
era, . . probably weaken 10 percent or Early -in the year, western grain
Cyclidal swings in hog pro- more. Turkey prices should re- farmers also received about
duction and prices continue to be main firm. , $76 million from the Canadian the rule in North America. In Eggs • Wheat Board in final 'payments both Canada and the U.S., the The total number of layers on the 1969-70 and 1970-71 wheat hog industry had record slaught- -='-whl _ likely decline from about pools, as well as about $56 mil- er and low prices in 1971. 27 million in late spring to 26 lion in supplementary payments
A turn-around occurred to million in July and slightly be- under the domestic wheat policy.
the end of May with -slaughter in low that in August and September. Realized net farm income in
both countries down -- 4.7 per In November and Deceniber,num- Canada in 1972'—excluding chan-
cent ' in Canada and 10 'Percent -bers will probably increase again ges in the values of farm-held
in the U.S. to 27 million. inventories -- will likely be In both CCanada and the U.S., By contrast, layer numbers sharply higher than in 1971, and
hog slaughter during.•the last were 28.8 and 28.7 million
'
re- will rise considerably more than half of 1972 will probably aver- spectively, in NoVember and the gains in total firm cash re-
age below 1971 levels -- probab- December, 1971. ceipts even though farmer's ex-
ly down "six percent or' more in The above forecast 'of. layer penditures on supplies and ser-
Canada and six to eight percent numbers is based on the assume- vices are also increasing. The in the U.S. . tions that mortality rates will be average .level of prices paid by
Under these conditions, the lower than in 1971 due to Mar- farmers in 1972 will likely rise
hog 'price outlook is favorable ek's vaccine,' and that fowl by as much as the four percept
for the balance ot ,1972. slaughter will be heavier than general advance which occurred
In 'both countries, hog prices last year due to the special in 1971. .. -
rose to high levels in February slaughter program. The total of gross farm in- but declined • seasonally as The daily rate of total egg come this year -- including the
slaughter supplies picked up a production.-- 1.34 million dozen value of changes in farm !even-
little in late winter. In May, in January and 1.30 million doz- tortes -- will depend largely on
hog prices returned to Febru- en in April and June -- it expect-
ary's high levels. ed to fall during the summer to
In the U.S: hog prices will 1.2 million dozen in( September
October. It may rise slight-
ly in November . and December
to 1.3- million dozen per day.
'About 68 per cent of total
production should go through re-
gistered stations from May to
December -- 68 percent corn---
pared to 65.1 percent in 1971. '
Marketings through registered
'stations per month. should.' be
between 875,000.• and 900,000
cases from May to August, about
830,000 in September and October
860,000 in November and close
to 900,00b in December.
Stocks of egg products will
gradually decline and should be
closer to normal by late fall.
level of $27.60 at Toronto.
The size of the 1972 fall pig
crop(june-November farrow-
ings), especially in the U.S.,
is the key' to slaughter levels
during the first half of 1973.
The U.S.D.A. 'March Report
on Hogs and Pigs estimated June .
August farrowing intentions in BROILER CHICKENS
10 cornbell states to be seven Marketings will total about
percent below 1971. -Some U.S. 152.3 million pounds frpm June
Walters was a
1970 Marquis, 2-dr., HT., 8, PS., PB., R.
1970 1/2-Ton Chevrolet, 23,000 miles
1970 Chey., 6, AT.., Sedan
1969 Fairlane 500, 2-dr., HT., 8, AT.
1969 Buick, 2-dr., HT., 8, AT., PS., PB.
1968 Volkswagen, Radio
1968 Plymouth Fury, 2-dr., HT., 8, auto.
1968 Pontiac Sedan, 8-cyl., auto
1968 Rambler Sedan, 8, auto.
1967 Olds., Sedan, 8, Auto., •PS., PB.
1967 Biscayne, 4-dr. Sedan, 8-cyl., auto..
j
3 1Gth Cig
__SALES Gifrto6 SERVICE
CHEV090tE r P4446 S27-17501, • SEAPORtH
Lot Open Evenings to 9 p.m
likely remain strong, rising fur-
ther in July, to $27 to $28 for
live barrows and gilts. Some
price weakness may develop in
early fall, but prices in October
December will average consid-
erably above the $20 1971 fall
level.
AlloWing for the relationihip
bet-weep, Insg, prices in Canada
and the U.s., and the fact the
prices in Canada Will continue
to reflect an export situation
price levels at Toronto for Index
100 hogs are expected to be
$34' to $37 during the summer.
However, prices will decline sea-
sonally early next fall, still re-
Correspondent
Mrs. Wm. Walters
maining well above the 1971 fall a Prices will likely rise grad-
ually for the rest of the year.
The extent of the rise will be
influenced by prices south of the
border, since the decline in U.S
production is still several months
behind Canada's.
WICATION•UALUED USED CARS
crop production. Assuming av-
erage crop conditions, the gen-
eral improvement of farm
which
in-
ecoonmtrinteieijaln. beganIn 1971 should
FOOD PRICES
Summary: Retail food prices
will likely rise much less rapidl)?
during the remainder of 1972
than during the past several
months. Prices will be fairly
stable for livestock and livestock
products. Prides for fresh pro-
duce will-depend largely on grow-
ing conditions this year.
Food prices in retail stores
rose quite rapidly in the last
half of 1971, and -prices con-
tinued to advance in the first
four months of 1972. Higher
prices for all meats, dairy pro-
ducts, fresh vegetables and 'for
sugar at the farm and wholesale
levels accounts for a large part
of the rise of retail prices of
recent months. Pork prices re-
covered from the depressed lev-
els of earlier months.
Rising costs pressure
throughout the food processing
and merchandising industries
also contributed to the advance
of food prices, and these pres-
sures show no signs of slacken-
ing in 1972.
Places of livestock and live-
stock products are expected to
remain relatively stable because
of adequate supplies in relation
to market requirements.
The adverse effects of rising
food prices have been completely
offset by a 'more rapid rise in
the level of disposable incomes
of most families in Canada. In
1972, Canadian food expenditures
will continue to expand by about
six to seven percent. They will
account for a slightly smaller
percentage of consumer spending
than in 1971 when consumers
spent about 17 percent of their
disposable incomes on food for
use at home and.away from home.
Farmers have been -attempt-
ing to keep up to .the rising in-
come levels of urban families.
They have been expanding farm
production at a fairly fast pace.-
in 1971, the index of farm Pro-
duction was 45 percent higher
than in 1961, although population
advanced by only 19 percent.
This higher production occ-
urred on 366,000 farms in 1971,
compared with 481,000 in 1961,
a reduction of 24, per cent.
guest and usher at the Johns and
Webber wedding on Saturday, at
Elimville United Church and later
at the reception.
NEWS OF
WINCHELSEA
Mrs. Roy Cattle, of Exeter vis-
ited on wednesday with Mr. and
Walter.Mrs. Win. Walte.
Mr. Gary Bern of Stratford'
is spending ,a few holidays midi
Mr. Mr. and Mrs. Phil Hern, Kevin
and Greg.
Mrs. Kathleen Mcdonald and
children are spending this week
with Mrs. Wm. Taylor and fam-
ily.
Mr. and Mrs. George Frayne
visited on Tuesday with Mr. and
Mrs. Bob Patterson, Leslie and
Linda at Dream.
Mr. and 'Mrs. Harry Cole
'of London, visited over the week-
end with Mr. and Mrs. Free-
man Horne.
Mrs. Wilbert Glanville of St-
affa visited on Monday with Mrs.
Wm. Walters.
market observers feel that June.to. August, 10 percent or 13.7 Miss Diane Hutton is spend-
Augusta „farrowings-awilLanot_be.___millionapoundsmore-tharasayea.r----Mg—tbls—wealtalnaListetwal -with- —
down as much as these inten- earlier. This would also be 11.6 relatives.
Alone estimate. Others feel that million pounds more than last Mr. Danny